Aussies Australian Prospects for London 2012

Discussion in 'The Games' started by XFactor1979, Aug 21, 2011.

Put it out there
  1. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    2012 Australian Swimming Championships (doubling as Olympic qualifiers) start today. Might as well keep track of winners and qualifiers here.

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  2. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    Rice first to qualify in the 400IM following her shoulder surgery in December. Swam the second fastest time so far this year.
  3. pepsi

    pepsi Team Captain

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    It has been a pretty exciting week for the swimmers so far. Our 4*100 metre freestyle teams will have a good crack, great to see Rice win with the injuries she has had and James Magnussen what a beast. Cannot wait to see him race in London. Hope he can deliver on the biggest stage.
  4. imadodgyumpire

    imadodgyumpire Team Captain

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    I can't wait for the Olympics, I don't get why some people knock it. Lucky for me, I've got a job that's pretty loose with time as long as I meet my deadlines. I will be staying up the whole night for the whole two weeks!
  5. CAS79

    CAS79 Moderator

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    The athletics community thinks it's a chance to pick up a gold in the long jump if Mitchell Watt jumps to potential.
  6. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    http://www.theage.com.au/sport/olym...-to-be-biggest-since-2000-20120612-2089m.html
    http://www.theage.com.au/sport/olym...-to-be-biggest-since-2000-20120612-2089m.html
  7. DREAM TEAM BUFF

    DREAM TEAM BUFF Moderator

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  8. XFactor1979

    XFactor1979 All Australian

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    SJ likes this.
  9. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    ^^ Yeah was really sad to hear Bateman died in a car crash. Only 31. He was a good solid relay runner.
  10. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    News Ltd papers run a virtual medals table. It's provided by Netherlands based company Infostrada Sports who update it at the start of each month based on world championships, world cup meetings, various Olympic trials, and other results from around the world.

    You can view by each one of the 302 events. The prediction is only 1 swimming gold medal Belinda Hocking in the 200m Backstroke. The US swimming Olympic trials are on at the moment so there might be some change there. The US athletics Olympic trials are also on so there could be a few other prediction adjustments. Click on View by Event to go thru events.

    Current top table is

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/london-olympics/medal-table

    Code:
    Country...... RK G S B Tot Prev Rk
     
    United States 1 41 20 27 88 1
    China........ 2 34 35 25 94 2
    Russia....... 3 21 27 33 81 3
    Germany...... 4 20 20 20 60 4
    Great Britain 5 17 27 19 63 5
    France....... 6 11 13 13 37 11
    Australia.... 7 10 12 18 40 6
    Italy........ 8 10 10 13 33 8
    Korea........ 9 10 3 14 27 10
    Japan........ 10 9 15 11 35 7
    Kenya........ 11 9 5 5 19 9
    Brazil....... 12 7 5 5 17 12
    --------------------
    
    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/london-olympics/medal-table

    Gold Predictions

    Athletics...... 1 Pearson 100m hurdles
    Hockey........ 1 Mens team
    Cycling Track 3 Meares in Kerin, Mens Team Pursuit and Womens Team Sprint
    Gymnastics... 1 Women's FloorExercise Lauren Mitchell
    Sailing.......... 3 Men's 470, Men's 49er, Men's laser
    Swimming...... 1 Hocking 200m bokeackstroke

    Sports Illustrated will be making their predictions around mid July and will have it on line

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/olympics/?eref=sinav
  11. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    What is this based on?! First event I check is the 100 free:

    Thought that was pretty odd, so checked FINA's quickest times per athlete this year:

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  12. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    Have the Canadian trials been run lately? No he is 13th in the table posted above. Only thing I can think of is that News Ltd's has stopped buying the info off Infostrada Sports and haven't updated it in 2012. I saw it a few times in 2011 and the medals totals changed a few times. Maybe News stopped paying for the service. Or they are wrong! But here is what they say about how they work out their virtual medal table.

    http://www.infostradasports.com/asp/infostradasports.asp?page=analytics_virtualmedaltable#


    http://www.infostradasports.com/asp/infostradasports.asp?page=analytics_virtualmedaltable#
  13. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    Maybe I will wait until Sports Illustrated do their prediction for all 302 events
  14. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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  15. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    Bizarre.

