Port gained a win in the games After they played
Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)
- Thread starter Final Siren
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Port gained a win in the games After they played
iluvparis
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- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
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- Carlton
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- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Final Siren - has there been adjustment to the squiggle to make recent form more valuable in the rating than it previously was? While i expected some decent movement these look a lot larger across the board than you would expect from squigsy!
- Jul 15, 2014
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- Chelsea, LA Lakers, Western United
I think Final Siren mentioned that squiggle is more sensitive to unexpected results in the early rounds. It was like that last year too. It’s just that this year featured a lot of unexpected results in Round 1.
Except Hawks beating adelaide shouldn't bean upset by any measure except home ground (and thats debateable)
SJ
Premium Platinum
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
- Jul 13, 2015
- 36,521
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- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
4 / 8 seems like the result someone who had never seen a game could get.
Consistent because the long term predictions are never right - beyond what the average punter could guess. And even the short term provides no greater insight.
But squiggles are fun and I suspect that is why people follow it.
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
I'm sure your feeble human mind struggles to comprehend but there is a multitude of evidence throughout this thread that in fact Squiggle destroys the tipping performance of the average punter.
- Jul 13, 2015
- 36,521
- 40,718
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Im busy at work so I will start with Post #1 of the thread. Just simply horrible.
And while I didnt have West Coast even in the top 4, I had them in the 8. Along with Hawthorn. So even my biassed rose tinted glasses view of football seemed to do okay.
I can come back and find many more later on if you'd like.
Plus continue to post throughout the year while hundreds of posts discussing where squiggle went wrong and how small changes to the algorithm will get things back on track will be posted.
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
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- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
How about you post your tips and margins every week and we will compare you to the squiggle both on a tips correct and MSE basis. Also post your final ladder after each round and we will compare it to the squiggle.
- Sep 21, 2004
- 37,136
- 25,965
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Norwood & Liverpool.
Anyone got squiggles prediction as of the end of rd 1 last year?
Guaranteed it had Eagles like 12th or something
On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app
Guaranteed it had Eagles like 12th or something
On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app
- Apr 10, 2010
- 6,659
- 9,184
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- Fremantle
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- AFC Wimbledon
Don't question The Squiggle.
- Jul 30, 2018
- 11,782
- 15,176
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- Fremantle
- Banned
- #1,139
After four-ish years I am somehow interested in the Squiggle again.
I'm not
- Aug 18, 2009
- 4,229
- 17,495
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- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #1,141
That can certainly happen, as other results make a team's fixture look easier or harder.
It's pretty wild projecting out final ladders at this stage, though.
If we finish bottom with 6 wins I'll take that. Improvement on last year and pick #1.
- Aug 18, 2009
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- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #1,143
Yep, teams will move a lot more in the early rounds than they would later this year from the same result.
Each year, some teams will become a lot stronger or weaker than they were the previous season, so Squiggle is trying to capture that off-season change.
You can't tell a whole lot from one game, of course, but it's still a very significant data point.
I've noticed it before. end up not being far out though
- Aug 18, 2009
- 4,229
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- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #1,145
This is the wrong round to criticize Squiggle's tipping! 5/9 when the bookies got 3/9, and thrashed the market on Bits (% win chances).
- Aug 18, 2009
- 4,229
- 17,495
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- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #1,146
Yep, didn't expect the Eagles to rise in 2018. Not many did, of course!
Did pick them to make the GF early in 2015, which was a good one. I think some dude still hasn't honored his bet to run naked across Subiaco.
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
- Jul 30, 2018
- 11,782
- 15,176
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
- Banned
- #1,148
We wish!Also was the first off the Fremantle bandwagon after their 2015 GF appearance
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Oops - I meant 2015 minor premiership
- Jul 30, 2018
- 11,782
- 15,176
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
- Banned
- #1,150
Tbh Squiggle jumped off the bandwagon well before then, when we were 9-0 I think it was tipping us to not even make the GF.
