Hell yeah and Brisbane this weekend. Bookies so slow to react to the steepness of Sydney's decline. I'm not betting much these days, just on Syds opponents lol, some supporter I am.
AFL 2019 - AFL Round 7
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
Any reason you're rating North so highly?
-20 looks good. 40+ is brave haha
Hellboy101
Senior List
Still at sportsbet if keen?
- Jun 13, 2016
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- Essendon
Odds have actually gone up due to the eagles being so heavily favoured. Jeez a lot of people getting on Hanley. Just a suggestion guys. Feel like I might be chased out by a flaming stick mob after this round.
Please Gamble responsibly.
Please Gamble responsibly.
It's a good spec bet but the bloke hasn't been a stat rat since 2014...
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
The opposition
Don't mind taking a punt on North this weekend either. Kreuzer is a huge player for Carlton - he gives them a lot in the middle once the ball hits the ground in terms of his follow-up work. Think without him, Simpson and Newman (their 2 best users out of defence with no Docherty), and McGovern out (Curnow in but having the extra tall would have really stretched our defence) it becomes a game well in North's favour on paper.
North -4.5 is still available Sportsbet which is what I've jumped on.
North -4.5 is still available Sportsbet which is what I've jumped on.
- Dec 2, 2017
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Pies, Giants, Lions and Tigers look the games to build multis around I reckon
-20.5 and 40+ were more value plays, but odds that I’ve taken were where the value is (was). Think North SU will still come in further.
More to do with Carlton though. They’ve put in a few strong performances in a row and have now lost some very key players to their success (Kreuzer, Simmo, Newman, McGovern), let down is definitely due. Few big outs imo. Backline loses a lot of experience and structure
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
You must rate North highly
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Hanley. OUT
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
#theyknew
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,334
- 20,537
- AFL Club
- Essendon
SB will do anything to try and stop me.
They're not beyond kicking a player in the shins to save a few K
Does that mean a refund?
andwhenitcomes
Team Captain
- May 2, 2018
- 444
- 555
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Yeah, the bets will be voided.
I wanted to see just how many lines actually got covered, so using the data in the opening post for every rounds thread I got these results. The outcome of close lines was by consensus. e.g if the margin was 10, and more than half the listed bookmakers had -10.5 or over, then it did not cover.
2019 so far looks a bit different...
So far in 2019, 15 matches have had a line of 19.75 or more. 14 of those 15 failed to cover the line. This week 5 games have lines of 19.75 or more.
Lines covered by margin this year:
0.25 - 9.75: 7 of 17
9.75 - 19.75: 11 of 22
19.75 - 29.75: 1 of 9 (Adel v. GC)
29.75 - 39.75: 0 of 6
2019 so far looks a bit different...
So far in 2019, 15 matches have had a line of 19.75 or more. 14 of those 15 failed to cover the line. This week 5 games have lines of 19.75 or more.
Lines covered by margin this year:
0.25 - 9.75: 7 of 17
9.75 - 19.75: 11 of 22
19.75 - 29.75: 1 of 9 (Adel v. GC)
29.75 - 39.75: 0 of 6
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Was lingering around here the back end of last season and remember that you were killing it. Curious to hear your point of view for this game as it seems different to mine?
