View Full Version : Round 7: Geelong V Eagles
Time flies when your having fun, we're already up to round 7 :eek:
This week the Cats take on the Eagles at Skilled Stadium. Who can forget the corresponding game at this fixture last year when Geelong raced to a 54 point lead early in the third quarter, only to then stop dead in its tracks. The Eagles came flying home with a wet sail to come over the top of the Cats and eventually win the match in one of the best comebacks in recent history.
This time around we see the Eagles coming into the match 6-0 and going along smoothly. Last week saw them have a solid, but unconvincing win against a determined Bulldogs outifit
Apparantly the Cats won last week? Can't confirm this, haven't heard too much about it :D
Embley should return for the Eagles this week while Chad Fletcher continues to press for a recall. Doubts remain on the fitness of Dean Cox.
As usual will leave the ins and outs for the Cats up to their supporters
trevnosh
9 May 2007, 14:21
The longer a winning streak continues the greater the probability that the next match will end it. I think that's how it works, mathematically. I guess that's for the punters to worry about. As for the game, should be a beauty, be watching this one with interest.
The longer a winning streak continues the greater the probability that the next match will end it. I think that's how it works, mathematically. I guess that's for the punters to worry about. As for the game, should be a beauty, be watching this one with interest.
Chapman out with hamstring strain...He will be a big omission.
Egan will play after getting a corkie last week. Harley also a chance to play.
Stokes, Prismal or Djekerra all a chance to replace Chappy.
BTW, it soesn't work like that mathamatically...I seem to recall from my business stats days at uni that every new occasion is just that and you have the same chance (or probability) every time...hence eagles could win 5 in a row, probability of them winning or losing their next match is the same before they won their first....Gee, aren't I a nerd???
Chapman is a confirmed out for us - and a huge loss. We will not be able to cover his absence, but it seems that one of Brent Prismall or Mathew Stokes - both of whom were unfairly dropped for the Richmond game and played excellent VFL games last week - will take his place.
Max Rooke is in doubt. It will be a shame if he doesn't come up for his first game of the season as we need his toughness and he can be relied up to do a decent tagging job on Judd or Kerr. Cameron Ling will probably get the other gun midfielder and it will be interesting how he goes - Ling has had a good start to the season as a traditional 'run-with' player, holding Deledio to 6 touches last week while collecting 20 and kicking 3 goals himself.
Tom Harley may return and Matthew Egan should be fine to play.
All reserved seats for the game are SOLD OUT and it's advised that you pre-book GA tickets in advance as all signs indicate it will be a sell-out.
Should be good game. Is anyone going to post the graphic of last years progressive scores? lol
Winning streak ends this week for the Weagles.
trevnosh
9 May 2007, 16:15
Chapman out with hamstring strain...He will be a big omission.
Egan will play after getting a corkie last week. Harley also a chance to play.
Stokes, Prismal or Djekerra all a chance to replace Chappy.
BTW, it soesn't work like that mathamatically...I seem to recall from my business stats days at uni that every new occasion is just that and you have the same chance (or probability) every time...hence eagles could win 5 in a row, probability of them winning or losing their next match is the same before they won their first....Gee, aren't I a nerd???
Can't say for sure whether or not you're a nerd but if your probability theory is correct, and I think it is, then we need more nerds.
Lunchlady Doris
9 May 2007, 16:36
BTW, it soesn't work like that mathamatically...I seem to recall from my business stats days at uni that every new occasion is just that and you have the same chance (or probability) every time...hence eagles could win 5 in a row, probability of them winning or losing their next match is the same before they won their first....Gee, aren't I a nerd???
It's like when you play two-up. You see 4 heads in a row, and you think well surely a tails is next, but really, every flip is a 50-50. The previous spins have no effect on the next.
I think we will give them a run for their money at Skilled on Sunday :thumbsu:
All reserved seats for the game are SOLD OUT and it's advised that you pre-book GA tickets in advance as all signs indicate it will be a sell-out.
:eek:
All seats, even the single ones!?
