Apologies for not posting any article last week but I’ll promise to have The Weekly Punt up every week just after the teams are out.
(It was partly my fault – Ed.)
The weekly punt has five bets for you this week, but make sure you take them individually and not put on a multi-bet because that way even if only three out of five come up you still win. Then again, the weekly punt never thinks any of the bets will lose so if you’re going to do a multi-bet make sure you do it responsibly.
There is no doubt that Melbourne’s start to the season has been absolutely abysmal. But this week they play a team who have yet to perform well this season. Probably due to their hefty key outs, the Eagles struggled with a 50 point loss last week at their home turf. They won’t have the comfort of their home supporters at the MCG this week and all Melbourne needs to do is get a good first quarter (which you would presume they finally will) and the Eagles will have a nervous match. Centrebet will give you +61.5 point head start if you take the Dees at $1.91 and our bet of the round.
Maybe this is not the right thing to say but Essendon have never been in better condition as they are this week with their injuries. On the other hand their opponents Fremantle still have a few injuries. Both teams have been in red hot form and it’s difficult to separate them given it’s in Perth then. Essendon did show a few weeks ago they can win interstate and last year Essendon did beat Fremantle at Paterson as they won’t mind the long ground. The +13.5 advantage offered by Sportsbet to the Dons at $1.92 is too much an advantage.
If you remember from last year’s articles, we mentioned that Sydney surprisingly paid out on the line more than any other team. Many think the Swans have had a soft draw in their first two rounds but do not be fooled by that. Their thrashing of Gold Coast (who will be no pushover this year) last week in wet conditions was impressive, so expect the Swans to turn up the dial this week against North who are unlucky to be 0-2 but have also shown to be vulnerable. The Swans will put the chokehold on the Roos from the first minute and cruise away well past the -8.5 line offered by Betstar.
The Giants are playing pretty good, a lack of composure allowed Port to get back in the game last week. St Kilda has yet to win a game this year as well so the game should be close. The +30.5 line for GWS offered by Centrebet is just too far in the Saints favour with certain key players still out.
The Q clash should be one of the matches of the round with both teams wanting to bounce back after disappointing losses last week. Brisbane have yet to secure four points this year even after an improved performance last week. The Suns have shown they now like winning at Metricon, so taking the Suns line here should be easy money. Sportsbet will give you a +16.5 head start this week.
Current Betting Fund: $286.50
Total staked so far: $513.50
Melbourne v West Coast – Handicap (+61.5) – $200 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Fremantle v Essendon – Handicap (+13.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
North Melbourne v Sydney – Handicap (-8.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Betstar
GWS v St Kilda – Handicap (+30.5) – $150 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Gold Coast v Brisbane – Handicap (+16.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
(Bet is on team in Bold)
Odds correct at time of posting