PieNSauce
Norm Smith Medallist
I personally believe that the so called trend will turn around in one of the next 2 seasons. I have a strong belief that this year and last were not a true reflection of the quality of our list and that even with a couple of relatively significant losses we are better than the second half of 2014 would seem to indicate. That said, luck can be a very fickle thing and if we can't turn around the injury crisis we've faced over the last 3 seasons then Bucks may well be the sacrificial lamb. Unfortunately that's just how footy works.Serious question/discussion. Do you think Buckley will be the next Collingwood premiership coach?
I don't think he will, but that is not to say that a premiership won't eventuate after he is gone - due to the work that he has done.
This is my reasons:
Will the board and supporters have enough patience for the next 6-7 years before the team is in a position to win a premiership? I would suggest that they don't have that level of patience. Malthouse was different, he got an extension because of the deal with Buckley, but had that deal not been done, he wouldn't have been given those extra years and would have been out - and he was a 2 x premiership coach at the time!
- After success (relative) in 2002 & 2003 we experienced the down years of 2004 & 2005.
- During 2004 & 2005 we stocked up on talent.
- However it was not until 2010 that we actually won a premiership.
- We are running at about a 20 years between premierships, but let's say it takes about 5-6 years at a minimum from trough to peak to win a premiership.
- While 2014 was bad, I think many would suggest that we are trending down (rather than up) and we haven't hit the bottom yet.
- So, if we haven't hit bottom yet, it would mean that Buckley would have to be coach for nearly 10 years before the team is ready to compete.
The other factor that people aren't taking into consideration, is that Eddie won't be president forever. It's quite possible that Eddie will finish up soon and a new president (and board) decide to pull the pin.
I would have loved for the succession plan to have been a raging success - just to shove it up other clubs' supporters if anything - but I just don't see it happening now.