    Won't even bother looking at the rest if the quickest swimmer ever in textile suits (and the third fastest ever), the fastest swimmer by over half a second in 2012 (ahead of countryman James Roberts in second) and reigning world champion is not rated the favourite in the event.
  16. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/london-olympics/us-swim-team-sends-warning-a-month-out-from-london-games/story-fn9dheyx-1226415679432
    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/london-olympics/us-swim-team-sends-warning-a-month-out-from-london-games/story-fn9dheyx-1226415679432
    I don't think this is the be-all and end-all as we had our trials three months back and the US has theirs this week, but an interesting comparison. Note that no relay medals have been allocated in this tally.
  17. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    That doesn't include the relays.

    We have 4 decent chances in them.

    The mens 4x 100m Free and Women's 4 x 200m Free the Oz top 4 swimmers have better times than the 4 top US swimmers.

    The womens 4 x 100m Free is marginally better than the US based on the top 4 times of the best 4 swimmers of both squads. The Netherlands are a big chance.

    The womens 4 x 100m Medley is just over a second behind the US based on the best times of the 4 different leg swimmers in both squads.

    The men will do well if they get bronze in both the 4 x 200m Free and 4 x 100m Medley,
  18. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    http://www.theage.com.au/olympics/news-london-2012/games-gold-is-all-in-the-data-20120712-21yxe.html
    http://www.theage.com.au/olympics/news-london-2012/games-gold-is-all-in-the-data-20120712-21yxe.html

    http://www.theage.com.au/olympics/news-london-2012/we-can-win-40-medals-coates-20120713-220rm.html
    http://www.theage.com.au/olympics/news-london-2012/we-can-win-40-medals-coates-20120713-220rm.html
  19. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    Sports Illustrated's next edition on 16th should be their medal prediction edition. If its available on line will post their precistions here.
  20. SJ

    SJ Moderator

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    Can't be worse than the Herald Sun's giving the 100 free to Hayden.
  21. dantm

    dantm Team Captain

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    and dont forget their prediction for second place...Alain Bernard.
    Might be tough ask for Mr Bernard as he didnt even qualify for this event at the French Olympic Trials earlier this year.
    chargers 09 and SJ like this.
  22. RussellEbertHandball

    RussellEbertHandball BFSC Gold

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    You gotta blame Infostrada sports group for that. Although I wonder if the News Ltd group stopped paying them for the info some time last year and its never been updated.
  23. imadodgyumpire

    imadodgyumpire Team Captain

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  24. dantm

    dantm Team Captain

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    Definatley Infostrada.USA Today use the same data and the same results.
    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/olympics/medal-tracker.htm

    In other words,Infostrada is a joke.
  25. dantm

    dantm Team Captain

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    As for Gold Medal Projections.I tip 16 Gold.

    Athletics-2(Pearson and Watt enter London As favourites)
    Basketball-1(womens time has come with Liz Cambage being the star)
    Cycling-Track-3 (Around 6 hot chances for Gold,Anna Meares and the Pursuit team to lead the way)
    Cycling-BMX-1 (We have the current male and female World Champion.We should pick up 1)
    Equestrian-1 ( Word is the 3day eventing team is our strongest ever.We always do well here)
    Gymnastics-1 (Lauren Mitchell is current WC.She should win at least 1 apparatus,probably floor)
    Hockey-1 (The Men enter as hot favourites)
    Rowing-2 ( Up to 6 Gold medal chances,most likely Women Doubles Skulls and Mens Coxless Fours)
    Sailing -2 (No bigger Gold medal Favourite than Tom Slingsby in Lase.Also hot chances in Mens 470 and 49er)
    Swimming-2 (Probably our weakest swim team since 1996,although we have reaistic chances in around 8 events.Magnussen will go into the 100 free as probaly the hottest favourite in 50 years. He will also lead a very strong relay).Steph Rice enters her events as World No 1, as well as our relay chances,especially Womens 200m x 4 free)

    = 16 Gold
    SJ likes this.