- Sep 8, 2014
- 9,571
- 31,163
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
- Other Teams
- Detroit Red Wings, Oakland Raiders
So we're still 12th, 6 points behind Geelong and Adelaide, 4 behind GWS and level with Collingwood. Of those teams, the only one with a better percentage is Collingwood.
Next week, we play the Bulldogs; Geelong play Sydney; Adelaide play Richmond; GWS play Essendon and Collingwood play Carlton. Assuming we win, I'd expect Geelong and Adelaide to lose and GWS and Collingwood to win, leaving us still 12th but only 4 points out of the eight.
Then, in round 20, we play GWS; Geelong play Hawthorn; Collingwood play Sydney and Adelaide play Essendon. Again assuming we beat GWS, and only Adelaide of our competitors win, we leap ahead of Geelong, Collingwood and GWS (depending on percentage)and into ninth, 2 points behind the Crows.
The last 3 rounds see us play Hawthorn, Gold Coast and Fremantle (who appear to have sewn up a top 2 spot this weekend);
Adelaide play Brisbane, West Coast and Geelong - call it two wins
Geelong play St Kilda Collingwood and Adelaide - also two wins
Collingwood play Richmond Geelong and Essendon - only 1 win
GWS play Sydney Carlton and Melbourne - probably two wins
So if the next fortnight goes as expected, if we win all three games we should make it, barring Adelaide upsetting both West Coast AND Geelong. If the Crows lose to both WC and the Cats, we could afford to drop another game unless Geelong win all three. And it may come down to percentage between us and GWS.
We need a lot of things to go our way to jump over four other clubs this late in the year, but if we get on a roll the next two weeks, we are still in the race.