Wins/Losses for Melbournefc in 2011

[proka123]

I'll get the ball rolling....



R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = W
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = W
R13 Fremantle MCG = L - Let down after Big QB win.
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = W
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = W - We'll break the hoodoo here surely

That equates to 16-6. Top 4 easily.

 

[BigSexc]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = L
R7 Adelaide MCG = L
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = W
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = L -
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

11 - 11 for me.

 

[d33my]

I'd be wary of North at Etihad...

Here's my brief summary, for those of you in swot-vac or are just really really bored

R1 Sydney MCG = W Hopefully our great performance last time gives us the confidence we need to back it up
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L A bit of a bogey side for us
R3 Brisbane MCG = W Should Win
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W? Unknown quantity. Wouldn't put it past us to drop this one
R6 West Coast PS = L Going on previous form we won't win in Perth
R7 Adelaide MCG = L I think Adelaide will be better this year than last, might pip us by a goal or two
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L Bogey side
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L Too good for us, especially at Etihad
R10 Carlton MCG = L It frustrates me, but I think they're still ahead of us
R11 Essendon MCG = W Must win, for mine
R12 Collingwood MCG = L Too good
R13 Fremantle MCG = W We like playing the Dockers in Melbourne
R14 Richmond MCG = W Hopefully get the job done
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L Unsure of the dogs this year. Probably still ahead of us
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W Confidence in winning their last time should put us in good stead
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L see above
R19 Geelong SS = L still a very good side
R20 Carlton MCG = L see above, although we might beat them once
R21 West Coast Etihad = W What a horrible piece of fixturing
R22 Richmond MCG = W We beat them twice this year, so why not again?
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W Should beat them at the G
R24 Port Adelaide = L Interstate voodoo might have to wait one more year to be crushed

10-12. A reasonable year. Have the potential to go 12-10 but also 8-14.

 

[RandB]

Big ask to beat Hawthorn in rnd 18 after playing in Darwin the week before and Hawthorn also coming off the bye.

 

[feelyngood]

Love the Optimism Proka.
hmmm lets have a look

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = L
R7 Adelaide MCG = L
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = W
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = W
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = W
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = L
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = L
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

11 -11, will finish 7th and win the flag

 

[omit]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = 50/50
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = 50/50
R13 Fremantle MCG = W
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = L
R21 West Coast Etihad = Wtf?
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = 50/50

12 wins
7 Losses
3 50/50's

I'm sure there will be some shock wins and losses throughout the season. of the games I listed as 50/50's I think we're a good chance against Port and Collingwood. not as good a chance against North

 

[stretcharmstrong]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = L
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = W
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = L
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

Yep, 11-11 for me too, albeit slightly differently. I reckon we are a really good chance to get over one or two of North, Hawthorn, Carlton or Collingwood this year though...

 

[Crimson Azure]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W
R7 Adelaide MCG = L
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = W
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = L
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = L
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

11/11.

I'll take that in 2011.

 

[eliasd82]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W
R7 Adelaide MCG = L
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = L
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

At least 10 wins.. but we could sneak 11 or 12

 

[proka123]

Love the Optimism Proka.

It's not really that optimistic if you take a look at each game individually. Alright maybe the genuine 50/50s include Eagles round 6, Crows round 7, North round 8, Pies round 12 and the Hawks round 18. I still excpect us to get into the 8 with the draw we have.

 

[Ageing Demon]

With our Draw we should make the finals However when you go through the teams we play I cannot find more than 8 games that I am confident of winning.
Add 3 may be's = 11.
We have a lot of unproven players, 2011 will be very interesting
If we do not make eighth place It will show that our list is not as good as we all think.

 

[DonMare]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = L
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = W
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = W
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

13-9

We should make the 8... don't know how far we'll go though.

 

[Captain Jack]

Here's my brief summary, for those of you in swot-vac or are just really really bored

Much appreciated

I would agree with the general feeling of 11 wins give or take... Would be fairly happy with that, more so with 12-13 though.

