The race for finals

[eth-dog]

I posted this on the Essendon board about the VFL run home, I thought it'd be interesting to put it here as well. These are the teams in contention for the last 3 places in the 8 (assuming Port, Willy, Footscray, Box Hill and Werribee finish top 5)

Collingwood (7-5): Werribee (5th), Frankston (15th), Box Hill (3rd), Essendon (9th), Geelong (11th), Bendigo (16th). Prediction: 10-8, 6th
Northern Blues (7-5): North Ballarat (10th), Werribee (5th), Casey (14th), Williamstown (4th), Port Melbourne (1st), Box Hill (3rd). Prediction: 8-10, 11th
Sandringham (6-5-1): Frankston (15th), Geelong (11th), Richmond (12th), Coburg (13th), Werribee (5th), Williamstown (4th). Prediction: 9-8-1, 7th/8th
Essendon (6-5-1): Port Melbourne (1st), Footscray (2nd), Williamstown (4th), Collingwood (6th), Richmond (12th), Geelong (11th). Prediction: 9-8-1, 7th/8th
North Ballarat (6-6): Northern Blues (7th), Bendigo (16th), Coburg (13th), Geelong (11th), Williamstown (4th), Port Melbourne (1st). Prediction: 9-9, 9th/10th
Geelong (6-6): Richmond (12th), Sandringham (8th), Frankston (15th), North Ballarat (10th), Collingwood (6th), Essendon (9th). Prediction: 9-9, 9th/10th

Bolded are wins, italics 50/50, normal losses.

 

[sverik25]

I think Sandringham's form might improve slightly for the rest of the year because St Kilda now has fewer injuries - and senior players on their way out like Gwilt, Jones etc. will probably play there. Given their run home, I would expect Sandy to make the 8.

Interesting that you have some of those Essendon matches as 50/50, I wouldn't expect them to win any of those and I would probably have the match against Geelong as 50/50 as well.

 

[eth-dog]

I should have them all as 50/50's with Essendon. Our VFL side is like North in the AFL, nobody knows what the * will happen. Our game against BH was excellent, that's what makes me lean towards to those as 50/50's, but on the other hand we lost to Casey and drew with Frankston so it's really unpredictable what we're going to produce

 

[eth-dog]

Well with Collingwood defeating Werribee yesterday and Essendon getting robbed vs Port that changes the dynamic a lot. Richmond beating Geelong almost seals their place outside the 8 with a tough draw. Box Hill beating Footscray helps us, and the Roosters vs the Blues is a crucial match too.

 

[sverik25]

Casey are enormous villains at the moment.

 

[VitalDread]

Hopefully the VFL allows footscray to play their finals games at Whitten oval.

 

[pazza]

Hopefully the VFL allows footscray to play their finals games at Whitten oval.

Have earned the right in any event.

Probably won't get televised as the ABC just loves Port Melbourne who will get their own final and 1 more in the first week alone.

 

[MooreTreloar]

1 Port Melbourne 16 14 2 0 0 1664 1144 145.45 56
2 Footscray Bulldogs 16 12 4 0 0 1766 1084 162.92 48
3 Williamstown 16 12 4 0 0 1620 1170 138.46 48
4 Box Hill Hawks 16 11 4 1 0 1572 1178 133.45 46
5 North Ballarat 16 10 6 0 0 1367 1154 118.46 40
6 Collingwood 16 10 6 0 0 1455 1314 110.73 40
7 Werribee Tigers 16 9 7 0 0 1419 1181 120.15 36
8 Sandringham 16 8 7 1 0 1437 1470 97.76 34
9 Geelong Cats 16 8 8 0 0 1559 1355 115.06 32
10 Northern Blues 16 7 9 0 0 1150 1469 78.28 28
11 Essendon 16 6 9 1 0 1333 1437 92.76 26
12 Richmond Tigers 16 6 9 1 0 1392 1559 89.29 26
13 Frankston 16 4 10 2 0 1145 1416 80.86 20
14 Casey Scorpions 16 5 11 0 0 1058 1405 75.30 20
15 Coburg 16 3 13 0 0 1148 1599 71.79 12
16 Bendigo Gold 16 0 16 0 0 935 2085 44.84 0

 

[MooreTreloar]

It looks like Werribee, Sandringham & Geelong are fighting for the last 2 spots. Geelong v Collingwood will be a big match at 11am Saturday. Geelong lose and it may be all over for them.

