2015 - AFL Round 18

[Whirlpool]

Ladbrokes Hawks to win $20 @ $2

 

[chrisdon16]

Gold Coast

Ablett injured. Suns playing like women without him, and even with him most of the time, West Coast playing great. Suns season over, nothing to play for, tanking for another number 1 draft. West Coast desperate to win to make top 2 for a home final. Can you explain why you chose Suns in your multi?

 

[chrisdon16]

Adding Port Saints under 183.5. Should go under anyway, but rain Saturday, rain easing Sunday, if rain eases, ground should be a bit sloshy

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Ablett injured. Suns playing like women without him, and even with him most of the time, West Coast playing great. Suns season over, nothing to play for, tanking for another number 1 draft. West Coast desperate to win to make top 2 for a home final. Can you explain why you chose Suns in your multi?

I just put them because West Coast have been up for a long time now and we're so overdue for a Saturday night upset, round 8 was the last I think. Probably won't happen but I like throwing a roughie or two in my multis.

 

[Stevi_Tigers]

don't mind the crows at 2.80 saints are a chance but expect port to win. liking an early multi of cats,pies,freo,west coast 40+,north 40+ both teams love punishing weak sides

 

[SApies]

Sportsbet have paid out over $1m for Hawks to win the premiership
I think they'll win it, but any thing can happen on grand final day!

 

[iluvparis]

Sportsbet have paid out over $1m for Hawks to win the premiership
I think they'll win it, but any thing can happen on grand final day!

This is awesome - backed the Hawks under their $50 weekly free bet promo - and then laid it off on betfair when their price came in after Round 1. Now hoping they choke for the double collect

 

[Big Fozza]

Ablett injured. Suns playing like women without him, and even with him most of the time, West Coast playing great. Suns season over, nothing to play for, tanking for another number 1 draft. West Coast desperate to win to make top 2 for a home final. Can you explain why you chose Suns in your multi?

this. i've gone WCE 40+.

should be good weather over the weekend

 

[chrisdon16]

Sportsbet have paid out over $1m for Hawks to win the premiership
I think they'll win it, but any thing can happen on grand final day!

Only reason they do this is because 90% of the payees put more bets on with their winnings

 

[Jugada]

They do it because its a very cost effective marketing tool

 

[free at last]

Adding Port Saints under 183.5. Should go under anyway, but rain Saturday, rain easing Sunday, if rain eases, ground should be a bit sloshy

I just checked sky weather & bom,both are forecasting a band of rain starting in the west tonight,then slowly migrating East over the next 2-3 days.Adelaide should definitely see some of this weather too.

I'm on the under 183.5 pts port v saints

 

[Zealbee]

Only reason they do this is because 90% of the payees put more bets on with their winnings

Withdrew my 8U straight away. Sportsbet suck. They better still give me the weekly bonus bets if Hawthorn win.

 

[jimbler]

Withdrew my 8U straight away. Sportsbet suck. They better still give me the weekly bonus bets if Hawthorn win.

Same here. I got the $100 Premiership bet/$10 free bet as well, and put it on the Hawks like everyone else. I had a feeling this was coming after they started belting teams, but I thought they might wait until the Hawks moved into one of the top two spots before they paid out. Have been death riding the two WA teams for the past few weeks.

 

[chrisdon16]

You guys belong in the 10% category

 

[chrisdon16]

I just checked sky weather & bom,both are forecasting a band of rain starting in the west tonight,then slowly migrating East over the next 2-3 days.Adelaide should definitely see some of this weather too.

I'm on the under 183.5 pts port v saints

Yep. At worst, ground will be slightly slippery, ball use should be sub par

 

[chrisdon16]

Chucking on this one:
Geelong 40+
Sydney 1-39
Port 1-39
Dogs 1-39
$11@18.29

 

[Keystone agony]

Makes it hard for saints now without riewoldt.

Still dont think port are going to well. They shouldve beaten the dons by a fair margin.

 

[Robo87]

Hawks (in form)
Geelong (at home & brisbane are just terrible)
WC (in form and no ablett for suns)
Port (at home and with Riewoldt, lonie, gilbert out)
Freo (at home vs an up and down Gws)
2u Multi @2.12 (SB moneyback if 1 leg loses special)
not heaps of value here, but i struggle to see more than 1 upset in these 5 games.

 

[Latour]

Bulldogs are decent value I reckon, no way Essendon are going to win.

 

[Keystone agony]

Hawks (in form)
Geelong (at home & brisbane are just terrible)
WC (in form and no ablett for suns)
Port (at home and with Riewoldt, lonie, gilbert out)
Freo (at home vs an up and down Gws)
2u Multi @2.12 (SB moneyback if 1 leg loses special)
not heaps of value here, but i struggle to see more than 1 upset in these 5 games.

Should be safe.

Cant see eagles, geel or freo losing.

I doubt richmond cause the upset against the hawks.

Port are the worry but without riewoldt youd think they should win.

 

[Zealbee]

Suns without Rischatelli as well. Should get belted.

 

[Robo87]

Suns without Rischatelli as well. Should get belted.

yes true, but belted enough for WC to cover the -43.5 line? im tempted.

edit: I Added WC line -43.5@1.92 on WH before it jumps out more. its already at -46.5 on SB and lads.

 

[Keystone agony]

Id think so. Struggle to see the suns scoring against the eagles the only danger is lynch/dixon talls combo

 

[Mudeo]

A few i like this week:
Cotchin 30 touches or more @ 3.30
35 or more @ 11

Shoenmakers 3 or more goals @ 9.50

Duncan 30 or more @ 4.7
35 or more @ 18
40 or more @ 83

Vince 30 or more @ 2.90

Swan 30 or more @ 2.40

Swallow 25 or more @ 2.75

Simpson 25 or more @ 2.45

Masten 30 or more @ 2.20
35 or more @ 6.80
40 @ 23

And will wait to see odds on Robbie Gray 3-5 goals Toby Greene 25-35 touches.

EDIT: Adding Priddis Most Disposals of Round @ 14

 

[STANDBYHIRD12]

All faces excluding Syd @ $4.45-$200 SB special