 

[Gazza_11]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L*
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W*
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L*
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = L*
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L*
R13 Fremantle MCG = W*
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L*
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L*
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W*
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L*

Yeah 13-9, with the * games being ones that could go either way based on 2010 form and ability. There are 7 L* opposed to 3 W*, which is a good sign.

We will win each of our finals at the MCG so long as they aren't against St. Kilda and Geelong or Collingwood, Hawthorn and the Doggies which could go either way.

 

[stretcharmstrong]

Just to clarify, I think we could win 11 or 12 games next year. I don't expect us to however.

I'll be pleased with our progression if we win 10 games. 9 would be a little bit of a let down, wouldn't know how to feel. Less than 9 would definitely be a dissapointment.

11 wins and finals and I'd be stoked and if we somehow got 12 or more I would be super impressed.

I think anyone expecting 13+ is setting themselves up for dissapointment.

 

[aabamo]

Ill break it down into segments using the byes, Carl and Dogs game.

R1 Sydney MCG = W winnable game, although beware of the new coach rule applies
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L cant see us getting over the hawks.. Hodge, Mitchell and buddy have been pounding us a new one for 3 years. Brucey will inevitably play well and annoy the bejesus out of me
R3 Brisbane MCG = W could be a good chance to win this, we beat them this year with their full strength unbeaten team, so we can do it again
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W unknown, but will be important to really send a message to the expansion team

If we can get to the first break 3-1 I think that would be a great result and give us some confidence heading across to for the Thursday night Perth game

R6 West Coast PS = W will be tough, but if we can jag a win here would be really team lifting, tough match though and will need a good team effort
R7 Adelaide MCG = W can and will beat Adelaide, confident on this one.
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L North have got our measure at this stage
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L no chance
R10 Carlton MCG = L Too big, too bad, and too u g l y !

After three straight losses we ll need to get back on the finals bound train. Should be some winnables ahead. 5-4 at this point

R11 Essendon MCG = W Must win, crucial game for us and our finals hopes
R12 Collingwood MCG = W I think we can get revenge on the pies, we've had some close tussles in recent times and we ll get up this time. Match up well and Sculls, Trengove and Jurrah to shine bright on the big stage
R13 Fremantle MCG = W freo are AWFUL at the G. awful. seeing grandma naked awful.
R14 Richmond MCG = W Crucial not to drop one here, must bring that attacking run here and keep going all day
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L I m hoping they drop a gear and we have a chance. If they have a few inj we can run over them..maybe


we ll be back in town by this stage, people will be talking us up as finals bound. 9-5 and looking good. road trip up north beckons, Jurrah s extended family of 35,000 all commence the long trek to the game at Tio

R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W need to assert ourselves on a fellow young/rebuliding side. Jurrah to kick 6 and some inebrieated fellow will do a nudie run
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L another pounding by buddy, Bruce, Hodge and co. urgh!
R19 Geelong SS = L no chance, might as well call it off at Q time.
R20 Carlton MCG = L jeez id give my left nut and a 3 foot section of my lower intestine for us to win this, but we wont
R21 West Coast Etihad = W shocking fixture, confidence building win for the dees
R22 Richmond MCG = W must keep the momentum rolling here
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W and here
R24 Port Adelaide = L Nope. This will be a spanner, could/will be a make or break game

13-9 is my optimistic viewpoint. Will need to be solid at home, and try to get a win or two away eg. WC away or PA. Wins over GC, Ess and Rich will be a must. Would be a huge boost to get a win over one of Car, the Doggies, Coll or Haw.
Go Dees !!

 

[Demon 16]

R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = L
R7 Adelaide MCG = L
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = W
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = L
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = L
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = L

11 /11

 

[Ageing Demon]

Just to clarify, I think we could win 11 or 12 games next year. I don't expect us to however.