 

[eth-dog]

It looks like Werribee, Sandringham & Geelong are fighting for the last 2 spots. Geelong v Collingwood will be a big match at 11am Saturday. Geelong lose and it may be all over for them.

A lot riding on the Werribee vs Sandringham game. If Sandi get up, definitely no finals for Essendon VFL and Northern Blues. But if they don't, they have Williamstown the following week. So basically:

Sandringham: Werribee (50/50), Williamstown (L)
Geelong: Collingwood (L), Essendon (50/50)
Northern Blues: Port Melbourne (L), Box Hill (L)
Essendon: Richmond (W), Geelong (50/50)

 

[MooreTreloar]

A lot riding on the Werribee vs Sandringham game. If Sandi get up, definitely no finals for Essendon VFL and Northern Blues. But if they don't, they have Williamstown the following week. So basically:

Sandringham: Werribee (50/50), Williamstown (L)
Geelong: Collingwood (L), Essendon (50/50)
Northern Blues: Port Melbourne (L), Box Hill (L)
Essendon: Richmond (W), Geelong (50/50)

Did't looks that deep into it. I'd hae the Cats v Pies as 50/50, the game is in Geelong and I don't know when our VFL last won at the ground.

 

[eth-dog]

Did't looks that deep into it. I'd hae the Cats v Pies as 50/50, the game is in Geelong and I don't know when our VFL last won at the ground.

I was at the Essendon vs Collingwood game on the weekend, if you protect your defence as well as you did I can't see you losing. Geelong's VFL side is poor apart from their forward line

 

[MooreTreloar]

I was at the Essendon vs Collingwood game on the weekend, if you protect your defence as well as you did I can't see you losing. Geelong's VFL side is poor apart from their forward line

I hope you're right, we've got Bendigo the following week, so I'm hoping we finish 5-6, not that we'll get a final at Victoria Park. I'd be happy if the final as televised on TV.

 

[eth-dog]

I hope you're right, we've got Bendigo the following week, so I'm hoping we finish 5-6, not that we'll get a final at Victoria Park. I'd be happy if the final as televised on TV.

If you finish 5th and Essendon 8th I'd be pretty sure that'd be the TV match, no disrespect to the other final (which would be NB vs Werribee)

 

[MooreTreloar]

If you finish 5th and Essendon 8th I'd be pretty sure that'd be the TV match, no disrespect to the other final (which would be NB vs Werribee)

I think you're right.

 

[CrowdedHouse]

Hopefully the VFL allows footscray to play their finals games at Whitten oval.

Won't happen.
VFL get the gate for the finals, so it has to be at a ground where they can charge admission, sadly Whitten Oval needs temp fencing for that to happen

 

[MooreTreloar]

Won't happen.
VFL get the gate for the finals, so it has to be at a ground where they can charge admission, sadly Whitten Oval needs temp fencing for that to happen

That's the same with us and Victoria Park, the council won't let us fence it off. one should they probably.

 

[JF_Bay_22_SCG]

Have earned the right in any event.

Probably won't get televised as the ABC just loves Port Melbourne who will get their own final and 1 more in the first week alone.

Port Melbourne's ground has a fence they can close off. And have no conflicts with AFL commitments. The finals are an awesome revenue earner for a true VFA/VFL Stand-alone club.

Go the mighty Borough!

JF

 

[eth-dog]

One possible change coming into the last round. If Essendon beat Geelong, the top 8 is locked in. But with Werribee playing Frankston it's hard to see it changing.

 

[sverik25]

Sandy secured their spot in the finals by beating Werribee so the last spot is down to Werribee and Geelong. I'd back Werribee in from here.

 

[highway child]

Was lucky enough to get to the last Port Melbourne GF win against Williamstown and have to say it was just an awesome day. Would love to see them win it again.

 

[Dazb86]

Won't happen.
VFL get the gate for the finals, so it has to be at a ground where they can charge admission, sadly Whitten Oval needs temp fencing for that to happen

Peter Gordan is forking out the cash for temp fencing. Playing at the Whitten oval 1pm Sunday.

 

[MooreTreloar]

Amazingly Collingwood are playing at Victoria Park, entry is free.