Melbourne have the lowest scoring shot average in the competition of 18 per match this season.Their opponents average 27.7 scoring shots per match this season.A differential of 9.7 the highest in the competition.
AFL 2019 - AFL Round 4
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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yeh dont mind jack 2 goals 6.50 and 3 for 18.00, our defence has been a mess a smart savvy player like him could do well, first match so probably stays forward... also on him first goal at sportsbet 26.00 and also Jayden Hunt tab is a bit of value $41 and then $11 ew for one of the first 3 goals... moved forward last week and did ok, you'd think he stays put.. hes around $20 at some books
wow wee that helps Jack even more i think with goals potential and Heeney, don't see how Sydney lose tonight to be honest.
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
yeh but our back 6 is already swiss cheese, take out Jetta.. i am guessing the new guy Marty Hore comes in, looks very inexperienced and not great one on one without Jetta.. frost and Mcdonald were already struggling without May and Lever
- Jun 16, 2018
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This Sydney vs Melbourne game is fascinating for a number of reasons.
When Melbourne got on a roll against Essendon they were unstoppable. This is the biggest pack of front-runners in the AFL.
What happens if they get on a roll against Sydney? It could be an epic revival of their season.
No McVeigh or Mills for Sydney. Pretty big outs. Replaced by Kieran Jack (whose own supporters think he is done) and a debutant.
Sydney's strength, outside run, is not much use on a congested SCG. Hence their woeful record there last season and again in Round 2 against the Crows.
Meanwhile Melbourne's weaknesses, a poor defence and slow midfield, will be mitigated by the congested SCG.
The question is, who goes to Preuss? Rampe is listed at 1.9m which is a long way from Preuss at 2.06m.
In his eight matches at AFL level, Preuss kicked two goals on two occasions (vs Hawks and GWS).
But the bottom line is this: I'm loading up on Melbourne for a big win, and also throwing a small bet on Preuss to kick a few.
When Melbourne got on a roll against Essendon they were unstoppable. This is the biggest pack of front-runners in the AFL.
What happens if they get on a roll against Sydney? It could be an epic revival of their season.
No McVeigh or Mills for Sydney. Pretty big outs. Replaced by Kieran Jack (whose own supporters think he is done) and a debutant.
Sydney's strength, outside run, is not much use on a congested SCG. Hence their woeful record there last season and again in Round 2 against the Crows.
Meanwhile Melbourne's weaknesses, a poor defence and slow midfield, will be mitigated by the congested SCG.
The question is, who goes to Preuss? Rampe is listed at 1.9m which is a long way from Preuss at 2.06m.
In his eight matches at AFL level, Preuss kicked two goals on two occasions (vs Hawks and GWS).
But the bottom line is this: I'm loading up on Melbourne for a big win, and also throwing a small bet on Preuss to kick a few.
andwhenitcomes
Team Captain
- May 2, 2018
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First picked in the backline every week.
Good news for anyone on Jack to score goals (or Heeney/Ronke types).
- Aug 15, 2011
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1U Brayshaw over JPK
1U Papley U85.5
0.5U Oliver U111.5
0.5U JPK U107.5
0.5U Harmes O85.5
0.5U Parker u98.5
0.5U Reid U74.5
0.5U Lloyd U115.5
0.5U Salem U86.5
0.1U Z.Jones 30 @9
0.25 Z.Jones 25 @2.5
0.5U Z.Jones o22.5 disp
$25 Melbourne 2.20 (double winnings)
Think these lines continue to be too high. Do i see Lloyd ending up with an avg surpassing 116... no.
Harmes has avg 102 in his last 10 games
Brayshaw a far better fantasy player than JPK
Salem was great round 1 but a smaller ground might hurt him and hes been below that past 2 and most of last year.
Expecting JPK to play on Oliver and negate a little even though he struggled to hold Cripps around the contest is where Oliver does his best work. Oliver hasnt been scoring the best as it is..SCG may help him
Zak jones went midfield with success meaning Papley went forward id back him to avg under 85.5 for the year
Reids been getting a bit of success as a ruck he wont against Preuss and Gawn. The only issue could be if he gets a hold of Oscar Mcdonald who was a very solid defender last year won alot of 1 vs 1
Luke Parker again battling a little scoring wise
Im expecting for the 3rd week in a row melbourne to come out firing and sneak across the line. If they fold like the past 3 weeks then ill probably be in a bit of trouble. Fantasy lines generally seem to high
1U Papley U85.5
0.5U Oliver U111.5
0.5U JPK U107.5
0.5U Harmes O85.5
0.5U Parker u98.5
0.5U Reid U74.5
0.5U Lloyd U115.5
0.5U Salem U86.5
0.1U Z.Jones 30 @9
0.25 Z.Jones 25 @2.5
0.5U Z.Jones o22.5 disp
$25 Melbourne 2.20 (double winnings)
Think these lines continue to be too high. Do i see Lloyd ending up with an avg surpassing 116... no.
