The punting aspect of the Essendon Guilty Verdict

[Jay-Z]

Does anybody else think this team is a strong chance to go over the 1.5 wins line currently on offer at $2.50 at sportsbet? We've had some pretty sh*tty sides in the comp but in the last 20 years only Fitzroy (1996) have finished the season with less than 2 wins to their name

As a consequence, I also don't mind the $6 now on offer for Carlton to get the spoon

Anyone else looking at some of these markets after yesterday's decision?

 

[TheExtractorFactor]

Personally I'd be shocked if they won a game

 

[Oraaaaazio]

Does anybody else think this team is a strong chance to go over the 1.5 wins line currently on offer at $2.50 at sportsbet? We've had some pretty sh*tty sides in the comp but in the last 20 years only Fitzroy (1996) have finished the season with less than 2 wins to their name

As a consequence, I also don't mind the $6 now on offer for Carlton to get the spoon

Anyone else looking at some of these markets after yesterday's decision?

Carlton $7 at TAB for spoon. I'd say we probably win 2-3 and think there's value in o1.5 wins.. as you say, winless seasons are extremely unlikely in any league, especially across 22 matches (obviously these are extreme circumstances). The public who haven't put much thought into it beyond "essendon suck and now all their good players got banned!!!" will continue hammer the under though.

 

[nooblet]

just take the 90.5 line they're going to get every game.

 

[Jugada]

Carlton to win the spoon definitely the value bet to come out of it so far imo. They're not going to be a bunch of kids like when GC and GWS came into the comp so could definitely see them still beating Carlton who look dreadful as well

 

[Jay-Z]

Guess it all depends on who they pick up really. I was thinking they would be about as strong, if not stronger than GWS in the early days but in taking another look at the records, GWS actually won less games in those first couple of years than I thought.

Looking at the below list, there are some decent players on there who were in the system only a couple of months ago. If they could pick some of the ones that have a reasonable amount of experience, particularly in defense where they will need a lot of help, they could be good enough to knock of a couple of teams

2015 RETIREMENTS/DELISTINGS

ADELAIDE

Brent Reilly (retired)

Sam Siggins (retired)

James Podsiadly (retired)

Brodie Martin (delisted)

Anthony Wilson (delisted)

Jack Osborn (delisted)

BRISBANE LIONS

Matt Maguire (retired)

Brent Staker (retired)

Luke McGuane (retired)

Mitch Golby (delisted)

Jordon Bourke (delisted)

Jed Adcock (delisted)

Zac O’Brien (delisted)

Jackson Paine (delisted)

CARLTON

Chris Judd (retired)

Andrew Carrazzo (retired)

David Ellard (retired)

Matthew Watson (delisted)

Cameron Giles (delisted)

Blaine Johnson (delisted)

Fraser Russell (delisted)

Robbie Warnock (delisted)

Nick Holman (delisted)

Tom Fields (delisted)

Brad Walsh (delisted)

COLLINGWOOD

Clinton Young (delisted)

Sam Dwyer (delisted)

Tony Armstrong (delisted)

Michael Manteit (delisted)

Josh Thomas (delisted)

Lachie Keeffe (delisted)

Brenden Abbott (delisted)

Patrick Karnezis (retired)

ESSENDON

Paul Chapman (retired)

Jason Winderlich (retired)

Elliott Kavanagh (delisted)

Kurt Aylett (delisted)

Lauchlan Dalgleish (delisted)

Nick O’Brien (delisted)

Will Hams (delisted)

FREMANTLE

Colin Sylvia (retired)

Luke McPharlin (retired)

Paul Duffield (retired)

Ryan Crowley (delisted)

Max Duffy (delisted)

Josh Deluca (delisted)

Jacob Ballard (delisted)

Craig Moller (delisted)

Thomas Vandeleur (delisted)

GEELONG

Jared Rivers (retired)

Hamish McIntosh (retired)

Brad Hartman (retired)

Sam Blease (retired)

James Toohey (retired)

James Kelly (delisted)

Mathew Stokes (delisted)

GOLD COAST


Timmy Sumner (retired)

Andrew Raines (retired)

Greg Broughton (retired)

Daniel Gorringe (delisted)

Danny Stanley (delisted)

Josh Glenn (delisted)

Josh Hall (delisted)

Tyrone Downie (delisted)

Jarred Ellis (delisted)

Andrew Raines (delisted)

Andrew Boston (delisted)

GWS

Tim Golds (delisted)

Sam Schulz (delisted)

Dylan Addison (delisted)

HAWTHORN

Brian Lake (retired)

David Hale (retired)

Alex Woodward (delisted)

Sam Grimley (delisted)

Jared Hardisty (delisted)

Jonathan Simpkin (delisted)

MELBOURNE

Daniel Cross (retired)

Mark Jamar (delisted)

Aidan Riley (delisted)

Rohan Bail (delisted)

Jordie McKenzie (delisted)

NORTH MELBOURNE

Majak Daw (delisted)

Kieran Harper (delisted)

Nathan Grima (retired)

Leigh Adams (retired)

Eric Wallace (delisted)

Scott McMahon (delisted)

Max Warren (delisted)

PORT ADELAIDE

Kane Cornes (retired)

Kane Mitchell (delisted)

Daniel Flynn (retired)

Tom Logan (retired)

Mitch Harvey (delisted)

Sam Russell (delisted)

Jarrad Redden (delisted)

Mason Shaw (delisted)

Johann Wagner (delisted)

Andrew Moore (delisted)

Kane Mitchell (delisted)

RICHMOND

Nathan Foley (retired)

Chris Newman (retired)

Chris Knights (retired)

Ricky Petterd (retired)

Matt McDonough (delisted)

Matt Arnot (delisted)

Matt Thomas (retired)

Nathan Gordon (delisted)

Matt Dea (delisted)

ST KILDA

Adam Schneider (retired)

Spencer White (delisted)

Arryn Siposs (delisted)

Tom Simpkin (delisted)

Daniel Markworth (delisted)

Farren Ray (delisted)

Ahmed Saad (delisted)

Josh Saunders (delisted)

SYDNEY SWANS

Rhyce Shaw (retired)

Adam Goodes (retired)

Mike Pyke (retired)

Harry Marsh (delisted)

WEST COAST

Beau Waters (retired)

Dylan Main (delisted)

Rowen Powell (delisted)

Will Maginness (delisted)

Alex Waterman (delisted)

Brant Colledge (delisted)

Simon Tunbridge (delisted)

Murray Newman (delisted)

WESTERN BULLDOGS

Ayce Cordy (delisted)

Brett Goodes (delisted)

Matthew Fuller (delisted)

Sam Darley (delisted)

Daniel Pearce (delisted)

Jordan Kelly (delisted)

Jarrad Grant (delisted)

 

[iluvparis]

Would love to see Colin Sylvia line up for them.

 

[Nothing]

Would love to see Colin Sylvia line up for them.

They'd have to be looked into for tanking as well, if they picked up Coln.