2015 LFFL Premiership Season - Round 13 - The final round

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Round 13: AFL Round 19

Bye vs. The Meerkats


Easy win for Meerkats, can't make finals so nothing on the line here.

$1.90 Draconian Knights vs. American Rednecks $1.90

This is the match of the round because simply, the winner makes finals, the loser doesn't. It doesn't get much bigger than this. 12 rounds of football comes down to a match and a flip of a coin as to whether or not the respective side makes finals.

$2.20 Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons $1.60

The Dragons have limped into a top four spot, so they won't drop out unless Classy Gentlemen win and score more than 300 than the Dragons. For the Mozzies, luckily they can't drop out of the eight due to the clash between the Knights and the Rednecks, but a loss would see them slip to eighth while a win would possibly see them jump The Ladyboys.

$1.05 City Oval Plovers vs. The Cheetahs $10

They aren't the bye, but they might as well be. Only a shocking performance by the Plovers will stop them being the only undefeated side in history. An unlikely win for The Cheetahs and scoring three more points than The Meerkats would see them jump to 10th. They can't drop lower than 11th.

$1.70 South-Eastern Polar Bears vs. The Ladyboys $2.30

A more important clash than first thought. The Ladyboys win and Classy Gentlemen lose and they'll likely jump into 5th spot and play either the Knights or Rednecks, otherwise they'll likely face The Ladyboys. While for the Polar Bears, a win secures 2nd and they face either Animals or the Dragons, a loss and they could meet the Plovers in the first week of the finals.

Holiday Armadillos vs. Bye

Another nothing game with the Armadillos able to pick up their second win if they name their side.

$2.50 Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild $1.50

Classy Gentlemen need to win and score more than 300 points to jump past the Dragons (if they lose) or defeat the Animals by 402 points. Failing the impossible result, Classy Gentleman will host a home elimination final.
 
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Taking out the bye teams and Plovers/Cheetahs as that won't impact finals:

*Scenario 1: All the favourites win


Draconian Knights vs. American Rednecks
Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears
vs. The Ladyboys
Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild

Finals week 1:

City Oval Plovers vs South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs Animals run wild
Classy Gentlemen vs Mozzie Bites
The Ladyboys vs Draconian Knights

---

*Scenario 2: Home teams win

Draconian Knights vs. American Rednecks
Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs. The Ladyboys
Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild

City Oval Plovers vs South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs Animals run wild
Classy Gentlemen vs Draconian Knights
Mozzie Bites vs The Ladyboys

---

*Scenario 3: Away teams win

Draconian Knights vs. American Rednecks
Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs. The Ladyboys
Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild

City Oval Plovers vs South-Eastern Polar Bears
Animals run wild vs South West Dragons
The Ladyboys vs Mozzie Bites
Classy Gentlemen vs American Rednecks

---

Since DK/AMR will end up in the same position, we'll put them as DK/AMR.

*Scenario 4:

Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs. The Ladyboys
Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild

City Oval Plovers vs South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs Animals run wild
Classy Gentlemen vs DK/AMR
Mozzie Bites vs The Ladyboys

---

*Scenario 5:

Mozzie Bites vs. South West Dragons
South-Eastern Polar Bears vs. The Ladyboys
Classy Gentlemen vs. Animals run wild

City Oval Plovers vs Animals run wild
South West Dragons vs South-Eastern Polar Bears
Classy Gentlemen vs DK/AMR
The Ladyboys vs Mozzie Bites
 
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$1000 on the Mozzie Bites













Back: Michael Hibberd
Back: Dane Swan
Inside Mid: Mitch Wallis
Outside Mid: Jordan Lewis (VC)
Forward: Jack Darling
Forward: Joe Daniher
Ruck: Aaron Sandilands (C)
Tackler: Tom Scully
Utility: Adam Treloar
Coach's Choice: Devon Smith (F)
----------------------------------------
B: Sam Wright
CC: Jonathon Griffen (R)
F: Tom Boyd
IM: Brandon Matera
OM: Nathan Van Berlo
R: Zac Clarke
T: Brodie Smith
U: Ben Howlett
Matt Crouch

Tom Liberatore
 
Arw
Back: Josh Caddy
Back: Easton Wood
Im: Ben Cunnington
Om: Daniel Hannebury (vc)
Tkl:Stephen Coniglio
Ruck: Todd Goldstein (c)
Fwd: Shaun Higgins
Fwd: jack Gunston
Utl: Luke Parker
Cc(inside mid): Jack Ziebell

Emergencies
Back: Matt Suckling
Im:
Om: shaun atley
Tkl: chris mayne
Ruck: jarred witts
Fwd: paddy ryder
Utl: Tom Bell
Cc(back): Jasper Pittard

Bench
Shiel
Franklin
Merrett
 
Thank the lord of light this season is coming to an end for The Cheetahs....

