2016 AFL - Round 11

[Infra Ted]

Man they can't miss tonight.

 

[Jcpdragonx]

GC over 1.5 behinds 1st quarter - Occured 9/10 times so far this year, wild weather, GC having a much closer to full strength side, no brainer.

Tailed, love you long time.

 

[targett]

Man they can't miss tonight.

these blokes are scoring as accurate as dry weather footy

 

[leevone]

these blokes are scoring as accurate as dry weather footy

I turned it off. Can't watch

 

[Boxhead182]

Barlow getting it done & Mitchell going ok

 

[Jay-Z]

GC 3 behinds this qtr = profit on Robo87's bets. Keep going!

 

[benji21]

Want it to stay at 10 behinds for 3 minutes! Oh so Close

 

[iluvparis]

I just accidentally cashed out of a bet of U141.5 on Bet365. Their cash out process is ridiculous!

A11dAtP0w3R

 

[dontlimitme]

i wish there was some gale force winds to help the ball through the behind posts

 

[benji21]

Sydney v gc
4U over 9.5 behind 1st half 2.15 SB
3U under 10.5 2.22 CB

I think i want to cry, 18 seconds..

 

[mookieb]

GC 3 behinds this qtr = profit on Robo87's bets. Keep going!

Yeah one more quarter. I was on for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd (thought they might put the flag up in the 4th).

 

[Jay-Z]

Yeah one more quarter. I was on for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd (thought they might put the flag up in the 4th).

Sadly looks like they've put up the flag at half time

 

[kyan]

If anyone has a big database, would you be able to work out the % the underdog team covered the handicap line when the total score line was under?

 

[Jay-Z]

GC has 5 behinds for the game so far... Useless

Oh well, still well and truly in the black this weekend

 

[2006_Eagles]

Neale over 32.5 and Zerrett 30 saluted for me tonight.

Made up for the rubbish I dropped on Richmond (SMDH)

 

[ricardogp]

SB multi special:

North / Carlton / Geelong / Freo / Port @ $6.31

Bit of risk but good odds.

Go Port!!!

 

[Boxhead182]

1g on Barlow 25 or more disposals at $2.00 on SB

1g on Tom Mitchell 30 or more $2.50 at tab

Good day to follow up last nights couple wins. Will post if I decide to make any plays tomorrow

 

[Dusty3]

Josh Hill over 0.5 goals (Sportsbet) @ $2 - 9/10 this year, Bulldogs are stingy but this is silly odds.

 

[Dusty3]

Also Howe more uncontested possessions than R Hendenson @ $1.85. Howe to continue playing off the back flank having the ball played through him with Laird to take Hendenson's role of the past few weeks.

 

[frenchfri12]

Help I lost $10 on Essendon and GWS, tip to win it all back tomorrow?

 

[Robo87]

1u Darcy Lang Anytime GS @1.85 SB (9g4b YTD, forward pocket) Loss (kicked 1 behind)
1u Rhys Stanley Anytime GS @1.85 SB (8g5b YTD - has kicked 1goal every game since round4). VOID - didnt play
Anytime GS options not released yet on SB for sunday games.

Adding:
1U Lyons Anytime GS @2.30 (kicked 7goals straight in his 6 games)
1U J.Hill Anytime GS @2.00 (like dusty3 posted above)

 

[freo_leo29]

Mcveigh 2+ and 3+ goals @13 and 81 small bets
Heeney 2+ @3.40 and 3+ @10 the odds are too good to turn down imo
Rohan 2+ @3.1 and 3+ @9 small bets again
all bet365
For the freo match
Walters 2+@2 and 3+@4.33 - bet365 Generous odds for someone like Walters, playing a bit more mid but the only reason he hasn't been hitting these marks is his accuracy has been off the past couple of weeks
Taberner 2+@2.2 and 3+@ 5 - bet365 (Apeness in helps to open up either Tabs or Pav)
Mayne 2+@2.5 and 3+@6.5 - bet365 (4th string tall forward, where he belongs) + likes to beat up on weaker sides too
Apeness 3+@16 sportsbet - small bet and even smaller on 4+ 5+ and 6+ (these are obviously unlikely but it is essendon)
$50 Barlow 25+@2.25 and $20 barlow 30+@6 - hope he plays a bit more middle with no Deboer, fully expect him to swap with blakely still

Pretty good night overall, could have been an excellent night if players were accurate, everyone had their chances except for Mcveigh and Apeness who were my lowest stakes out of them all anyway.

Also hit a nice 3.80 odds with my bet365 promo bet, freo race to 30 in the second was easy money seeing as bombers never looked like scoring, it was essentially 3.80 for freo to kick 30 points

 

[Boxhead182]

To start tomorrow. In player exotics SB:
Ollie Wines over 24.5 at $1.90
Scott Pendlebury over 29.5 at $1.80

SB are offering $1.64 for Wines 25+ and $1.56 for Pendles 30+ in the player markets they're so silly I don't understand

 

[mookieb]

I think Adelaide might take to the Saints tomorrow. Fisher out means their smallish backline is in even more trouble and they have shown a tendency to wave the white flag on the road so i'm not expecting this game to be close. Might look at the 2nd half or last quarter line, but already have Adelaide in 4 open multi's.

I'm expecting WC poor record against top 8 teams to continue. WB have been average of late, but they are extremely hard to beat at Etihad and WC have been less than competitive against the better teams. Bulldogs tend to nullify the opposition rucks which will help and their midfield should be too slick for the Eagles. 1u on WB H2H.

I'm not sure how the Coll / Port game will go. Collingwoods midfield has been superb of late, but injuries will hurt and Ports form has been a bit understated as well (they should have won 4 of their last 5). I think Collingwood will squeak home on the back of Pendles, Sidebottom and Treloar.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

With Cloke back in, I'm hitting the Collingwood behinds markets today!