AFL 2019 - AFL Round 7

[HTPunter]

Before Carlton's outs, had them winning it by 22. But talking straight footy, at the moment North are probably the worst team in the comp based on form (along with the dees). Whilst Carlton are actually playing pretty good, their confidence is rising. At the moment it's a toss of the coin game with Carlton's outs. Can't see North winning it by 3+ goals. Only 2 weeks ago the blues smashed the dogs by 44 and were very impressive last week.

The outs are being slightly overrated. McGovern will hurt the structure a bit up forward, he's a presence but he was very quiet in the Dogs game and they still belted them. Kreuzer is the big out, could be the difference between a win and a loss. It's going to be a fascinating contest.

Might be slightly bias because I've seen the harm that missing your best ball users out of defence can do as a North fan (as in, North don't really have any Docherty/Simpson tier players and struggle to say we have one of Newman 2019 form right now), but I'd say that missing your 3 top kicks out of defence would hurt.

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u Steele over 94.5 fantasy (lads) $1.87

Clears this 6/8 times this year and 4/4 without Steven in the side.

 

[Keystone agony]

Bloody Beteasy have had enough and limited me to $25 bets. Anyone want to setup an account for me

1U Ebert U91.5 @1.88
1U Phillips over Ebert @1.91
1U S.Gray U74.5 @1.87 SB
0.25U Westhoff U86.5 @1.88 (One i like most) BE
0.25U

Happy punting been working too much to put too much time into it. Like Howe over 81.5 aswell but will miss for now

Ill be interested to see who Clurey plays on. Does he go to Degoey or take Reid/Mihocek with Jonas.

 

[chrisdon16]

St. Kilda +31.5 ($1.91 b365)

 

[offtherails9]

Westhoff first goal?

 

[freo_leo29]

Taberner 2 goals @3.10 B365
Taberner 3 goals @9 B365

Kicked 2 goals 4/6 times this year, had enough shots last week but missed a sitter (Altho his kicking has been average to his standards)

 

[Ohh Ok]

3.5u Taranto over 108.5 fantasy $2.15 (BE)

 

[Ulahoopski]

Same game multi:
Pies by 25+
Treloar 2nd goal scorer
PIes / Pies half time / fulltime
$49

 

[squeaky1000]

Fiorini over 105.5 fantasy ladbrokes
Has covered this 5/6 this season

Sheed under 90.5 pointsbet
Gone under this 3/4 since Gaff's return

Hurn over 94.5 pointsbet
Covered this comfortably the last 3 weeks

 

[Ulahoopski]

Same game multi:
Pies head to head
DeGoey 2nd goal scorer
Draw at end of any quarter
$71

 

[pharmafella]

Fiorini over 105.5 fantasy ladbrokes
Has covered this 5/6 this season

Sheed under 90.5 pointsbet
Gone under this 3/4 since Gaff's return

Hurn over 94.5 pointsbet
Covered this comfortably the last 3 weeks

Hutchings likely to tag Fiorini I would have thought, no one else to tag from GC.

 

[Ulahoopski]

Westhoff first goal?

I like Ben Reid for first goal. Popular team-mate, reckon they'll be keen to get him off to a good start.

 

[Butler]

Hutchings likely to tag Fiorini I would have thought, no one else to tag from GC.

I wouldn't think so. Fiorini gets a lot of the ball but isn't very damaging. Doubt Hutchings tags at all.

Without any obvious tag options I would hope WC back in their mids to find some form against a weaker midfield.

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Sam Powell-Pepper AGS @ 2.15 (Neds)
Sam Powell-Pepper 2+ @ 8.00 (SB)
Sam Powell-Pepper 3+ @ 26.00 (SB)

Kicked 4.8 this year from 19 shots on goal playing much more forward. Reasonable price even if he keeps up the shoddy accuracy.

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Liking Tom Phillips 30+ @ $5.00. Hasn't done it yet this year but has come very very close and has been in some good form (26, 29, 29 last three games) and should have got 30 on Anzac Day, was on 26 and found himself on the bench and couldn't get back on to the ground for the last 6-7 minutes. Did it 7 times last year with a career high of 38, runs all day so always a chance.

Will also be looking at adding 25+ in some of my SGM's, 1.80 and has done it 4/6 this year.

Pretty happy with this, got 30 very comfortably in the end. Hopefully SB keeps giving us these odds on Phillips, kid is a gun.

 

[Gibbsy]

Haha amazing, Port make it 1-39 with one second left. Cheers SPP.

 

[Keystone agony]

Bloody Beteasy have had enough and limited me to $25 bets. Anyone want to setup an account for me

1U Ebert U91.5 @1.88
1U Phillips over Ebert @1.91
1U S.Gray U74.5 @1.87 SB
0.25U Westhoff U86.5 @1.88 (One i like most) BE
0.25U

Happy punting been working too much to put too much time into it. Like Howe over 81.5 aswell but will miss for now

Ill be interested to see who Clurey plays on. Does he go to Degoey or take Reid/Mihocek with Jonas.

Another 3-1

+2.41 Units
$241

Another great night

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Sam Powell-Pepper AGS @ 2.15 (Neds)
Sam Powell-Pepper 2+ @ 8.00 (SB)
Sam Powell-Pepper 3+ @ 26.00 (SB)

Kicked 4.8 this year from 19 shots on goal playing much more forward. Reasonable price even if he keeps up the shoddy accuracy.

Shoddy accuracy alright...

 

[donsm8]

3U Aaron Francis AGS @ $3.50 (LB) (Essendon v Geelong)

I believe he has been brought in to play forward as Mitch Brown is injured. He doesn’t have a great tank so I think he will play majority of the game out of the goal square, with Daniher playing Brown’s role, pushing up the ground.

Worth a punt as I can’t see Essendon moving Hooker forward considering the way himself and Hurley are playing together. Francis also played forward in the VFL last weekend.

 

[donsm8]

3U Aaron Francis AGS @ $3.50 (LB) (Essendon v Geelong)

I believe he has been brought in to play forward as Mitch Brown is injured. He doesn’t have a great tank so I think he will play majority of the game out of the goal square, with Daniher playing the Brown’s role, pushing up the ground.

Worth a punt as I can’t see Essendon moving Hooker forward considering the way himself and Hurley are playing together. Francis also played forward in the VFL last weekend.

Francis AGS is only paying $1.25 w/ B365 & $1.27 w/ BetEasy.

 

[freo_leo29]

3U Aaron Francis AGS @ $3.50 (LB) (Essendon v Geelong)

I believe he has been brought in to play forward as Mitch Brown is injured. He doesn’t have a great tank so I think he will play majority of the game out of the goal square, with Daniher playing Brown’s role, pushing up the ground.

Worth a punt as I can’t see Essendon moving Hooker forward considering the way himself and Hurley are playing together. Francis also played forward in the VFL last weekend.

I just got on at Neds and they have shortened the odds to 1.35 lol

 

[donsm8]

I just got on at Neds and they have shortened the odds to 1.35 lol

What was it paying there?

 

[freo_leo29]

What was it paying there?

3.50 Neds = Lads on a different platform

it's into 1.35 on both

 

[the_big_sav]

come on everyone its like kissing a peanut (powell pepper)

 

[squeaky1000]

Dusty under 25.5 disposals ladbrokes
Hasn't gone over this since round 1. Bookies still slow to react on his lack of midfield time and differing form