Great read. Appreciate the effortAs some may be aware from other threads, I've long considered Venables to be comparable to Dangerfield at a similar age since before he was drafted.
Comparing anyone to Judd is unrealistic and unfair as he is a once in a generation player.
Let's not forget also he was about as close as it gets for guaranteed success from draft picks:
http://www.afl.com.au/news/2010-06-29/top-marks-for-class-of-01
The player who cast the greatest shadow over the 2001 carnival was Vic Metro captain Chris Judd, who as a junior footballer had a national reputation as a midfielder with a strong will and feet like twin jets.
For his team’s first game against WA at the MCG Judd lined up in the uncustomary position of centre half-back.
Vic Metro coach David Dickson said the idea was that his captain would damage WA’s morale by running off its gun key forward, Graham Polak.
Judd streamed forward twice in the opening quarter, only to miss both shots from 20m out. Vic Metro won easily. When the team went back to its digs at Melbourne Grammar, Judd asked Dickson if he could go on to the oval to practise goal-kicking.
“I’d never had that before, a player wanting to practice after playing a game,” Dickson said.
In 2000, when Judd was a bottom-age player at under-18 level, he popped a shoulder and had an operation to tighten it up. In the first quarter of Vic Metro’s second game in 2001 against South Australia at Shell Stadium in Geelong, he went to ground in what seemed innocuous fashion and popped his other shoulder.
Dickson said Judd was held in such high esteem by his teammates that the sight of him in agonising pain at half time silenced the room.
After the match, Vic Metro players were delighted when Judd returned from a Geelong hospital to join them on the bus back to Melbourne. He didn’t play again for the season.
The only reason he didn't go #1 was due to having major surgeries on both shoulders before turning 18, in combination with a draft that displayed competing elite talent in Hodge and Ball. Those top 3 picks of the 2001 draft played in a cumulative 10 grand finals and 6 premierships between them.
As for Judd, he infamously played a solitary match for East Perth and was onto greater things. He remains without question the most talented 18 year old player that I have ever seen. His highlights from that WAFL match still make my hair stand on end today.
I think people forget just how ridiculously good Judd was.
- In his first season he kicked 21 goals and won the AFLPA Best First Year Player Award.
- In his second season he kicked 29 goals, averaged 18 disposals, polled 12 Brownlow votes and finished runner-up for the Club Champion Award [now John Worsfold Medal].
- In his third season he polled 30 votes, winning the Brownlow medal at 21. He won the Club Champion Award that year also and remains the youngest player to have won it.
- By his 5th season, at the age of 23 he became the youngest player to have won both Brownlow and Norm Smith medals and be a premiership captain.
Now Venables, granted, has one over Judd in becoming a premiership player at 19; however he would need to win the Brownlow next season to keep up with Judd's heroics.
This is where Dangerfield is a far more conducive point of comparison.
Compare the two players' second years (2009 and 2018) against each other:
- Both were picked outside of the outstanding midfield prospects for their respective drafts [#10 and #13].
- Both missed their first seasons of AFL. Dangerfield controversially remained in Victoria studying during his first year on Adelaide's list (only playing two games) and Venables suffered recurrent foot injuries.
- Both played as specialist forwards when they broke into the team, not gaining much in the way of possession.
- Each display a ferocious approach to tackling in combination with being able to accelerate away from packs.
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Indeed it is not for a further three seasons (his 5th in 2012) that Dangerfield starts to average over 20 disposals per game. It is at that point he emerges as a future star of the competition and gains his first All-Australian selection.
I feel Venables will take a similar development path. He will remain a low-disposal forward specialist until he gains the aerobic capacity to be able to contest more stoppages. Once that happens, it will appear to rest of the competition as if he has arrived overnight from out of nowhere, having a massive impact.
He may take his time to develop, but Venables is very much a serious talent that will be key to our further success in seasons to come.
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