chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
He could crack 25 so easily though. Very risky
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Squiggle tips Demons at 77% chance -- What's your tip? -- Team line-ups »
AFL 2019 - AFL Round 7
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Updated Record
89-92
+34.98 units
Huge 57 point 3rd qtr costs the Treloar bet, finishes on 120
Pera
⚪️⚫️⚪️⚫️⚪️⚫️
- Sep 26, 2010
- 7,045
- 6,082
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Newcastle Jets, Cleveland Browns
AFL RECORD (14 - 9)
+8.79 UNITS
TODAY'S PLAYS:
GWS -24.5 $1.91 - 1.25 units
Jeremy Cameron highest scoring player $2 - 1.5 units
Melbourne H2H $2.10 - 2 units
Sydney +17.5 $1.91 - 1.2 units
Richmond -16.5 $1.91 - 2.5 units
West Coast -45.5 $1.91 - 1 unit
+8.79 UNITS
TODAY'S PLAYS:
GWS -24.5 $1.91 - 1.25 units
Jeremy Cameron highest scoring player $2 - 1.5 units
Melbourne H2H $2.10 - 2 units
Sydney +17.5 $1.91 - 1.2 units
Richmond -16.5 $1.91 - 2.5 units
West Coast -45.5 $1.91 - 1 unit
- Aug 15, 2011
- 23,780
- 8,381
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Other Teams
- Port Adelaide
1U Hopper @2.1 over Newnes/Tomlinson BE
0.25U Z.Williams over Savage BE
0.25U B.Smith over Savage (like this) BE
0.5U Z.Williams over Newnes/Savage @2.55 BE
0.5U Haynes over Webster/A.Kennedy @2.33 BE
More bets to come
Spewing ive missed the francis value
0.25U Z.Williams over Savage BE
0.25U B.Smith over Savage (like this) BE
0.5U Z.Williams over Newnes/Savage @2.55 BE
0.5U Haynes over Webster/A.Kennedy @2.33 BE
More bets to come
Spewing ive missed the francis value
Thanks for the tip
took Phillips 26 spread pointsbet at $20 a disposal,he was quiet late too I watched it on replay, what was he on at 3-4 time like 27?
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- Mar 27, 2018
- 7,220
- 18,893
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Mason Wood 2+ @3 sb
Carlton lose a lot of defensive structure, downhill skier like him is likely to take advantage
Carlton lose a lot of defensive structure, downhill skier like him is likely to take advantage
Thanks for the tip
Was flying at half time on 20 disposals, finished the third with 27 and hit the 30 with 15 minutes to go in the last. Didn’t do much the rest of the quarter so thankfully he hit it early.
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,338
- 20,566
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Really can't believe i missed the Aaron Francis AGS bet. Fell asleep . Was my fave for the round.
Otherwise i like:
T. Kelly 30+poss @ $4 SB (won't be tagged against us)
N. Larkey 2+goals @ $4.50 SB (the guy is a goal machine and playing a VFLy looking defence)
3+ @ $11
4 + @ $51
N. Vlaustin U101.5 SC @ $1.87 LB (5/6 under this in 2019)
J. Sicily SC Group @ $7.5 LB (Dees love in50's, Siss will drop off some spud... Keilty?)
J. Harbrow 25+poss @ $4.20 (Should take K.O's without Hanley)
. Was my fave for the round.Otherwise i like:
T. Kelly 30+poss @ $4 SB (won't be tagged against us)
N. Larkey 2+goals @ $4.50 SB (the guy is a goal machine and playing a VFLy looking defence)
3+ @ $11
4 + @ $51
N. Vlaustin U101.5 SC @ $1.87 LB (5/6 under this in 2019)
J. Sicily SC Group @ $7.5 LB (Dees love in50's, Siss will drop off some spud... Keilty?)
J. Harbrow 25+poss @ $4.20 (Should take K.O's without Hanley)
Have been looking at Larkey! Was waiting for a few games to get out the way today before getting on. Hopefully doesnt get smashed too hard.Really can't believe i missed the Aaron Francis AGS bet. Fell asleep
Otherwise i like:
T. Kelly 30+poss @ $4 SB (won't be tagged against us)
N. Larkey 2+goals @ $4.50 SB (the guy is a goal machine and playing a VFLy looking defence)
3+ @ $11
4 + @ $51
N. Vlaustin U101.5 SC @ $1.87 LB (5/6 under this in 2019)
J. Sicily SC Group @ $7.5 LB (Dees love in50's, Siss will drop off some spud... Keilty?)
J. Harbrow 25+poss @ $4.20 (Should take K.O's without Hanley)
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,338
- 20,566
- AFL Club
- Essendon
I've watched him since he was junior (see avatar). Even in the U-18champs he'd bag 3 and he still didn't look much chop. Only just got drafted.
Won the VFL goalkicking last year. Still no one rates him.
Kicked 3.0 last week in a team that only kicked 11 (Brown and Wood kicked 1.1 bewteen them)
I could easily see him kicking a bag tomorrow.
Lads have him for most goals at $29.
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Surely it's a mini grand final for Melb and NM?
The season's been a disaster for both but if they fail this week then it's literally season over.
