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Discussion in 'Punting Board' started by yamahamoto, Apr 2, 2012.
Some big ins for the Swans with Rhyce Shaw and Ryan O'Keefe coming back into the side.
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So it looks like to sum up Rd. 2 bets in here so far, if Carlton and West Coast cover and Freo win, then the majority of people in this thread will be doing nicely! All the best to everyone for the long Easter weekend and good punting!
Yeah it was a per leg bonus multi. So instead of a 4% bonus it was 5%. Not much really but no reason not to chuck it in.
I think you may be overrating Ports improvement and underestimating how poor StKilda were. Essendon are a better team than the Saints and looked in far better form on the weekend. Essendon should win. Not 100% sure on the line but definitely confident on the win. Plus Butcher is now out.
This is a reasonable compromise, imo
Hocking a big omission for the Bombers and Hooker to a lesser extent.
Trengrove is back though. Nearly an even swap. I really rate Ports midfield. Ports back line is their weakest point and if Reiwoldt, Kozi, Milne and Schneider can't turn it in to a winning score Hurley, Hille plus whoever plays as the small forward doesn't fill me with much confidence. Ports midfield breaks even IMO and with Esssendons outs I can see Port kicking a winning score.
Essendon to most likely win but $1.20 is waayyyy to short. IMO Essendons and Carltons odds should be swapped around.
Odds are so short for the Dons for the simple reason Port has been terrible away from home for in recent times and Essendon play Etihad very well(beat Geelong and Eagles last year). Essendon's forward line is a lot more potent than St Kilda's and we had 67 inside 50's for 34 scoring shots last week and something like the second most marks inside 50 for the round. Along with Hurley and Hille who you named we also have Ryder float down there along with Crameri and Monfries always plays well against Port. I have the Dons in all my multi's at over 15.5 but get the feeling we could end up with a 10 goal win. Carlisle is about an even swap for Hooker possibly better and we didn't miss Hocking too much last week.
Hmm I agree Trengrove back is a good addition to their team but I think Butcher is more important. Put's more pressure on Shulz and Westoff now. Also no Gray back.
I thought Reiwoldt was horrible last week. Didn't take much stopping at all. Kosi looked dangerous when the ball was kicked correctly to him and Schneider didn't play. Hurley, Ryder/Hille, Crameri and Zaharakis look just as dangerous for mine. Hocking out is worrying but they did play without him basically all last week as well.
I was also impressed with Ports midfield. Can't see Hartlett getting given so much space this weekend but their depth with Ebert and Mcarthy looks great.
I do believe this may be a close game but i'm confident Essendon can get the win.
Hocking didn't even play against Port last year, Port aren't going to replace the 10 goals they lose from that side last year, and are now playing us when we actually give a shit
Ports midfield is no where near essendons
Stanton continues to go to a new level as does Watson he will soon be recognized as an elite of the comp like top 10. Howlett, Myers are very good bullocking midfielders Lonergan can do what Hocking can do another bullocking type. Than class of Zaka, Heppell and Melky on the outside.
Port have Boak, Thomas, Pearce, Cassisi, Ebert and McCarthy.
All look really good atm
Reckon my bet could be over 1st up. Carlton starting to look like this could blow out over 39 points, need them to take the gas off a little or they will go over.
2nd H - LIONS +20.5 (x1)
(Lions Down 21 @ Half. GL LIONS +41.5)
0.5 u carton -18.5
1U Collingwood 40+
2U West Coast -53.5
Yep, I'm done, Brisbane getting smashed, blow out here.
Always good to be standing in the queue at 3qtr time. It was always going to be tough on Brissie coming off a 5 day break early in the season.
And that would be why Carlton were my most confident bet
Was a good night. One of my main bets got up, Murphy over Rockliff and Adcock under 91.5 was never in doubt. Also only need 3 and 4 out of the remaining 8 games for my boxed multis. Good start.
I think everyone is sitting pretty after that game. Good start
If Lenny loaded up on More behinds than goals on the players he has been choosing for most goals he would be doing nicely. Betts kicked 2 goals 3 and passed off another one that he could have easily kicked.
Played out just as I thought... first quarter really set it up!
Always good to get off to a big win first up!
yeah, getting a bit silly - oh well
Very happy with my -17.5 and -38.5 on carlton
Tipped them by 62 and as many know i kept saying they will pants brisbane.
Also seeing a trend with the blues that they start slow and continually get better and better.
Carlton vs Collingwood could be a ripper that you shouldnt bet on unless there is real value.
lost on the Brisbane +20.5 handicap, Carlton played too good.
I dont think Brisbane were that bad in the 1st half and actually gave a good account of themselves. Carlton will be thereabouts come end of this year and I price them as favourites irrespective of what Collingwood do tommorow night. It seems to me also that Carlton have a better fitness this season (as shown by their 2 thumpings in the 2nd halfs of both matches)
are you talking about premiership favs or the Carl/Coll game?
Carl/Coll game next week