The Cheetahs

Back: Sam Gibson
Back: Jimmy Bartel (c)
IM: Cameron Guthrie
OM: Daniel Rich
Forward: Jack Riewoldt (vc)
Forward: Eddie Betts
Ruck: Lachlan Hansen
Tackler: Heath Hocking
Utility: Travis Boak
CC: Allen Christensen (Back)

Emergencies
Back:
IM:
OM:
Forward:
Ruck:
Tackler: Lindsay Thomas
Utility:
CC:
 
Back: Chris Masten

Back: D. Cross

Forward: M. Pavlich

Forward: D. Petrie

Inside Mid: D. Mundy (C)

Outside Mid: K. Jack

Ruck: M. Gawn

Tackler: T. Rockliff

Utility: J. Selwood

Captains Choice: M. Boyd (VC)

Emergencys

Back: J. Kelly

Forward: J. Hogan

Inside Mid:

Outside Mid: A. Vandenberg

Ruck: M. Jamar

Tackler: M. Robinson

Utility: A. Mackay
 
1600 on Plovers (1.05) into ARW (1.50) into Polar Bears (1.70)

B: Brendon Goddard (VC)
B: Tom T. Lynch
CC: Elliott Yeo (IM)
F: Luke Dahlhaus
F: Chad Wingard
IM: Andrew Swallow
OM: Dyson Heppell (C)
R: Tom Nicholls
T: Jack Martin
U: Rory Sloane

EMG:
B: Jeremy McGovern
CC:
F: Josh Bruce
IM:
OM: Toby Greene
R: Andrew Phillips
T:
U:

Koby Stevens
Jamie MacMillan
David Hale
Shane Edwards
 
The Ladyboys (subject to change)

Back: Leigh Montagna
Back: Jack Newnes
IM: Patrick Cripps
OM: Lachie Neale (vc)
Forward: Jeremy Cameron
Forward: Tom Lynch
Ruck: Sam Jacobs (c)
Tackler: Michael Rischitelli
Utility: Tom Mitchell
CC: Michael Hurley (B)


Emergencies
Back: Ricky Henderson
IM:
OM: Dom Tyson
Forward: Mat Taberner
Ruck: Tom Downie
Tackler: Mark Hutchings
Utility: Ryan Griffen
CC:


Omitted / Injured
Sam Docherty (inj)
Will Hoskin-Elliot
 
Can I make two bets, or just one? If two;
1. $600 on Knights into Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals
2. $600 on Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals

If only one;
$1200 on Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals

Draconian Knights
Back:
Heath Shaw (VC)
Back: Rory Laird
Coaches choice: Grant Birchall (Backs)
Forward: Jay Schulz
Forward: Tom Hawkins
Inside Mid: Patrick Dangerfield (C)
Outside Mid: Shaun Grigg
Ruck: Jonathan Giles
Tackler: Paul Puopolo
Utility: Liam Picken

Reserves:
Back:
Jarrod Harbrow
Coaches choice: Taylor Duryea (Backs)
Forward: Andrejs Everitt
Inside Mid: Richard Douglas
Outside Mid: Brent Harvey
Ruck: Callum Sinclair
Tackler: Scott Selwood
Utility: Jonathon Ceglar

Others:
1:
Paul Duffield
2: Dion Prestia
 
SOUTH-EASTERN POLAR BEARS
Backman:
Luke Hodge
Backman: Nick Dal Santo
Forward: Taylor Walker (Vice Captain)
Forward: Mark LeCras
Inside Midfielder: Luke Shuey
Outside Midfielder: Sam Mitchell (Captain)
Tackler: Hamish Hartlett
Ruckman: Matthew Lobbe
Coaches Choice: Nathan Jones (OM)
Utility: Jack Redden

Backman Emergency: Steven Motlop
Forward Emergency: Jake Stringer
Inside Midfielder Emergency: Heritier Lumumba
Outside Midfielder Emergency: Lewis Taylor
Tackler Emergency: Maverick Weller
Ruckman Emergency: Brodie Grundy
Captains Choice Emergency: Matthew Stokes (B)
Utility Emergency: Ben McGlynn

