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Odds on shots at Wyong. May as well post Cannington dog tips!
par run but sacked
2-9 -1.6 [9-24 -3.45]
r4 Ascot - Sheerkat @TT+
early drift worrying but they're backing horses that struggle to win and this is getting close to its right price. i do like Barambas bid but it will go back and i like this one mapping forward. looks progressive and well bred for a staying horse in WA. my main worry is second up and is bred to run a distance but it ran well in a good form race second up last prep where it did quicken with them and again maps forward. great through the line last start even though it was first up. Looks a toughish day elsewhere and a few fairly progressive horses which we get midweek at this time of year.
5-15 -2.3
Scone - Race 2 - 2.Balmain @ $4.00
12 start Maiden but will never get a better chance to win a race than today. Apart from the first starter the rest of the field area complete garbage. D-Day!
3-10 +0.3 [10-24 -1.55]
r7 Narrogin - Oradol $3.3 (Sportsbet)
got a handful of negatives but way too much of a difference between this and the fave. I actually rate the horse, if it drifts i'd be happy to back a couple others that are well into double figures
Canterbury - Race 2 - 7.Stravigo TT+ $3.40
3 good runs in town before being put out after a bad effort second up last prep. Has won a trial in preperation for this and the field doesn't look much chop. Think Gai's first starter probably the biggest danger.
4-10 +2.6 [11-24 +0.75]
didn't get to see it but two bets for the day both got up so it must have only scraped in being the second off the two.
Ascot r1 - Mixed Messages $4.2 (365)
in and out early (story of my life) tomorrow with the only bet of day so far. Hate the day as a whole. 2 low grade 3yo races. 2yo race. 2 staying races and 2 country finals. which leaves 2 races with horses close to the red that i cant oppose or back just yet. so the lesser of evils is the 3yo races and i just liked this horses debut. hard to expect much from a blackfriars/scenic first start over 1100 but it ran on strong into 4th, a margin with 3rd a subsequent stakes winner and the winner looking to be well above average. can't really give it too much more of a push because I'm honestly not that confident but its worth a look at $4.2.
Rosehill - Race 8 - 3.Ninth Legion @ BOB
Pakenham - Race 7 - 3.Scream Machine @ BT+
Hamilton - Race 3 - 14.Shiny Lass @ BT $3.30
4-11 +1.6 [11-25 -0.25]
i thought i was in trouble when the winner went from $4.6 to $3.40 across every single corporate and $4.40 to $2.90 on crownbet all in 20 seconds. Decent run, got ability but winner had same form lines and pasted it.
r8 - Geraldton - Vitalism @TT+
Long time high quality maiden before streeting them two starts back before a nice second in a high rating race. Hopefully can get a black price in a poor race where the threat is the toppy at 10's.