Arbitrage-Middles Thread

[iluvparis]

New thread for people to post any arbs/middles they find and are happy to share.

A few rules
- Prices must not be stale
- Please list bookie for each price

If possible also post the return percentage

 

[Sabbathen]

I’ll start with a small one

Rugby Mitre 10 Cup
Wellington v Northland race to 10points
Wellington 1.36 lads
Neither 151 lads
Northland 4.20 palmerbet
Return 2.04%

Interesting to note that palmerbet doesn’t have a “neither” option in their race to 10 market but do for race to 20 and higher markets. Best case scenario is neither team score over 10 and they might refund that stake for a nice return.

 

[Rocky Straight]

a 2% return on a micky mouse market like this on an even more micky mouse league.

probably enough to get a small coffee

 

[Sabbathen]

*yawn* one day you will post something worth reading.

 

[ricardogp]

ATP Fairfield Challenger
Ruben v Sandgren
Rubin $3.31 (Sportsbet)
Sandgren $1.44 (Crownbet)

Converts bonus bet at $1.70 (and small arb)

 

[Watts4Dinner]

A few rules...

 

[ricardogp]

ITF Santa Maria: Hercog v Vasylyeva
Vasylyeva $17 (Sportsbet)
Hercog $1.07 (Ladbrokes)

 

[Macpotata]

a 2% return on a micky mouse market like this on an even more micky mouse league.

probably enough to get a small coffee

Who the * are you? Do that 100 times and it's 100 coffees then. What do you expect you make you stupid campaigner?

Put up some credibility or stfu.

Negative campaigner.

 

[54Dogs]

a 2% return on a micky mouse market like this on an even more micky mouse league.

probably enough to get a small coffee

Let's see.

Have 1K on @ 2% = $20

Do this 20 times pd = $400 pd.

5 days pw = 2K pw

50 weeks per year = 100K pa tax free

Buy coffee business

 

[ricardogp]

With tennis betting there is also the chance of a win via retirement. Different bookies have different rules so there is a possibility that you will get one of your stakes back.

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[Rocky Straight]

Let's see.

Have 1K on @ 2% = $20

Do this 20 times pd = $400 pd.

5 days pw = 2K pw

50 weeks per year = 100K pa tax free

Buy coffee business

why only 5 days pw? costing yourself with this make believe strategy, its simply not realistic and I think you know that.

would like to hear from targett who I've seen take -ev bets just to lock in profit how much they actually make from all this arbing.

 

[Rocky Straight]

With tennis betting there is also the chance of a win via retirement. Different bookies have different rules so there is a possibility that you will get one of your stakes back.

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a chance you lose one too though?

 

[ricardogp]

a chance you lose one too though?

Yes. If your 'winning' bet is with a bookie that voids on retirement. Then you will lose one stake.

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[Sabbathen]

why only 5 days pw? costing yourself with this make believe strategy, its simply not realistic and I think you know that.

would like to hear from targett who I've seen take -ev bets just to lock in profit how much they actually make from all this arbing.

Even if it’s only a small profit, he’s still far ahead of the majority of punters who lose overall. It’s a hobby, I don’t think I’ve seen anyone on this forum say arbing is their full time job.

 

[X_box_X]

Yes. If your 'winning' bet is with a bookie that voids on retirement. Then you will lose one stake.

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This is where you can play it to your advantage if you target the correct matchup.

Player A paying $1.40 has a history of early retirement
Player B paying $3.50 has little retirement history

Place $100 on Player B with Pinnaclesports
Place $240 on Player A with Ubet or any other book that voids bets

If Player A retires after the first set, you win $250
If Player B retires after the first set, you lose $100

Long term you will come out way in front. But you have to select the correct matchup and try to target odds close to 100% ROI.

 

[ricardogp]

There is certainly a leaderboard on players most likely to retire. I've also heard that ATP/WTA players tend to retire after long overseas swings. Or if you're Nick Kyrgios.

So caveat emptor.


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[Sabbathen]

Couple more small coffees up for grabs
ITF Hamamatsu

Hasegawa 2.70(Sportsbet)
Koshiishi 1.67(Ladbrokes)
3.18%

 

[Sabbathen]

Saffas vs Bangladesh 2nd ODI

Amla to score a 50 $2.27(Palmerbet)
Amla under 53.5 runs $1.83(Bet365)
1.58% arbitrage opportunity and if Amla scores between 50-53 both pay out

 

[foxy_dal]

Saffas vs Bangladesh 2nd ODI

Amla to score a 50 $2.27(Palmerbet)
Amla under 53.5 runs $1.83(Bet365)
1.58% arbitrage opportunity and if Amla scores between 50-53 both pay out

The Amla market at 365 is actually player performance which is 1 point per run, 20 per wicket and 10 per catch.

 

[Sabbathen]

 

[NutnButAPnut]

bit late notice but Covington over 2.5 3's $2.42 on Sportsbet and can get under 2.5 on Crown $1.95 atm

Dirk under 1.5 3s on SB at $1.95 and 2 or more on topsport at $2.24

Wes Mathews over 2.5 3s $2.47 SB and under 2.5 $1.80 Crown

 

[NutnButAPnut]

Bogdanovic Under 1.5 3's on Crownbet @1.88 - 2 or more on Topsport @2.88

Patty Mills Under 2.5 3's on Sportsbet @2.26 - Over 2.5 on Crownbet @2.20

Dirk under 1.5 3s on Sportsbet @1.99 - 2 or more on Topsport @2.26

Lillard over 2.5 3s on Crown @1.80 - under 2.5 on Sportsbet @2.47

Middleton over 1.5 3s on Crown @1.88 - Under 1.5 on Sportsbet @2.30

Westbrook over 1.5 3s on Corwn @1.95 - under 1.5 on Sportsbet @2.23

 

[ricardogp]

What are these? NBA props?

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[NutnButAPnut]

yeh all nba 3 pointer markets today, theyre generally the easiest to find a variety of prices

there is a lebron over 8.5 rebounds at 2.10 on bet365 and under 9 rebounds on topsport for 1.94ish for a crack at a win and push but prob a bit late to get on it now which the game about to start

 

[ricardogp]

Bonus bet converter:
Tennis: ATP Basel (Swiss Indoors)
Federer v Tiafoe
Crown: Tiafoe $12
Ladbrokes: Federer $1.08

Converts at 80%