Jumped on a few teams last week that had good lines but might wait until team selections for other games.
Hawks +5.5 - I don't like betting against Syd after a loss but it seems doubtful that Buddy and Hannebery play so like the Hawks with the better team at the MCG.
Ade -1.5 - seemed a bit of a gift at the time. Ade clearly the better team in superior form. Expect Tex, Sloane and Knight to play although SPP and Rockliff should return.
I think this is a season defining game for Ess. They actually have a decent squad out of form and expect them to rebound hard. Might be a bit tricky backing Ess though with the line 20+ especially if Murphy, Marchbank and Curnow return and it rains significantly.
Melb +21.5 - if Viney returns Melb will be at full strength. Have covered against the weaker teams well so they should be too strong for GC.
If Bris can maintain the same intensity as last week they would be a good shot here but might depend on whether Bontempelli plays.
With S. Hill in doubt plus B. Hill, Taberner and Walters injured the Saints are a good chance to cover, but tough to pick with no forward line structure and a propensity for kicking points.
Rich -25.5 there's a good chance that NM have a letdown game following there massive win, either that or Rich beat them by +4 goals like they have against better teams than NM. Or they're competitive then get blown out in the 4th quarter. Any of the above will suffice.
Coll +11.5 - they play the MCG much better than Geel and with Menzel, Hawkins, Parfitt and co injured it could be argued that they should be favourites. Ablett is back though which hurts, but I expect Wells to come in and hopefully Reid. If Pendles play I think they should win.
WC +10.5 - GWS get Cameron and Lobb back, but have been terrible. I am expecting Nic Nat to get off at the tribunal. Missing Shuey hurts but WC aren't bad on the road (excluding the MCG). I have no confidence in GWS bouncing back here.
Hawks +5.5 - I don't like betting against Syd after a loss but it seems doubtful that Buddy and Hannebery play so like the Hawks with the better team at the MCG.
Ade -1.5 - seemed a bit of a gift at the time. Ade clearly the better team in superior form. Expect Tex, Sloane and Knight to play although SPP and Rockliff should return.
I think this is a season defining game for Ess. They actually have a decent squad out of form and expect them to rebound hard. Might be a bit tricky backing Ess though with the line 20+ especially if Murphy, Marchbank and Curnow return and it rains significantly.
Melb +21.5 - if Viney returns Melb will be at full strength. Have covered against the weaker teams well so they should be too strong for GC.
If Bris can maintain the same intensity as last week they would be a good shot here but might depend on whether Bontempelli plays.
With S. Hill in doubt plus B. Hill, Taberner and Walters injured the Saints are a good chance to cover, but tough to pick with no forward line structure and a propensity for kicking points.
Rich -25.5 there's a good chance that NM have a letdown game following there massive win, either that or Rich beat them by +4 goals like they have against better teams than NM. Or they're competitive then get blown out in the 4th quarter. Any of the above will suffice.
Coll +11.5 - they play the MCG much better than Geel and with Menzel, Hawkins, Parfitt and co injured it could be argued that they should be favourites. Ablett is back though which hurts, but I expect Wells to come in and hopefully Reid. If Pendles play I think they should win.
WC +10.5 - GWS get Cameron and Lobb back, but have been terrible. I am expecting Nic Nat to get off at the tribunal. Missing Shuey hurts but WC aren't bad on the road (excluding the MCG). I have no confidence in GWS bouncing back here.