I better get there early then to get the best standng position, i thought with Mothers day and all this game would only get around 21k.
cat_fanatic_21
9 May 2007, 16:50
It's like when you play two-up. You see 4 heads in a row, and you think well surely a tails is next, but really, every flip is a 50-50. The previous spins have no effect on the next.
I think we will give them a run for their money at Skilled on Sunday :thumbsu:
Except of course that flipping coins has a probability of 50/50 every time, where as there are many other factors that will come into play on Sunday – like a home ground advantage and lack of horse tranquilizers available for Kerr.
Cats by 25
bzparkes
9 May 2007, 17:22
Except of course that flipping coins has a probability of 50/50 every time, where as there are many other factors that will come into play on Sunday – like a home ground advantage and lack of horse tranquilizers available for Kerr.
Cats by 25
I'm betting that's going to be more of a problem for you than us ;)
this is is a game every west coast supporter looks forward too. We love beating the cats, brings back memories of peter "roo" matera running through the midfield and kicking goals from outside 50 in the grand finals of 92, 94. And i will tell you why, once again the west coast eagles will come away with a win.
We love the contested footy. Leading contested possessions and judd + kerr will dominate. Judd didn't even play last year, and we still won. He'll love this ground as his strength of playing in close and delivering picture perfect passes by foot or hand will come to the fore.
Geelong had a soft week last week, lets be honest, Richmond were horrible and the cats didn't have to work for the ball. But by gee jingles they won't be able to work hard enough this week as the eagles have pace, strength and the skills to comfortably defeat geelong.
West coast by 30
Except of course that flipping coins has a probability of 50/50 every time, where as there are many other factors that will come into play on Sunday – like a home ground advantage and lack of horse tranquilizers available for Kerr.
Cats by 25
Nah no danger, if i need we can score some gear off Garry and Nathan's old man, he's always got planty to go around ;)
A draw coming up.
I just feel it.
101 apiece
EagleMan87
9 May 2007, 23:52
Major danger game for us.
We've only had one win at Kardinia since 1999, and that was last year's comeback. But our record there has been good if you disregard when they were played, 8 wins to us, 9 losses.
Geelong may have only played Richmond last week, but we know they can beat us and beat us badly(2005 anyone?). West Coast aren't in the best of form but are still winning games. That trend has to end sooner or later.
Either we'll pick up our form and thrash 'em(unlikely until round 16 IMO), or we play our solid but uninspiring way and it's a close one.
Heart says Eagles by 25, head says Geelong by 8.
Good luck on the weekend:thumbsu:
Copernicus
10 May 2007, 01:50
This is a bloody hard one to pick, but the match-ups are going to be very interesting. We weren't tested at all last week and this game is going to be very physical and hard at it. We can't rely on dodging witches hats like we did against Richmond.
Chappy out hurts, too. Prissa and/or Stokes obviously will come in but neither are quite the same type of player. Too bad Rooke isn't fit enough as he would be a huge in for us. Just don't think he is ready and he shouldn't be risked.
crosby123
10 May 2007, 11:06
Match of the round.
haywood jablome
10 May 2007, 12:05
Chapman out with hamstring strain...He will be a big omission.
Egan will play after getting a corkie last week. Harley also a chance to play.
Stokes, Prismal or Djekerra all a chance to replace Chappy.
BTW, it soesn't work like that mathamatically...I seem to recall from my business stats days at uni that every new occasion is just that and you have the same chance (or probability) every time...hence eagles could win 5 in a row, probability of them winning or losing their next match is the same before they won their first....Gee, aren't I a nerd???
That assumes that the event is independent and has a known probability, in the case of a football game this doesn't apply.
That assumes that the event is independent and has a known probability, in the case of a football game this doesn't apply.
correct
Cox Out is a big loss but Seaby should play well enough so we dont feel the loss of Dean too much.
tommahawk
10 May 2007, 21:46
Nah no danger, if i need we can score some gear off Garry and Nathan's old man, he's always got planty to go around ;)
you are a dead set goose i dare you to come down to geelong and shoot your mouth off like that! your the last club that should be talking like that with all the junkies at your club! hows cousins going? i also heard chad fletcher had a great end of season trip. dont go fu cking mouthing off like that you fu ck head!!
