Will Port Adelaide end Collingwood's season on Sunday?

[Matchu]

There is little doubt Collingwood are sliding. They've lost three games in a row and find themselves in a real battle to finish in the top 8. Here are the standings right now:

6th - North Melbourne 10-7 112.5%
7th - Essendon 10-7 109.8%
8th - Adelaide 9-8 109%
9th - Collingwood 9-8 105%
10th - Gold Coast 9-8 96.1%

Having a poor percentage is clearly a big disadvantage in this 5 horse race for the last 3 spots. Playing in Collingwood's advantage is the fact that both North Melbourne and Essendon are expected to lose this weekend while Adelaide and Gold Coast are expected to win. However, if the Pies lose to Port Adelaide (and other results go the way people are expecting) then Collingwood are likely to require 2 wins to jump into one of those finals spots despite being 1 win behind 6th. Collingwood's draw for the rest of the season:

Round 20 - West Coast @ Subiaco
Round 21 - Brisbane @ MCG
Round 22 - GWS @ Sydney Showgrounds
Round 23 - Hawthorn @ MCG

Brisbane and GWS seem to be the ones the Pies should win while Hawthorn will probably be a loss. This leaves an away trip to West Coast being the big game for Collingwood and it just so happens to be next weekend. Now obviously their chances are dependent on how other teams go so here is a quick overview of their draws and the games they should win (in bold):

North - GWS, Bulldogs, Adelaide, Melbourne - should finish with at least 13 wins
Essendon - Richmond, West Coast, Gold Coast, Carlton - should finish with at least 12 wins
Adelaide - Brisbane, Richmond, North Melbourne, St Kilda - should finish with at least 12 wins
Gold Coast - Carlton, Port Adelaide, Essendon, West Coast - should finish with at least 11 wins

Now if Collingwood can beat West Coast, Brisbane and GWS then they would finish on 12 wins. This is where percentage comes into play and obviously Collingwood are at a huge disadvantage. So, will Port Adelaide end Collingwood's season on Sunday?

 

[moses]

There is little doubt Collingwood are sliding. They've lost three games in a row and find themselves in a real battle to finish in the top 8. Here are the standings right now:

6th - North Melbourne 10-7 112.5%
7th - Essendon 10-7 109.8%
8th - Adelaide 9-8 109%
9th - Collingwood 9-8 105%
10th - Gold Coast 9-8 96.1%

Having a poor percentage is clearly a big disadvantage in this 5 horse race for the last 3 spots. Playing in Collingwood's advantage is the fact that both North Melbourne and Essendon are expected to lose this weekend while Adelaide and Gold Coast are expected to win. However, if the Pies lose to Port Adelaide (and other results go the way people are expecting) then Collingwood are likely to require 2 wins to jump into one of those finals spots despite being 1 win behind 6th. Collingwood's draw for the rest of the season:

Round 20 - West Coast @ Subiaco
Round 21 - Brisbane @ MCG
Round 22 - GWS @ Sydney Showgrounds
Round 23 - Hawthorn @ MCG

Brisbane and GWS seem to be the ones the Pies should win while Hawthorn will probably be a loss. This leaves an away trip to West Coast being the big game for Collingwood and it just so happens to be next weekend. Now obviously their chances are dependent on how other teams go so here is a quick overview of their draws and the games they should win (in bold):

North - GWS, Bulldogs, Adelaide, Melbourne - should finish with at least 13 wins
Essendon - Richmond, West Coast, Gold Coast, Carlton - should finish with at least 12 wins
Adelaide - Brisbane, Richmond, North Melbourne, St Kilda - should finish with at least 12 wins
Gold Coast - Carlton, Port Adelaide, Essendon, West Coast - should finish with at least 11 wins

Now if Collingwood can beat West Coast, Brisbane and GWS then they would finish on 12 wins. This is where percentage comes into play and obviously Collingwood are at a huge disadvantage. So, will Port Adelaide end Collingwood's season on Sunday?

Maybe

 

[I am Jack]

Collingwood by over 30.

 

[Art Corvelay]

Collingwood ended Collingwood's season by losing to the Dogs, Suns & Crows.

 

[Papa G]

Hope's Port supporter didn't start thread..... opens..... ugh

 

[TheRoo32]

Amazing how arrogant the Port supporters still are considering how bad they have been recently.

 

[FootyJunkie]

The Pies will win... but which ones?

 

[Matchu]

Amazing how arrogant the Port supporters still are considering how bad they have been recently.

It's not arrogant. It's a genuine question. Thanks for the answer by the way.

 

[mattsk88]

Can Collingwood end Port Adelaide top four chances this weekend is probably a better question

 

[Halftimehero]

There is little doubt Collingwood are sliding. They've lost three games in a row and find themselves in a real battle to finish in the top 8. Here are the standings right now:

6th - North Melbourne 10-7 112.5%
7th - Essendon 10-7 109.8%
8th - Adelaide 9-8 109%
9th - Collingwood 9-8 105%
10th - Gold Coast 9-8 96.1%

Having a poor percentage is clearly a big disadvantage in this 5 horse race for the last 3 spots. Playing in Collingwood's advantage is the fact that both North Melbourne and Essendon are expected to lose this weekend while Adelaide and Gold Coast are expected to win. However, if the Pies lose to Port Adelaide (and other results go the way people are expecting) then Collingwood are likely to require 2 wins to jump into one of those finals spots despite being 1 win behind 6th. Collingwood's draw for the rest of the season:

