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Analysis 2017 List Management Discussion Part II

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Casboult is the only one that I strongly disagree with. Unless someone is willing to offer him crazy money and we get band one then we need to go close enough to the offer that Levi re-signs.

Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay have shown me enough to determine that they are going to be 2 of the 3 cornerstones of our forward line for the next decade or so. However, to continue their development we cannot possibly afford to Darcy Moore either of them. That means we either retain Levi or we go elsewhere.

If you can tell me where we're going to get that veteran KPF protector for Curnow and McKay that isn't going to cost us an arm and a leg and isn't Levi Casboult then I'm all ears. But I think you'll find that the reality of the situation isn't as hopeful as what we'd like to think that it is.

There are no free agents that would be cheap enough to pick up and do the same type of job close to the level that Levi is capable of. Would be a waste of money and resources.
No likes because eveyone knows its true. Wishes it wasnt.

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Edited my original post about the Tigers - Tigers - Could be an option, but they seem to think the new trend is what the Dogs did last year, which we all know was an exception

Henderson was traded for a late 1st rounder, SOS was cleaver enough to trade that on, which eventuated to pick 9

I am not dismissive to the theory, I just work on probabilities and possibilities. Possible that a club is stupid enough to offer a band 3 contract, but not probable

Re Geelong pick - they finished 10th - we got their first round pick I.e. Pick 9 before academy picks etc.

Think this ended up being Charlie at pick 12.

Was not a "late first rounder".
 

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A very good excuse. I suggest you come around to visit me and enjoy my fabulous internet service.

It's one that won't even allow you to sign out on any of your online accounts.


WTF do you live North Korea?
 
I agree with your list but can you give some opinions on how we replace these guys?

Currently we have picks: 3-38-56-74-92

Now i can see us being able to draft a good player at 3 and 38 but with all the talk of weak drafts i am not confident beyond that. The list you have is long and even with picks coming in for Gibbs and Cas i don't see how we can cut that deep.
I am hoping we can get Hickmont (FS) and Penrith (NGA) with late picks if they are any good.

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Re Geelong pick - they finished 10th - we got their first round pick I.e. Pick 9 before academy picks etc.

No

Menzel traded for Kerridge + Pick 28 (Pick did the rounds, until North, who selected Hibberd)

Lachie Henderson traded for Geelong 2016 first round pick

Picks, 28, 77, 95 + Geelong's 2016 1st rounder(Brisbane ended up with this pick and selected Berry) traded for Lamb, Plowman, Sumner, Phillips, + Pick 8 ((GWS finished 11th in 2015, they had pick 8, pushed back to pick 10 due to academy selections (Hooper + Mills), we used it on Harry))
 
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It was a long post, so totally understand if you skimmed it, but I did outline the replacement strategy we'd need to make it work.

Gibbs for two picks, Casboult for one. Add those three to our first, third and fourth round picks is 6 draftees in the ND. 3x regular rookies, 1x Cat B rookie. Add in a delisted free agent or token late pick trade. That's 11.
Thats all well and good, but players we are getting at those late picks are likely to be delisted in a couple of years too.

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Thats all well and good, but players we are getting at those late picks are likely to be delisted in a couple of years too.

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Yep, that is how the cycle works.

Who was the last player Brisbane lost? Their retention issue is gone for now.

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Which is why they won't be getting more priority picks. Lots of quality youngsters on their list, most of them signing contract extensions, new coach with clear vision. Sounds familiar, yeah?
 

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No

Menzel traded for Kerridge + Pick 28 (Pick did the rounds, until North, who selected Hibberd)

Lachie Henderson traded for Geelong 2016 first round pick

Picks, 28, 77, 95 + Geelong's 2016 1st rounder(Brisbane ended up with this pick and selected Berry) traded for Lamb, Plowman, Sumner, Phillips, + Pick 8 ((GWS finished 11th in 2015, they had pick 8, pushed back to pick 10 due to academy selections (Hooper + Mills), we used it on Harry))

My mistake.
 
Firstly, I hope you are not alluding to Yarran, I am sure that is an exceptional circumstance

Secondly, I understand your theory, but you need to dig deeper, to see what these sides already possess. All of these guys could/have held down forward positions as well as some used as relief ruckmen

Cats- Hawkins, Henderson, Taylor, Smith, Blicavs, Stanley, Buzza
Demons - Hogan, McDonald, Wiedeman, Pedersen, Gawn, Spencer
Hawks - O'Brien, Roughy, McEvoy, Ceglar, Schoenmakers, Gunstan, Brand, Lewis.
Pies - Strange, have tall options, but refuse to play them, why would they want another one
Freo - Griffen, Sandilands, Darcy, Taberner, Pearce, Clarke
Tigers - Could be an option, but they seem to think the new trend is what the Dogs did last year, which we all know was an exception

Casboult is still only on target to kick only 35 goals this season, despite his improved efficiency and of course his manager will test the water as he did last time, but I suspect he will re-sign

There is blue running through my veins, but that is a big difference to bathing in a pool of blu-loo.

But instead of me refuting your theory, would you target a player of Casboult's prowess and pay him $650K a year for the next 2 years?
35 goals if thats what Cas ends up with imo is a very good haul . Taking into consideration he spends a bit of time in the ruck our not so slick (being very generous here) ball movement forward . And being in a struggling side i think his 35 is 50 in the better sides . I think were underselling Levi's efforts this year .
 
Why do we deserve priority picks and why would we go to the AFL to ask for them?

What's that say about anything about us?


Actually I find that pathetic to even think about right now! They're not automatic like they used to.
You actually need to go and plead your case!


" Can we had a priority pick please because we're really shit!"
Why wouldnt we? If we get it, great. If not, then at least we know.

This is a business decision. Pride and hurt feelings have no place in this choice.

It would be like buying a house and not applying for the first home buyer grant because you dont want a handout. Idiocy.

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Interesting observation in the HUN about Swans Rising Star nomination and the rest of their backline - all recruited as "rookies" - now that is seriously smart/clever recruiting and player development.

I.e.

Melican and backline buddies Dane Rampe, Heath Grundy, Nic Newman, Jake Lloyd and Nick Smith are all rookie success stories drafted by Swans recruiter Kinnear Beatson.
 
Interesting observation in the HUN about Swans Rising Star nomination and the rest of their backline - all recruited as "rookies" - now that is seriously smart/clever recruiting and player development.

I.e.

Melican and backline buddies Dane Rampe, Heath Grundy, Nic Newman, Jake Lloyd and Nick Smith are all rookie success stories drafted by Swans recruiter Kinnear Beatson.

I posted the exact same thing 3 hours ago, some journalist is stealing my content.
 
Why wouldnt we? If we get it, great. If not, then at least we know.

This is a business decision. Pride and hurt feelings have no place in this choice.

It would be like buying a house and not applying for the first home buyer grant because you dont want a handout. Idiocy.

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You mean our business model is to be inept but beg for priority picks?
Look do you have faith in the people in charge or not?
 
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