AFL AFL futures 2018

[Pres]

Plonked a bit on before the start of the round for Giants Top 8 @ 1.35 and Giants Top 4 @ 2.50. Not a week to week better and at that price it's better than interest in the bank.

Up to 5 weeks ago TAB were betting $3 on GWS for top 4. Last year it was the same - they were a major outlier to the other Corporates for some reason.

 

[ash_1050]

Up to 5 weeks ago TAB were betting $3 on GWS for top 4. Last year it was the same - they were a major outlier to the other Corporates for some reason.

Only moved back to Aus 5 weeks ago, if I was more organised I'd have definitely been on that!

 

[Atavistic]

I've put 60 on Coffield for Rising Star@34. Also 20 on Higgins@26.

 

[Sausage Legs]

Dont mind Stephenson for rising star. Has wheels and a is different to the other half backers in contention.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

William Hill have Sydney $10 to miss the 8.

Favourable draw maybe, but worth a throw at the stumps.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Sydney $4 now to miss the 8. Hope you all jumped on.

 

[Angus Young]

Sydney $4 now to miss the 8. Hope you all jumped on.

Great value

But they always start shit and come good.

like you said worth a stab... But that's all it is.

 

[RU_]

Messaged the Sportsbet page tonight and got told to call their bookmaker line to get odds for ‘Brisbane Lions to have a winless season’. Will have an answer in the next day or so, what would I expect odds wise here?

 

[footy75]

William Hill have Sydney $10 to miss the 8.

Favourable draw maybe, but worth a throw at the stumps.

rather take swans top 4

 

[Spads]

Messaged the Sportsbet page tonight and got told to call their bookmaker line to get odds for ‘Brisbane Lions to have a winless season’. Will have an answer in the next day or so, what would I expect odds wise here?

Wouldn't put the bet on for less odds than 40 - 1. You know, 1 / (1/1.33)^14, if you assume that every team the plays them starts $1.33 favourites.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Brisbane won’t go winless. They’ll push Hawthorn this week. We aren’t anything special.

 

[RU_]

Brisbane won’t go winless. They’ll push Hawthorn this week. We aren’t anything special.

Neither were the dogs. We don’t know how to win, we have been in a winning position 7/8 games this year and we fall to pieces whenever we realise. It’s a win-win situation for me if I get decent odds, we win and I’m happy and we don’t win and I’ll get a fair chunk of cash.

 

[maskmcgee]

Messaged the Sportsbet page tonight and got told to call their bookmaker line to get odds for ‘Brisbane Lions to have a winless season’. Will have an answer in the next day or so, what would I expect odds wise here?

They'll lose to us.

 

[RU_]

They'll lose to us.

I figured as much, winless.

 

[VK92]

2U Fyfe Brownlow winner @ $4.50
2U GWS Top 8 @ $2

1U Fyfe into GWS Top 8 @ $9

 

[kaiserchief13]

WC top non Vic team $4.50 and $4 to make grand final? I would think if they finish top 2 they are in the grand final, not sure why higher odds to finish higher than other non Vic team than make the grand final

 

[Lensen]

top non Vic team likely to be a end of round 23 market

 

[iluvparis]

top non Vic team likely to be a end of round 23 market

Surely thats more likely than eagles making the grand final though - can't see them making it if they don't finish top 2 and unlikely (for mine) that Richmond doesn't fill that other slot?

 

[Jugada]

It includes finals with Sportsbet. They are $4.50 cos Adelaide, Sydney and Port Adelaide are rated equal or higher in premiership betting

Still a big if on finishing top 2 and i wouldnt be penciling a GF spot even if they did. Already lost to Sydney at Optus and got very lucky with Geelong going down with injuries two weeks later. Definitely not a put in take out with 2 home finals

 

[NonPhixion]

I like Rayner for the Rising star still @26 with sportsbet.
Last few games he has started to get more game time than he did earlier in the year. watched him play on the weekend, the kid is going to be an absolute superstar.
Hasn't got a nomination yet, but it is definitely coming and when it does his odds will drop so chucking a little on now

 

[pharmafella]

Sportsbet late to react to news that Charlie Cameron will miss the rest of the season. Can get Zorko and Hipwood at $3 and $3.50 for Lions leading goal kicker, Cameron is still at $2.50 as favourite.

I also think the Power market is mispriced, Robbie Gray placing permanent forward looks likely with Rockliff playing well through the middle, he is $3.50 to win their goal kicking, Sam Gray current favourite at $2.50 is only ahead of him by 1 goal. I'm on both for $50.

 

[HTPunter]

I like Rayner for the Rising star still @26 with sportsbet.
Last few games he has started to get more game time than he did earlier in the year. watched him play on the weekend, the kid is going to be an absolute superstar.
Hasn't got a nomination yet, but it is definitely coming and when it does his odds will drop so chucking a little on now

Also on this. Quietly confident he'll have a breakout game soon. The comparisons to Dusty, and that mids who can rest forward are in vogue, also have me thinking he'll pull votes away from the less sexy back flankers like Doedee and Witherden.
I had the same thoughts on Stephenson earlier in the year too who has probably quietened down a bit, while Florent is a new midfield challenger.
Definitely wide open and a big month from Rayner in the 2nd half of the year might be enough - it's not a runaway winner year, and preferences for the 'gamebreaker' talent may be enough.

 

[theburst]

GWS are just out of the 8 and don't have an easy run home but reckon the Top 8 odds(centrebet) of $2.2 is worth a stab.

 

[ash_1050]

GWS are just out of the 8 and don't have an easy run home but reckon the Top 8 odds(centrebet) of $2.2 is worth a stab.

Hawks have an easier run home and are $2.25

 

[iluvparis]

Hawks have an easier run home and are $2.25

Yup I like that spread trade - lay GWS and use that money to back the Hawks