Round 20 2014 - Hawthorn vs Melbourne

[WWSD]

Hawthorn (1st) 14 wins - 4 losses (141.1%)
Points For: 2037
Points Against: 1444
Form: WLWWW

Melbourne (17th) 4 wins - 14 losses (72.8%)
Points For: 1091
Points Against: 1499
Form: LLLLL

Recent Encounters
Round 10 2013: Hawthorn 21.17.143 defeated Melbourne 6.12.48 - MCG
Round 7 2012: Hawthorn 15.25.115 defeated Melbourne 6.13.49 - MCG
Round 18 2011: Hawthorn 20.12.132 defeated 12.6.78 - MCG
Round 2 2011: Hawthorn 16.26.122 defeated Melbourne 12.5.77 - MCG
Round 20 2010: Hawthorn 15.9.99 defeated Melbourne 12.6.78 - MCG

Season Stats
Hawks - Demons
395 Disposals 350
224 Kicks 198
171 Handballs 152
90 Marks 90
61 Tackles 64
45 Hit-outs 45
57 Inside 50s 41
17 Goals 9

Injury list

Hawthorn
Jed Anderson (Shoulder) Season
Jack Gunston (Knee) 2-3 weeks
Brian Lake (Suspension) Round 21
Cyril Rioli (Hamstring) 2-4 weeks
Shem Tatupu (Foot) Season
Brendan Whitecross (Knee) Season

Melbourne
Jack Grimes (Hamstring) Test
Jesse Hogan (Back) 1-4 weeks
Jayden Hunt (Back) 3-4 weeks
Jake Spencer (Foot) Season
Jack Trengove (Foot) Season


Team Changes

Hawthorn
IN: Sam Mitchell, Isaac Smith, Billy Hartung
OUT: Jack Gunston (Knee) Angus Litherland (omitted) Alex Woodward (omitted)

Melbourne
IN: Daniel Cross, Max Gawn, Viv Michie, Matt Jones, Dom Barry
OUT: Jordie McKenzie, Cameron Pederson, Luke Tapscott, Sam Blease, Dean Terlich (all omitted)

Hawthorn line-up
B: Taylor Duryea, Josh Gibson, Ben Stratton

HB: Luke Hodge, Matthew Spangher, Grant Birchall

C: Isaac Smith, Sam Mitchell, Matthew Suckling

HF: Bradley Hill, Ryan Schoenmakers, Luke Breust

F: Paul Puopolo, Jarryd Roughead, Jordan Lewis

R: Ben McEvoy, Shaun Burgoyne, Liam Shiels

INT: Will Langford, Jonathan Simpkin, David Hale, Billy Hartung

EMG: Jonathon Ceglar, Angus Litherland, Alex Woodward


Melbourne line-up
B: Colin Garland, Lynden Dunn, Jeremy Howe

HB: Neville Jetta, Tom McDonald, Matt Jones

C: Rohan Bail, Bernie Vince, Daniel Cross

HF: Jay Kennedy-Harris, James Frawley, Jack Watts

F: Mark Jamar, Chris Dawes, Dean Kent

R: Max Gawn, Nathan Jones, Dom Tyson

INT: Jack Viney, Viv Michie, Aidan Riley, Dom Barry

EMG: Jordie McKenzie, Daniel Nicholson, Jack Fitzpatrick


THE SIX POINTS
1. Hawthorn has dominated Melbourne over a long period, winning the past 10 matches since 2007 with an average winning margin of 50 points. Since they last defeated the Hawks, Melbourne has had seven senior coaches (including Paul Roos).

2. The Hawks shouldn't have too many issues winning the centre clearances; they are ranked second in the AFL at 13.3 per game; in contrast the Demons are 18th at 9.4 per game. It will also be 1 v 18 in total clearances.

3. Hawthorn's recent domination of the Demons means they now hold an 82-74 advantage in head-to-head contests.

4. This will be a battle the best and worst inside 50 sides in 2014 - Hawthorn is ranked first, averaging 57.3 per game; Melbourne is last with only 40.7 per game.

