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The competition feels more and more even. I certainly don't write Collingwood off as a flag chance, particularly with Beams. But, equally, they could play just about as well next year and not make the top 4. Teams like Adelaide and Richmond could bounce back to 2017 form. And there are teams like Melbourne who are clearly on the rise. I reckon we may be in an era where sustained success by a single club is less likely but more teams are in the hunt for a flag every year.
Collingwood do have a lot in their favour - minimal list change and they shouldn't experience the same injury issues as last year. On the flip side, they are a "system" team and opponents will spend a lot of time over summer devising ways to beat their system.
There are several fascinating teams going into next year and Collingwood is one of them.
Their draw is very difficult as well.