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View Full Version : Goalkicing conversion analysis - part 1


FFB1
10 Jun 2008, 19:33
Just posted this on the 'Fairley's coming 7th' thread. Promised I'd do some conversion analysis since I raised it a couple of months ago. Unfortunately I had to do some work but in between work I started on the conversion analysis and while I havent pasted the charts in, the following is what I remember seeing so far:

- the most glaring thing is our accuracy at the GABBA - only 4th in line in all stadiums we play at..
- our accuracy against StK is our best
- our accuracy at AAMI is our best
- our accuracy at Subiaco is a distant last
- we've scored the most behinds of all clubs in, I think, 4 of the past 6 seasons
- our accuracy against Sydney is shocking..

I think its a huge concern if our conversion at the GABBA is as it is - its only marginally better than all our opposition since 2001 (like less than 1%) . I understand there are underlying factors such as weather conditions but we should have better accuracy than 53% (or thereabouts) - Geelong, at skilled, kick close to 60% - home ground advantage should also mean the ability to know where to kick the ball in all conditions so it goes through the big sticks. Bad conversion is bad football..

On a similar but different topic, BlackPowerLappin raised a good point today during one of our football-speak breaks - we have seen little of the issue from last year of kicking a behind then the opposition run it to their forward 50 without us touching it - has been almost non existent so far in 08..

Anyway as more analysis comes to hand will be happy to share..

PS - Maybe I should pay more attention to my spelling accuracy in the thread topic.. ;)

Lehban
10 Jun 2008, 23:11
Just posted this on the 'Fairley's coming 7th' thread. Promised I'd do some conversion analysis since I raised it a couple of months ago. Unfortunately I had to do some work but in between work I started on the conversion analysis and while I havent pasted the charts in, the following is what I remember seeing so far:

- the most glaring thing is our accuracy at the GABBA - only 4th in line in all stadiums we play at..
- our accuracy against StK is our best
- our accuracy at AAMI is our best
- our accuracy at Subiaco is a distant last
- we've scored the most behinds of all clubs in, I think, 4 of the past 6 seasons
- our accuracy against Sydney is shocking..

I think its a huge concern if our conversion at the GABBA is as it is - its only marginally better than all our opposition since 2001 (like less than 1%) . I understand there are underlying factors such as weather conditions but we should have better accuracy than 53% (or thereabouts) - Geelong, at skilled, kick close to 60% - home ground advantage should also mean the ability to know where to kick the ball in all conditions so it goes through the big sticks. Bad conversion is bad football..

On a similar but different topic, BlackPowerLappin raised a good point today during one of our football-speak breaks - we have seen little of the issue from last year of kicking a behind then the opposition run it to their forward 50 without us touching it - has been almost non existent so far in 08..

Anyway as more analysis comes to hand will be happy to share..

PS - Maybe I should pay more attention to my spelling accuracy in the thread topic.. ;)
does this take rushed behinds into account when caluclating those stats or for that matter kicks that fell short or out on the full?

FFB1
11 Jun 2008, 08:48
does this take rushed behinds into account when caluclating those stats or for that matter kicks that fell short or out on the full?

It counts rushed behinds, but in saying that it means every sides rushed behinds are counted - and the number is quite minimal when you look at it - from memory last season we had 55 rushed behinds. I took out rushed behinds and it only increased our conversion by a small amount. If time permits today (friggin work) I'll do the same taking out rushed behinds.

blackpowerlappin
11 Jun 2008, 21:57
Having seen the bigger graphical format of FFB1s goal kicking analysis - it is clear that bad kicking costs us games especially against our nemesis Sydney- I hope it rectifies itself before the finals. I'd love to see our conversions on the run from 30 to 40 metres, I would think it mirrors our overall accuracy, and the accuracy of our midfielders- do they have many shots, are they inaccurate or dont kick goals? This week will be a great test against a hot side- I hope we kick straight