Eagle87
10 May 2007, 21:50
you are a dead set goose i dare you to come down to geelong and shoot your mouth off like that! your the last club that should be talking like that with all the junkies at your club! hows cousins going? i also heard chad fletcher had a great end of season trip. dont go fu cking mouthing off like that you fu ck head!!
Quality post! :thumbsu: :rolleyes:
Maybe have a think about what he meant by ;)
Quality post! :thumbsu: :rolleyes:
Maybe have a think about what he meant by ;)
hahaha post of the year and tool of the week goes to tommahawk.
kane249
11 May 2007, 00:30
you are a dead set goose i dare you to come down to geelong and shoot your mouth off like that! your the last club that should be talking like that with all the junkies at your club! hows cousins going? i also heard chad fletcher had a great end of season trip. dont go fu cking mouthing off like that you fu ck head!!
So it's ok for Cats fans to joke about Kerr's horse tranquilizer incident, but as soon as we joke about Garry Ablett snr's drug problems its suddenly taboo?
Talk about touchy :D
So it's ok for Cats fans to joke about Kerr's horse tranquilizer incident, but as soon as we joke about Garry Ablett snr's drug problems its suddenly taboo?
Talk about touchy :D
Surely he felt better after that rant. :)
Or is there more?
CatmanForever
11 May 2007, 00:57
Should be good game. Is anyone going to post the graphic of last years progressive scores? lol
You will face a fully fit Geelong outfit this year. So we wont be running out of petrol by half time this year allowing you to come back, sorry. I am not saying this means we will win, but I suspect whatever the result the winning team will win by under 20 points IMO.
Big Nasty
11 May 2007, 03:15
So it's ok for Cats fans to joke about Kerr's horse tranquilizer incident, but as soon as we joke about Garry Ablett snr's drug problems its suddenly taboo?
Talk about touchy :D
What he did for the AFL is bring in a new generation of fans. What the AFL did for him was nothing, Yet there quick to jump on little Benny who has bought the game into disrepute. I bloody dare you big man to abuse any of the Ablett's in Geelong after the crap they have copped off the media.
Big Nasty
11 May 2007, 03:18
You blokes are in for a massive shock this week.;)
catman2006
11 May 2007, 08:29
Geelong supporters should be more quietly confident,Cats by 30.
Lunchlady Doris
11 May 2007, 09:44
A draw coming up.
I just feel it.
101 apiece
I have already put a couple of dollars on the draw, had the same sort of feeling :o
What he did for the AFL is bring in a new generation of fans. What the AFL did for him was nothing, Yet there quick to jump on little Benny who has bought the game into disrepute. I bloody dare you big man to abuse any of the Ablett's in Geelong after the crap they have copped off the media.
Some of you lot need to stop sooking FFS. You want to bring up our clubs skeletons - we`ll return the favour.
Ablett was no doubt a great footballer - pretty ordinary for a human being.
Lunchlady Doris
11 May 2007, 12:35
Ablett was no doubt a great footballer - pretty ordinary for a human being.
Way to comment on a subject that you have no idea about.
Met him, have you?
Or just read a story or two in a paper, read some thick comments on bigfooty, and now you're an expert on his character?
RhEF JC
11 May 2007, 14:10
That assumes that the event is independent and has a known probability, in the case of a football game this doesn't apply.
Exactly right. And indeed when you consider past wins as being indicative of future performances then you could say the longer a winning streak is, the greater the probability that it will continue in the next match. Probability is necessarily fuzzy like that (although I can't think how you'd argue that a longer streak increases the chances of it ending in the next game, except with faulty logic from the fact that they're "one game closer to their next loss")...perhaps we live in a deterministic world and the probability of every eventuality is either 1 or 0?
bzparkes
11 May 2007, 15:09
Way to comment on a subject that you have no idea about.
Met him, have you?
Or just read a story or two in a paper, read some thick comments on bigfooty, and now you're an expert on his character?
