With the talent we have making a semi is not an amazing result. Beating a North in a final for example will not equal amazing. A prelim from here is a decent effort. A GF would be amazing.
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Can Geelong do the impossible?
- Thread starter Fadge
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With the talent we have making a semi is not an amazing result. Beating a North in a final for example will not equal amazing. A prelim from here is a decent effort. A GF would be amazing.
They are not all debutants, Wojack and Varcoe definitely capable of making a 1 game cameo in final to allow us to play hight intensity footy over the whole 4 weeks.
Aside from that, you have to expose younger players to intense finals eventually. More than confident we have enough fire power to knock off any team.
- Sep 22, 2011
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Bert Ritto
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Cannot see them making the GF but they'll give it a massive crack that's for sure. I think winning at least one final is a high probability. Someone else deserves to win the flag this year anyway. Bring on the finals!
Final result has been good but it's one of many unfair fixture issues. Like I said I'm happy to even make finals as we have been quite poor in a number of areas this year and disadvantages like those had the potential for us missing the 8 altogether.
Anyway your team has done well with a tough fixture. For all these adv and disadv the Top 4 looks right.
Quite simply no. Not good enough.
Really interesting to see how clubs manage the return of injured players. How much impact will Varcoe have? Will Krakoeur make a difference to Collingwood? Will Buddy and Hodge take the hawks to a new level or disrupt the team as they come up to speed? What about Reid for Sydney?
Definitely the most interesting season in a long time.
- Aug 15, 2012
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yes they can. as long as hawkins is firing.
Wouldn't call it impossible.
- Aug 15, 2012
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better than hawthorn
With such an even season I wouldn't rule it out.
Geelong is the only club with its own suburban ground. Thats a massive advantage other Vic teams dont have, except those who have sold their souls to play a few games in Tassie.
I dont have a problem with it except when Cats fans like yourself complain that you are disadvantaged. Our suburban grounds were shut because they are too small. Geelong doesnt play Colllingwood in Geelong for the same reason.
Decent chance to at least make a prelim from the back half.
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I'd agree that if they play two interstate finals, that would be too much, but really the Adelaide loss was the only bad one. Losses to Sydney, West Coast and Fremantle by a combined fifteen points isn't terrible interstate form, in my opinion.
I guess the other thing is if Geelong's finals run was to go something like:
EF: Fremantle/North Melbourne (MCG)
SF: Sydney (ANZ)
PF: Hawthorn/Collingwood (MCG)
GF: Adelaide (MCG)
That's not impossible and doesn't look any more difficult than the path other teams have travelled to the premiership from the top four (Brisbane in 2003, Sydney in 2005, West Coast in 2006). I certainly won't be betting on them, but they're giving themselves a chance and if they go far enough, it's likely that they will only have to travel once.
Not if we play like we did in the third quarter.
Winning four consecutive games in finals heat when you're still attempting to blend in new players is a big ask. Won't be too long though.
Winning four consecutive games in finals heat when you're still attempting to blend in new players is a big ask. Won't be too long though.
isen river
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Hardly a disadvantage at all, we know the MCG very well, we might not train there but who does?
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There has been an exception to the rule for years. North in 1975 lost most of their first 10 games. I haven't bothered looking it up so I don't remember the exact stats but I recall it being 2-6 or 3-10 or something to the like, and in the end, never looked like losing the flag.
Every year there seems to be a 5-6 side storming towards the final in red-hot form, only to get found out in the semi's when they play a top 4 team on the rebound. The few that did make it didn't get any further the following week when they had to play a fresh top 2 side at home.
One team's going to do it one day, but they'll likely have to beat 3 of Adelaide, Collingwood, Sydney and Hawthorn (maybe WCE, if one of them drops away) in consectutive weeks (probably atleast 1 away trip, maybe 2 back to back). If they were playing at the MCG 3 weeks in a row you might give them a chance, but it looks like a too tough of a run and thier botttom 6 are just kids now who are going to need to perform 4 weeks in a row in high pressure games. Very unlikely they can get a flag, would take a amazing effort.
One team's going to do it one day, but they'll likely have to beat 3 of Adelaide, Collingwood, Sydney and Hawthorn (maybe WCE, if one of them drops away) in consectutive weeks (probably atleast 1 away trip, maybe 2 back to back). If they were playing at the MCG 3 weeks in a row you might give them a chance, but it looks like a too tough of a run and thier botttom 6 are just kids now who are going to need to perform 4 weeks in a row in high pressure games. Very unlikely they can get a flag, would take a amazing effort.
Cheshire Cat
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- May 31, 2007
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3 of the 4 losses were by 4,5 and 6 points! The latter being to league leaders Sydney. With a bit more luck couldve won any or all three.
As for the OP. Seems highly improbable. No team has won or made the GF from outside the 4 in the current finals system (before anyone jumps in about Adelaide '98, which was incidently a different and extremely unfair finals system, story for another time). Winning four finals in a row a huge ask considering we aren't at the same level as last year. 2nd week exit my prediction, anything more is a bonus.
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They didnt win it from fourth or fifth though, they ended up third after home and away.
There has been no team win a flag by winning four games straight without the benefit of a double chance. Or even three for that matter.
isen river
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We might struggle to win 4 intense finals games in a row that is certainly an issue but we are certainly good enough to beat any of the top 8 sides on our day. There isn't a better group of players in the AFL than our core senior group it's just a matter of if our younger players can contribute consistently under the finals pressure.
