Call me a party pooper, but there still remains a mathematical chance that we could miss fourth spot. St Kilda are more than 4.5% behind us, but they can still overtake us if they have a big, big win against Essendon.
How big? In the order of about 95 points.
Improbable perhaps, but certainly not unheard of. St Kilda would be well aware of what they need to achieve. And Essendon are, well, a joke.
Here's my spreadsheet of scorelines that would do it for the Saints. If my calculations are correct.
How big? In the order of about 95 points.
Improbable perhaps, but certainly not unheard of. St Kilda would be well aware of what they need to achieve. And Essendon are, well, a joke.
Here's my spreadsheet of scorelines that would do it for the Saints. If my calculations are correct.
Code:
StK Ess Margin
89 0 89
90 1 89
91 2 89
92 3 89
93 4 89
94 5 89
96 6 90
97 7 90
98 8 90
99 9 90
100 10 90
101 11 90
102 12 90
103 13 90
104 14 90
105 15 90
107 16 91
108 17 91
109 18 91
110 19 91
111 20 91
112 21 91
113 22 91
114 23 91
115 24 91
116 25 91
118 26 92
119 27 92
120 28 92
121 29 92
122 30 92
123 31 92
124 32 92
125 33 92
126 34 92
127 35 92
128 36 92
130 37 93
131 38 93
132 39 93
133 40 93
134 41 93
135 42 93
136 43 93
137 44 93
138 45 93
139 46 93
141 47 94
142 48 94
143 49 94
144 50 94
145 51 94
146 52 94
147 53 94
148 54 94
149 55 94
150 56 94
152 57 95
153 58 95
154 59 95
155 60 95
156 61 95
157 62 95
158 63 95
159 64 95
160 65 95
161 66 95
163 67 96
164 68 96
165 69 96
166 70 96
167 71 96
168 72 96
169 73 96
170 74 96
171 75 96
172 76 96
173 77 96
175 78 97
176 79 97
177 80 97
178 81 97
179 82 97
180 83 97
181 84 97
182 85 97
183 86 97
184 87 97
186 88 98
187 89 98
188 90 98
189 91 98
190 92 98
191 93 98
192 94 98
193 95 98
194 96 98
195 97 98
197 98 99
198 99 99
199 100 99
200 101 99
201 102 99
202 103 99
203 104 99
204 105 99
205 106 99
206 107 99
207 108 99
209 109 100
210 110 100
211 111 100
212 112 100
213 113 100
214 114 100
215 115 100
216 116 100
217 117 100
218 118 100
220 119 101
221 120 101
222 121 101
223 122 101
224 123 101
225 124 101
226 125 101
227 126 101
228 127 101
229 128 101
231 129 102
232 130 102
233 131 102
234 132 102
235 133 102
236 134 102
237 135 102
238 136 102
239 137 102
240 138 102
242 139 103
243 140 103
244 141 103
245 142 103
246 143 103
247 144 103
248 145 103
249 146 103
250 147 103
251 148 103
252 149 103
254 150 104