Same could be said about Ben though. Pretty much everyone who's met him said he's an exemplary fellow, just got issues like one G.Ablett Snr.
Anyway, this is about the game, if anyone wants to talk about other stuff, do it somewhere else.
Eagles by 12.
You blokes are in for a massive shock this week.;)
The sound of silence will shock us all after we draw.
I have already put a couple of dollars on the draw, had the same sort of feeling :o
As have I. Bold move my friend. :thumbsu:
scottyD
12 May 2007, 11:31
My guess:
Goals:
Hawkins 3.4
Ablett 4.1
Lynch 6.0
Hansen 3.2
Possesions:
Kerr 37
Bartel and Kelly 27
average guns:
Stenglein will get 10 marks and a lot of scoring oppurtunities.
Judd will play as not expected with 22 disposals
Nathan Ablett will be knocked down the ranks
Hawkins will be a major target in the forward line
scottyD
12 May 2007, 11:32
geelong by 2
midorigreenwood
12 May 2007, 13:18
nah, won't be a draw....
it'll be one of those games where if we're not on our game.... we'll get thrashed by 50 points....
look how easily geelong took the ascendency in last years game when we were caught napping
either we win by 10 points doing our egotistical cruise and do just enough to win MO..... or geelong by 6+ goals.
ps: hows the weather like?
CatmanForever
12 May 2007, 18:40
I really find it hard to believe that you are arguing over who had the better drug addict in their team? :eek: :mad:
It's so easy for an anonymous poster to sit back and take pot shots at people without the spotlight of the media ever exposing their own mistakes and indiscretions. It's so easy it is actually cowardly. :thumbsd:
Ricardo
12 May 2007, 18:44
ps: hows the weather like?
Should be fine and sunny tomorrow, around 22.....as always there should be a breeze favouring the city end.
The bad part about this game is no matter how far we might get ahead (unless its 70+ points) they'll always have last years game in their minds.
From EFH.
Sounds like West Coast had a blinder of a training session this morning.
Hood007
13 May 2007, 13:11
Let's go Catters!
Jim Boy
13 May 2007, 13:47
Always look forward to eagles matches. Freo might be their rivals due to proximity, but when it comes to actual matches, these two teams have a massive rivalry.
Who will win the Brett Spinks cup?
Not long now. Really I have no idea how this game will pan out.
Best I can go with is a good tight contest with one team skipping away a bit in the final.
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 13:57
Go Cats!
"The Eagles may be soaring but the Cats are roaring"
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:12
rojo you star!!! too bad lecras couldn't finish the deal
rojo you star!!! too bad lecras couldn't finish the deal
Chop his foot off.
0-1
Killer eagle
13 May 2007, 14:14
Brauny!
Carn the eagles!
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:14
WCE is kicking arse.... lets hope they can take advantage on the scoreboard this time...
braun gets it!!!
0-8
Braun with the first.
johnnyhoward
13 May 2007, 14:16
It's like when you play two-up. You see 4 heads in a row, and you think well surely a tails is next, but really, every flip is a 50-50. The previous spins have no effect on the next.
Correct, I've done business stats as well. But then again, footy is much different.
While that's not the reason I've backed the Eagles, I think they can get over the line today. Go the Coast.
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:16
why the hell did steve johnson kick it to mooney?
crazy stuff!!!
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:18
My god! The Frees aren't going the Eagles way. lol :D
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:19
nathan ablett is a deadset gun....
what a play
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:19
Nathan Ablett scores the first goal for the Cats.
Geelong: 1.2.8
Eagles: 1.2.8
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:20
My god! The Frees aren't going the Eagles way. lol :D
showing your ignorance again...
the free kicks have been fair
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:21
Geelong has lifted their intensity after a sluggish start :D
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:21
showing your ignorance again...
the free kicks have been fair
I didn't say they weren't fair lol It was a joke! You know a HA-HA
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:22
awesome game so far!!!
hansen replies...... he is such a great kick
94_Eagles
13 May 2007, 14:22
Good mobility Hansen.