5. Hawthorn continues to be the best team in 2014 for goalkicking accuracy with 305 goals, 207 behinds for a 57.3 per cent return. Wests Coast is next, but at 50.9 per cent is well behind the Hawks.

6. Hawk Shaun Burgoyne remains the No.1 small/medium defender according to the Official AFL Player Ratings.

Prediction: Hawthorn by 39 points

 

[Bluelegs]

Ugh...

 

[Catastic82]

Hawks by 29 points

 

[Allikat]

I don't think we needed a full write up to make a decision on who'll win this game. Hawks by 145 points.

 

[MF]

Melbourne by 3 in one of the upsets of the century

 

[WWSD]

Melbourne by 3 in one of the upsets of the century

Nah... GWS beating Sydney in Round 1 takes the Cake.

 

[Power Raid]

Hawks by 48

 

[MF]

Nah... GWS beating Sydney in Round 1 takes the Cake.

 

[BlakeyNoFlakey]

Hawthorn will smash the Dees today. Could see a 100 point win.

 

[WWSD]

Only joking. I think that loss to GWS has turned Sydney's season around. Since then the Swans are 14-3.

 

[Leather Poisoning]

Hawthorn will smash the Dees today. Could see a 100 point win.

It's a 4:40 match - not even the players can be stuffed going full tilt in this timeslot

 

[WWSD]

Hawthorn will smash the Dees today. Could see a 100 point win.

We should win but I don't think it's going to be a blow out. Paul Roos will get plenty of numbers behind play to try and stop Hawthorn from scoring. Got a feeling it will be a low-scoring scrappy game of footy.

 

[The GOAT]

I don't see how Melbourne keep this under 10 goals. Even with their recent defensive style of play, Hawthorn should still kick at least 20 goals given we are pretty much full strength barring Gunston. And it won't be easy for the Dees to score. Hawthorn by 90

 

[La Vache]

I am anticipating a really s**t game of football.

 

[SA HAWK]

As long as we win I don't care much about the margin just no more bloody injuries please.

 

[ioppolo]

Hawks by 17 goals.

 

[Cynic]

I don't see how Melbourne keep this under 10 goals. Even with their recent defensive style of play, Hawthorn should still kick at least 20 goals given we are pretty much full strength barring Gunston. And it won't be easy for the Dees to score. Hawthorn by 90

Barring Gunston, Lake & Rioli? :/ Not many teams missing 3 of their best 18...

 

[Moist Biscuit]

Subs
Hawthorn - Billy Hartung
Melbourne - Aidan Reilly
No Late Changes to either side.
Hawthorn by 53

 

[LeverPuller]

Who's ready to ignore the scores this afternoon?

 

[Moist Biscuit]

Who's ready to ignore the scores this afternoon?

I'm hoping that my boy Viv Michie chops up.

 

[Cobbler]

Who's ready to ignore the scores this afternoon?

Let's play a different game.

A total possessions game?

You pick your top 3 before the game in a head to head showdown V Hill, Birchall and Smith.

No reason for me picking those 3 players, just random.

You up for it?

 

[Righteo]

Glad to see Michie getting another chance, hope he kills it.

 

[LeverPuller]

I'm hoping that my boy Viv Michie chops up.

So do I to be honest. The injury has probably been the worst thing because he got replaced by Salem and then McKenzie. Finally Roosy has recognised that McKenzie is pants and so Viv gets another gig, hopefully a better one too.

 

[LeverPuller]

Let's play a different game.

A total possessions game?

You pick your top 3 before the game in a head to head showdown V Hill, Birchall and Smith.

No reason for me picking those 3 players, just random.

You up for it?

I'm down. Nath Jones, Dom Tyson, Bernie.

 

[The_Reaper]

Let's play a different game.

A total possessions game?

You pick your top 3 before the game in a head to head showdown V Hill, Birchall and Smith.

No reason for me picking those 3 players, just random.

You up for it?

Jones, Tyson, Michie