Harmes has avg 102 in his last 10 games
Brayshaw a far better fantasy player than JPK
Salem was great round 1 but a smaller ground might hurt him and hes been below that past 2 and most of last year.
Expecting JPK to play on Oliver and negate a little even though he struggled to hold Cripps around the contest is where Oliver does his best work. Oliver hasnt been scoring the best as it is..SCG may help him
Zak jones went midfield with success meaning Papley went forward id back him to avg under 85.5 for the year
Reids been getting a bit of success as a ruck he wont against Preuss and Gawn. The only issue could be if he gets a hold of Oscar Mcdonald who was a very solid defender last year won alot of 1 vs 1
Luke Parker again battling a little scoring wise
Im expecting for the 3rd week in a row melbourne to come out firing and sneak across the line. If they fold like the past 3 weeks then ill probably be in a bit of trouble. Fantasy lines generally seem to high
- Jan 21, 2013
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- Jun 4, 2006
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So here is my dilemma.
Last week i placed $250 @1.98 on Gold coast to win on Sportsbet (12 points up at any break pays as a winner), Gold coast are now into $1.55.
Do i leave it, or do i put $250 on Carlton @2.30 on pointsbet (kick the first 2 goals and pays out)?
If i hedge with Pointsbet i only have a risk to lose $5 if Goldcoast win, but if carlton win i win $75. There is also the chance one of the promos wins and the other gets up meaning i win both bets and $570.
Thoughts?
Last week i placed $250 @1.98 on Gold coast to win on Sportsbet (12 points up at any break pays as a winner), Gold coast are now into $1.55.
Do i leave it, or do i put $250 on Carlton @2.30 on pointsbet (kick the first 2 goals and pays out)?
If i hedge with Pointsbet i only have a risk to lose $5 if Goldcoast win, but if carlton win i win $75. There is also the chance one of the promos wins and the other gets up meaning i win both bets and $570.
Thoughts?
where is this jetta news? i can't see it on AFL Site?
Ive been doing this most games every round mate haha
Between the Sbet, Beteasy and pointsbet promos guarantee profits with no risk. just cheer for the double payouts (there hasnt been many but theres been a couple)
you also have Ladbrokes 24+ double winnings, but they banned me
True skills is where you hit an early payout and cash out the other bet whilst its still got some value. = good profit.
God mode is when you get the double payout. = great payout.
Most disposals group 1:
Oliver 1U @ 3.3
Viney 0.5U @ 23
Oliver 1U @ 3.3
Viney 0.5U @ 23
Hopefully this week our defenders actually play on their man, instead of guarding space. A few times they were running to areas while their man ran the other way, out the back, for easy easy goals. Wtf are they doing?
Oh yeh, if you are “going fast” try and kick to a one on one, not a bomb inside 50.
Finally, can we not gave 3 blokes go for the ball at the same time, leaving opponents an easy outnumber crumb and fly it down the other end.
Please god!
Oh yeh, if you are “going fast” try and kick to a one on one, not a bomb inside 50.
Finally, can we not gave 3 blokes go for the ball at the same time, leaving opponents an easy outnumber crumb and fly it down the other end.
Please god!
pretty sure mills is playing???? and didnt Jack kind of revive his form a bit last year as a deeper forward .?
- May 20, 2016
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Waited 2 and a half years to make that postPlease tell me whats H2H short for thanks
just in
https://twitter.com/melbournefc
The final team is in + we have two late changes. Marty Hore + Charlie Spargo will replace Neville Jetta (knee) + Jay Lockhart (back) for tonight’s match.
: mfcde.es/2IcbizKpic.twitter.com/4RME4wL…
1 min ago
https://twitter.com/melbournefc
The final team is in + we have two late changes. Marty Hore + Charlie Spargo will replace Neville Jetta (knee) + Jay Lockhart (back) for tonight’s match.
: mfcde.es/2IcbizKpic.twitter.com/4RME4wL…1 min ago
- Aug 15, 2011
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SB and was 1.92
JETTA OUT
Oliver’s lowest disposal average is against Sydney