Melbourne schedule is beneficial they have a 10 day break vs Hawks consecutive 6 day breaks. However, their backline and forward line are both ranked worst for scores I50. Petracca is a late out so the forward line becomes even more impotent. If McDonald doesn't find form (he's been truly awful) then who kicks the goals?
Hawks got killed in clearances last week so Melb's midfield is a concern, but Burgoyne is back and Viney is out so that threat is mitigated somewhat. Howe tags Brayshaw and that leaves Olliver who hasn't been fantastic.
Given Melb have played 1 decent half against a weak team then i'm going to have to back Hawks fielding a far superior team.
Still think the bookies have the Melb lines wrong. They haven't shown anything.
Think NM wins though. Carl losing key personnel tips it in NM's favour. If they can't win today against a weakened Carl then it's a disaster.
The season's been a disaster for both but if they fail this week then it's literally season over.
Melbourne schedule is beneficial they have a 10 day break vs Hawks consecutive 6 day breaks. However, their backline and forward line are both ranked worst for scores I50. Petracca is a late out so the forward line becomes even more impotent. If McDonald doesn't find form (he's been truly awful) then who kicks the goals?
Hawks got killed in clearances last week so Melb's midfield is a concern, but Burgoyne is back and Viney is out so that threat is mitigated somewhat. Howe tags Brayshaw and that leaves Olliver who hasn't been fantastic.
Given Melb have played 1 decent half against a weak team then i'm going to have to back Hawks fielding a far superior team.
Still think the bookies have the Melb lines wrong. They haven't shown anything.
Think NM wins though. Carl losing key personnel tips it in NM's favour. If they can't win today against a weakened Carl then it's a disaster.
Any suggestions on what I should do with the Francis AGS bet?
I have 3U @ $3.50, it’s come in to $1.35. LB are offering $720 ($420 profit) as a cash out, or I can ride it out and if he scores I win $1050 ($750) profit. I really think he will have the opportunity to snag a couple but it would break my heart if I don’t take it and he walks to FB at the beginning of the game and Hooker goes to FF. Maybe I should just partially cash out my stake?
I have 3U @ $3.50, it’s come in to $1.35. LB are offering $720 ($420 profit) as a cash out, or I can ride it out and if he scores I win $1050 ($750) profit. I really think he will have the opportunity to snag a couple but it would break my heart if I don’t take it and he walks to FB at the beginning of the game and Hooker goes to FF. Maybe I should just partially cash out my stake?
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
lol it’s already season over for both
- Sep 24, 2010
- 7,310
- 8,057
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Phili Eagles + Sixers
Not worried O'meara will get the Harmes or Hibberd tag? He's been pumped up big time in the media this week and coming off a career best game against a team that loves to tag..
Speaking of tags.. Think Billings a good shot to get Deboar.
Well, I tried to partial cashout on Neds but that isn't a feature apparently and I cash my whole stake.
Spose I'll take the profit but definitely feeling a bit of regret, maybe thats a sign to let it ride?
csnody
Team Captain
- Jul 10, 2015
- 329
- 314
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
I'd cash out. That's easy money.
pharmafella
Debutant
- Oct 21, 2015
- 68
- 106
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
1U Larkey 2+ goals 4.50 SB
1U Dunkley 25+ disposals 7.00 SB
Edit: SB have dropped the Larkey odds since I placed this. Into 3.40 which I still like.
1U Dunkley 25+ disposals 7.00 SB
Edit: SB have dropped the Larkey odds since I placed this. Into 3.40 which I still like.
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- Aug 15, 2011
- 23,780
- 8,381
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Other Teams
- Port Adelaide
1U Hopper @2.1 over Newnes/Tomlinson BE
0.25U Z.Williams over Savage BE
0.25U B.Smith over Savage (like this) BE
0.5U Z.Williams over Newnes/Savage @2.55 BE
0.5U Haynes over Webster/A.Kennedy @2.33 BE
Add my usual bets but outside of Beteasy
1U Seb Ross U102.5 @1.88 PB
0.5U Parker U53.5 @1.88 PB
Ill keep a close eye on Deboer and where he lines up
0.25U Z.Williams over Savage BE
0.25U B.Smith over Savage (like this) BE
0.5U Z.Williams over Newnes/Savage @2.55 BE
0.5U Haynes over Webster/A.Kennedy @2.33 BE
Add my usual bets but outside of Beteasy
1U Seb Ross U102.5 @1.88 PB
0.5U Parker U53.5 @1.88 PB
Ill keep a close eye on Deboer and where he lines up
I cashed out, knowing my luck he would be a late withdrawal and the bet would be void ha!
Hopefully he kicks a couple anyway, shouldn’t be playing VFL and want him to stay in the side.
- Aug 15, 2011
- 23,780
- 8,381
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Other Teams
- Port Adelaide
0.5U Cumming AGS @1.91 (Will play forward) wouldve liked more
Gone Jager most disposals loaded up and Gawn fantasy. Both off to a good start.
Lewis Jetta $4.50 to get 25+ touches tonight against Gold Coast, he'll lift after last week and loves getting cheap s**t against s**t teams on big grounds.
Lewis Jetta $4.50 to get 25+ touches tonight against Gold Coast, he'll lift after last week and loves getting cheap s**t against s**t teams on big grounds.
J.Selwood out, wonder what effect that has on Dangerfield midfield time.