Others:
Adam Oxley
Paul Chapman
 
$1000 on the Mozzie Bites
To win $2200 and increase to $3500. Loss will leave you on $1300.
1600 on Plovers (1.05) into ARW (1.50) into Polar Bears (1.70)
To win $4284 and increase to $5304. Loss will leave you on $1020.
Can I make two bets, or just one? If two;
1. $600 on Knights into Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals
2. $600 on Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals

If only one;
$1200 on Dragons into Plovers into Bears into Animals
Scenario 1, bet 1: To win $4883.76 and increase to $6528.76. Loss will leave me on $1645.
Scenario 1, bet 2: To win $2570.40. Loss on both will leave me on $1045, win on 1 and lose on 2 leaves $5928.76, lose on 1 and win on 2 leaves $3615.40, win on both leaves $9099.16.
Scenario 2: To win $5140.80 and increase to $6185.80. Loss leaves $1045.
I reckon in all those matches (bar Plovers/Cheetahs and the byes obviously) either of the competing teams could win it.

$900 on ARW @ $1.50
To win $1350 and increase to $1350. Loss will leave you with $0.
 
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South West Dragons:

BACK: Kade Simpson
BACK: Taylor Adams
CC: Callan Ward (OM)
FORWARD: Jarryd Roughead
FORWARD: Nick Riewoldt
INSIDE MID: Scott Thompson (c)
OUTSIDE MID: David Armitage (vc)
RUCK: Billy Longer
TACKLER: Brad Ebert
UTILITY: Scott Pendlebury

IN: Nick Riewoldt
OUT: Jarrad Waite

EMG:

B: Josh Gibson
CC: Cameron Wood (R)
F: Jarrad Waite
IM:
OM: Bachar Houli
R: Rhys Stanley
T: Andrew Carrazzo
U: Jamie Cripps

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood)
Rob Murphy (Western Bulldogs)
Nick Riewoldt (St Kilda)
Marley Williams (Collingwood)
 
American Rednecks
B: Lachie Whitfield
B: Matt Rosa
CC: Jarryd McVeigh
F: Ben Brown
F: Charlie Dixon
IM: Robbie Gray (c)
OM: Bernie Vince (vc)
R: Mark Blicavs
T: Jack Steven
U: Matthew Priddis

Emergencies
B: Jake Lloyd
CC: Cam McCarthy (F)
F: Jamie Elliot
IM: Angus Brayshaw
OM:
R: Justin Westhoff
T: Jarryd Blair
U: Ed Curnow

Others
Nick Graham
Mike Pyke
Will Langford
 
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Holiday Armadillos

Back: Matthew Broadbent
Back: Corey Enright
CC: Nick Malceski (B)
Forward: Josh J. Kennedy
Forward: Jake Carlisle
Inside Mid: Mark Murphy
Outside Mid: Isaac Smith
Ruck: Stefan Martin
Tackler: Jack Crisp
Utility: Shaun Burgoyne

Give me a win. :cool:
 
Classy Gentlemen
Backs: James Frawley
Backs: Alex Rance
Cap Choice: Trent Cotchin (IM)
Forwards: Michael Walters
Forwards: Luke Bruest
IM: Jack Viney (c)
OM: Dustin Martin (vc)
Ruck: Shaun Hampson
Tackler: Liam Shiels
Utility: Josh P Kennedy

Emergencies:
Backs: Cale Hooker
Cap Choice: Adam Saad (defence)
Forwards: Angus Monfries
IM:
OM: Tom Langdon
Rucks: Ivan Maric
Tackler: Matt DeBoer
Utility: Jeremy Howe

Subs:
Luke Dunstan
Luke McDonald
Shane Mumford (inj)
 
Update with two games remaining:

Knights 349.5 (2) lead Rednecks 275.5 (2)

Mozzies 175.5 (6*) trail Dragons 270.5 (4)

Plovers 320 (2*) trail Cheetahs 335.5 (1)

Polar Bears 428.5 lead Ladyboys 297 (5)

Gentlemen 425.5 (1) lead Animals 425 (1) [Walters and Coniglio the two respectively]
 
Should have checked Longer wasn't playing. Had Stanley at reserve rather than Wood, will cost me the match.

Jack Steven just needs 17 more tackles for the Rednecks to make finals, otherwise congratulations to Danoz
 
Should have checked Longer wasn't playing. Had Stanley at reserve rather than Wood, will cost me the match.
LOL. No it won't. You're getting flogged. Wouln't have mattered who you had there. Write us off at your own peril.
 

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