I'll be pleased with our progression if we win 10 games. 9 would be a little bit of a let down, wouldn't know how to feel. Less than 9 would definitely be a dissapointment.

11 wins and finals and I'd be stoked and if we somehow got 12 or more I would be super impressed.

I think anyone expecting 13+ is setting themselves up for dissapointment.

Totaly agree. we still have some serious short coming as a team.
Hopefully a few of the untried players will come to the fore!

 

[Cudi_420]

We could easily start 6-1, but could also start 2-4, or 3-3, or 1-6. This team is still too far inexperienced to even try and predict how they're going to perform this year. To be honest, I'll be happy with anything from 8-16 wins, as long as our young players get as much experience as possible.

 

[stretcharmstrong]

Yeah, very true. We really should continue to put at least as much focus on player development as we do on our win/loss record or ladder position. Player specific goals, for example -- J Watts to average 6+ marks and 1.5+ goals per game -- should be of more interest imo.

 

[MFCforever]

Ok I did this when the draw first came out at home. Yes I lead a very boring and sheltered life. I did it a little different though. I broke the season into mini seasons.

r1-4= 3 wins

r5 bye 10 day break.

r6-10= 2 wins

r11-15= 4 wins

r16 bye 14 day break

r17-20= 2 wins

r21-24= 3 wins.

Total= 14 wins.

Of course if it was this easy I would be a professional punter. I do think though we are going to have a ripper year, the draw is a gem, best we've had in years!

 

[LordJimmy]

From a neutral observer, here's what I'd give on a probability basis:

R1 Sydney MCG = 0.8
R2 Hawthorn MCG = 0.7
R3 Brisbane MCG = 0.8
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = 0.7
R6 West Coast PS = 0.6
R7 Adelaide MCG = 0.5
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = 0.4
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = 0.2
R10 Carlton MCG = 0.5
R11 Essendon MCG = 0.8
R12 Collingwood MCG = 0.2
R13 Fremantle MCG = 0.3
R14 Richmond MCG = 0.6
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = 0.4
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = 0.6
R18 Hawthorn MCG = 0.4
R19 Geelong SS = 0.4
R20 Carlton MCG = 0.6
R21 West Coast Etihad = 0.9
R22 Richmond MCG = 0.6
R23 Gold Coast MCG = 0.8
R24 Port Adelaide = 0.5

Giving you a win for each one over 50% and a loss for each one under, and splitting the three remaining, you'll finish around 13-1-8, give or take.

But that's just my guess, god knows what it will end up like. Anything can happen, but I reckon you've got finals on the board next year.

 

[MAXIMUM GRUNDAGE]

I like what you've done there Jimmy.
However, I feel that the probability value should be higher for the Collingwood match. We gave them a real shake-up in both matches we played against them last year.

I'll go with:
R1 Sydney MCG = W
R2 Hawthorn MCG = L
R3 Brisbane MCG = W
R4 Gold Coast Gabba = W
R6 West Coast PS = W
R7 Adelaide MCG = W
R8 North Melbourne Etihad = L
R9 St.Kilda Etihad = L
R10 Carlton MCG = W
R11 Essendon MCG = W
R12 Collingwood MCG = L
R13 Fremantle MCG = W
R14 Richmond MCG = W
R15 Western Bulldogs Etihad = L
R17 Port Adelaide TIO = W
R18 Hawthorn MCG = W
R19 Geelong SS = L
R20 Carlton MCG = W
R21 West Coast Etihad = W
R22 Richmond MCG = W
R23 Gold Coast MCG = W
R24 Port Adelaide = W

 

[LordJimmy]

Yeah, that's the main one. Regardless of how good they are at the moment, you could probably take them down. That's another big chance for a win.

 

[jurrah13]

Wouldn't bet on us beating Gold Coast up there
Cant rely on us winning easy games, trust us to be the first team to lose to GC