Polls Thread Mk III

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ReachTEL
3500 people nationwide

LNP (Abbott) 45
ALP 55

LNP (Turnbull) 54
ALP 46

LNP (Bishop) 51
ALP 49
Can't really see anything in their policies or 'strong plan' that is likely to change those numbers.
Bishop/ALP is interesting. Quite close.
 
Of course. But a complete switching of positions based on a leader change is very significant.

What a load of utter rubbish. You should know better by now.

How many polls in the run up to 2013 election showed a complete switch of positions based on leader change if Rudd became leader?

Rudd then became leader and prime minister.

How long before he collapsed in polls, Crows?

How much did he lose by again?
 
What a load of utter rubbish. You should know better by now.

How many polls in the run up to 2013 election showed a complete switch of positions based on leader change if Rudd became leader?

Rudd then became leader and prime minister.

How long before he collapsed in polls, Crows?

How much did he lose by again?

Guru! You're alive!

Of course it's significant. Am I saying it guarantees an election win? No. Is a complete reversal of position in the polls significant in making up the minds of MPs on who to back? Absolutely it is.

BTW Rudd never led Abbott 54-46 in any hypothetical poll during the pre-Rudd MkII period. Was always even.
 

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Ipsos - State Poll - NSW
TPP:
Coalition: 56 (+2)
ALP: 44 (-2)

Coalition's lead narrows to 53-47 on respondent-allocated preferences.

Leaders' Approval (Approve)-(Disapprove)
Baird: 60-18
Foley: 30-21

Preferred Premier

Baird: 54
Foley: 24
 
If we weren't in Gillard territory before then we sure as hell are now!

The NSW poll is very interesting. Goes to show that an actual conservative (in the true sense of the word) government can be successful by not springing radical changes, controversial policies and nasty surprises onto the people post election a la Abbott, Newman, Napthine...
 
That surley is game over now.

The libs are only shooting themselves in the head if they keep Abbott tomortow. A huge slab of time of speculation and infighting until they inevitably have to do this all again when there's literally nothing left.
 
staggering numbers, 83% of those surveyed, who vote ALP, prefer Turnbull.

http://resources.news.com.au/files/2015/02/08/1227212/431222-150209poll.pdf

To be honest, I think those types of polls are just about meaningless. Of course 83% of those surveyed, who vote ALP, would prefer Turnbull over Abbott because Turnbull isn't Abbott. But the mere fact that they would prefer Turnbull as PM doesn't necessarily mean that they would swap their vote from the ALP to the Lib/Nats at the next election.
 

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