Round 20 - West Coast @ Subiaco
Round 21 - Brisbane @ MCG
Round 22 - GWS @ Sydney Showgrounds
Round 23 - Hawthorn @ MCG

Brisbane and GWS seem to be the ones the Pies should win while Hawthorn will probably be a loss. This leaves an away trip to West Coast being the big game for Collingwood and it just so happens to be next weekend. Now obviously their chances are dependent on how other teams go so here is a quick overview of their draws and the games they should win (in bold):

North - GWS, Bulldogs, Adelaide, Melbourne - should finish with at least 13 wins
Essendon - Richmond, West Coast, Gold Coast, Carlton - should finish with at least 12 wins
Adelaide - Brisbane, Richmond, North Melbourne, St Kilda - should finish with at least 12 wins
Gold Coast - Carlton, Port Adelaide, Essendon, West Coast - should finish with at least 11 wins

Now if Collingwood can beat West Coast, Brisbane and GWS then they would finish on 12 wins. This is where percentage comes into play and obviously Collingwood are at a huge disadvantage. So, will Port Adelaide end Collingwood's season on Sunday?

You don't think Essendon should beat West Coast at Etihad?

 

[Damon_3388]

Hope's Port supporter didn't start thread..... opens..... ugh

Why does it matter?

Play the ball and not the man.

 

[fddf]

Tipped Collingwood but with no confidence at all

 

[Tiger71]

No

 

[SuperSub17]

You don't think Essendon should beat West Coast at Etihad?

I think Essendon is much more likely to lose to Carlton than WC to be honest.

Collingwood is going to need to win 4 out of 5, so a loss on Sunday is just about the end seeing as we have Hawthorn last round

 

[Matchu]

You don't think Essendon should beat West Coast at Etihad?

Don't think it's as sure as it may look on paper. If it makes you feel any better, I didn't say Gold Coast or Collingwood should beat West Coast either.

 

[Halftimehero]

Don't think it's as sure as it may look on paper. If it makes you feel any better, I didn't say Gold Coast or Collingwood should beat West Coast either.

West Coast are going horrible

 

[Adam H]

Odd that this game is played at the MCG. Collingwood avoid the top three hardest road trips again.

 

[Matchu]

West Coast are going horrible

That doesn't mean a win against Essendon is beyond them. The biggest reason I didn't give that game a should win for Essendon is because they may enter it coming off two losses. Sydney should teach the Bombers a lesson tonight while Richmond are more than capable of beating Essendon next weekend. That would see the Bombers enter the West Coast game with bad form and plenty of pressure to keep their finals chances alive. That's why I didn't make it a should win game.

 

[boncer34]

Don't think it's as sure as it may look on paper. If it makes you feel any better, I didn't say Gold Coast or Collingwood should beat West Coast either.

Don't think we should beat the team (Richmond) we dismantled when we were horrible earlier this season?

 

[Halftimehero]

That doesn't mean a win against Essendon is beyond them. The biggest reason I didn't give that game a should win for Essendon is because they may enter it coming off two losses. Sydney should teach the Bombers a lesson tonight while Richmond are more than capable of beating Essendon next weekend. That would see the Bombers enter the West Coast game with bad form and plenty of pressure to keep their finals chances alive. That's why I didn't make it a should win game.

Well I don't think we will lose to Richmond either and we will be getting Watson and Hibberd back for that Eagles game, our biggest danger game is Carlton.

 

[nameless]

West Coast are going horrible

Agree, we've put in a lot of players for surgery as well.

We won't win a game for the rest of the season.

 

[Matchu]

Don't think we should beat the team (Richmond) we dismantled when we were horrible earlier this season?

Well I don't think we will lose to Richmond either and we will be getting Watson and Hibberd back for that Eagles game, our biggest danger game is Carlton.

Am I going to have to defend every prediction from the original post?

What about the fact that Richmond have won four games in a row and have GWS this week? They're very likely to enter the Essendon game on a five match winning streak. That's my justification. Just because I said it's not a should win doesn't mean Essendon will lose.

Can we move on now? You want to give an answer to the question or just keep nitpicking my predictions for Essendon over the next five weeks?

 

[Damon_3388]

Odd that this game is played at the MCG. Collingwood avoid the top three hardest road trips again.

Number of teams travelling to play both Adelaide and Port Adelaide in Adelaide this season: Two - Hawthorn (vs. Port Adelaide, Round 10, vs. Adelaide, Round 17) and Melbourne (vs. Adelaide, Round 7, vs. Port Adelaide, Round 18).

If you're going to get on Collingwood for not travelling to Adelaide twice this season, get on the other 13 clubs that aren't doing it either.

 

[Adam H]

Number of teams travelling to play both Adelaide and Port Adelaide in Adelaide this season: Two - Hawthorn (vs. Port Adelaide, Round 10, vs. Adelaide, Round 17) and Melbourne (vs. Adelaide, Round 7, vs. Port Adelaide, Round 18).

If you're going to get on Collingwood for not travelling to Adelaide twice this season, get on the other 13 clubs that aren't doing it either.

Which of those also dodge Freo at Perth and Sydney at the SCG? Also StKilda play in Adelaide twice.

 

[JUBJUB]

No,because Collingwood still have a few more H&A games.

Perhaps you'd be better asking "Will Port end Collingwoods finals hopes on sunday ?"