...then he secures almost an extra million in his AFL career.
The real tricky part for me, with this Walters talk also potentially exploring seven figures a year out of North, is what Carlton demand for Cripps coming home per personal reasons. We would hold #2, #10 and that had better be enough.
JUH has been #1 for me all year. He's going nowhere.
Logan McDonald after two weeks in the WAFL become my #2, kicking three goals then four goals in successive weeks. He's been great to watch for those who have also been watching the WAFL. Had McDonald averaged 3 goals and won the WAFL goal...
...value. Do we subsequently deduct value from picks as well?
Here's a hypothetical for you...
Let's say that the Bulldogs trade us their pick #12, and at the end of the trading period their 1st remaining pick is #33. Adelaide places a bid for JUH at #1, which the Bulldogs match. Pick #33...
...hadn't gone that way then Melbourne wouldn't have had a priority pick, Richmond would have had a second round priority pick.
Dustin would probably still have been at Richmond with pick #2, we would have taken Morabito at #3 - but their pick #18 and #20 might have meant they picked Fyfe...
Ignoring for a moment the speculation about Adelaide, #2, and how they can get it, let’s see what the real world offers them.
As it stands, it would appear that the current offer will likely generate compensation either as an end of round 1 pick or immediately after their round 2 pick.
So their next option is to threaten to match our bid.
That is still not going to get them #2.
Because we understand that their goal is #2, not getting our first nor keeping Crouch. Getting our 1st is Plan B, keeping Crouch is Plan C.
They need our cooperation.
So they will need to...
...round because Tippett had an agreement to be traded to whoever he wanted for a second round pick.
If they are influencing the draft to land pick #2, then I'd expect both St Kilda and Adelaide to lose their first and second round picks.
Now that would be a moment in footy history. Picks #1...
I think we will work out a sweetheart deal for someone like Dunstan or Webster (not Dmac) to head to Adelaide for a pick and then we will load up Crouch's contract so they get pick 2.
We end up with Crouch and a future 2nd
Crows get #2, Dunstan and Port's 3rd
Something like that.
100% we do not get pick #2, most likely because the AFL would not like the optics of the bottom side having the first two picks in the draft unless they are an expansion, and it would bring FA into question again. There's also the ambiguous, does-it-or-does-it-not-exist 'ins/outs' policy that...
...worth pick 7 & 8 on it's own to a club who wants it.
Brown and pick 2 is worth 7,8 and their 2021 first round pick.
If Essendon think McDonald is gettable with pick #2, that means they think Adelaide are taking Hollands or Thilthorp.
Or they may be angling for Fantasia & #2 for #1 or...
...will remain exactly where it is.
Pick #20 will move up to wherever the JUH bid is, and everything inbetween will shuffle down. For example, if the bid comes in at #2, then #20 will be come #2, the former #2 will become #3, #3 will become #4, ... , #19 will become #20, and #21 will remain at...
We could do this to Sydney as well - Sydney have more draft points worth than Port, who have more than WB. So at pick #1, bid on Campbell, matched then bid on Jones at #2, matched then bid on JUH at #3. This sequence means all those players are very likely to be matched.
In an ideal world another club offers him enough to guarantee us pick #2, we agree not to match, and it's all over very quickly and smoothly.
However, problems arise if the offer he chooses to accept is for less dollars, but a longer term. Adelaide may be reluctant to match that kind of offer...