PoidaCat
13 May 2007, 14:23
Why do Geelong keep handballing it to West Coast...might aswell kick both thier goals for them...
Killer eagle
13 May 2007, 14:26
Not sure if we should be kicking to Lecra with a 2 on 1.
Total Power
13 May 2007, 14:27
Come on coasters
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:28
its the battle of the backlines....both sides standing tall
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:29
Cats are back in front thanks to Jimmy Bartel
Cats: 2.3.15
Eagles: 2.2.14
PoidaCat
13 May 2007, 14:29
Geelong = Turnover Kings...
STOP FKN HANDBALLING IT!
Killer eagle
13 May 2007, 14:30
As long as were within 8 goals going into the last quarter, were all set for a win
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:32
great play braun running away...hunter with the grab
94_Eagles
13 May 2007, 14:32
HuntAA.
The Reaper
13 May 2007, 14:34
The longer a winning streak continues the greater the probability that the next match will end it. I think that's how it works, mathematically. I guess that's for the punters to worry about. As for the game, should be a beauty, be watching this one with interest.
If you flip a coin you have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.
The next time you flip a coin you still have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:35
If you flip a coin you have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads.
The next time you flip a coin you still have a 1 in 2 chance of getting heads
but footy games are not a coin toss
lots of other factors in play
hurn you gun!!!!
Killer eagle
13 May 2007, 14:35
Hurn Huge Kick
94_Eagles
13 May 2007, 14:35
HurntAA.
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:35
That hands in the back rule is a disgrace and has to go! Geelong were robbed of a goal then.
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:36
freaking hell its a shootout
94_Eagles
13 May 2007, 14:36
Waters you cost us that goal.
Good for my dream team though.
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:36
freaking hell its a shootout
Good game of Football ;)
Killer eagle
13 May 2007, 14:37
Noticing the loss of Cox, were not winning many clearances.
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:38
Great goal by Steven Johnson then, Cats back in front.
Cats: 4.3.27
Eagles: 4.2.26
If it's a shootout could the Eagles keep up?
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:39
Steven Johnson is a changed Footballer for the better:thumbsu:
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:42
phew..... my heart needs a rest.....
it was basketball from each other's half backline
Oh When the Saints
13 May 2007, 14:42
Thank Billy Brownless for Johnson's revival.
Hood007
13 May 2007, 14:44
Why Billy?
PoidaCat
13 May 2007, 14:45
No foward line pressure from Geelong (bar Stokes to set up mooney)....too many turnover...we kick/handball the ball straight to them...
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:47
If it ends up in a shootout I think Geelong will win this.
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:49
Judd to Judd...kicks it to Judd....
Oh When the Saints
13 May 2007, 14:51
Why Billy?
Took him on board and straightened him out ... spent a lot of time with him over the past 2 months ...
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:53
damn!!! lynchy hits the post....
looked good off the boot :/
Lenny29
13 May 2007, 14:54
Kick the ****ing ball Geelong!
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:55
mwahahaha priddis steals it and snaps the goal.....just
BarcaRulz
13 May 2007, 14:55
I love Sideshow. Great shot.
Buckley is ripped
13 May 2007, 14:56
can anyone provide me with a link to this game on fanfooty??? i cant seem to get onto it in fanfooty !!!
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:57
I should have known it'll become a defensive game in the 2nd quarter :(
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:58
much obliged lingy.....give us a few more handballs and we'll make you an honourary weagle.
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 14:59
YAY!!! Judd was pinged for holding the ball, there is a god lol
midorigreenwood
13 May 2007, 14:59
there we have it BFer hahahaha
holding the ball for juddy
Footylover1
13 May 2007, 15:01
Steven Johnson becomes the first multiple goal scorer as he puts the Cats back in front.
Cats: 5.5.35
Eagles: 5.3.33
bloodsbigot
13 May 2007, 15:03
Steven Johnson becomes the first multiple goal scorer as he puts the Cats back in front.
Cats: 5.5.35
Eagles: 5.3.33
Woo hoo. Go Geelong. -Beat these drug addicts.