AFL 2019 - AFL Round 12

[smiddaz123]

If Oliver is remotely fit I like it a lot. Treloar racks up 35ish regularly and I can't see him getting tagged because he isn't that damaging with it. Pies don't tag generally, so you should get Oliver and Treloar running around free for the game. 2.75 is good enough for me even if Oliver left training early. If his back to too sore to get 25-30 touches running around by himself, he probably won't play at all.

 

[HTPunter]

Really like Hunt, Hannan and WHE all anytime goalscorer most weeks they play.

Hunt - 8/11 this year, $1.50
WHE - 19/26 last year and 5/6 this year, $1.57
Hannan - 13/15 last year and 1/1 this year, $1.50

WHE was $1.72 and Hunt $1.57 when I got on but still like it. 3 bets that I do like to do most weeks and so far it's been profitable.

 

[bettingonbetts]

I know Hellboy101 doesnt like multis on his own team but I need some magic after a poor week

 

[HTPunter]

Small/medium defenders used in a rebounding role v Melbourne this year - Laird 31, Smith 27, Shaw 27, Hurn 33, Houli 32, Savage 27, Lloyd 34, Stewart 27, Burton 26

So I don't mind Crisp O26.5 @ $1.87

Also think Maynard 20+ @ $2 and 25+ @ $4.20 is worth a pinch but with a lot less confidence

 

[the_big_sav]

Demons defence lacks pace.
Think Stephenson might be isolated and can do some damage tomorrow.
3+ $3.30
Most Goals $8
SB

yep, on this

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u Brayshaw over 22.5 disposals $1.83 (SB)

Was match high for CBAs last week

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Will be adding Brayden Sier to some of my SMG's today. Finally found a spot in the team after Beams' hip injury, most of the Pies fans think he was very unlucky not get selected earlier in the season so I'm expecting a big game from him to cement his spot. A big bodied inside midfielder who's easily our best contested ball winner. Put together some very good footy after his first 4-5 games last season and with another preseason under his belt hopefully can continue that.

20+ $1.72
25+ $3.50

 

[NonPhixion]

3u Brayshaw over 22.5 disposals $1.83 (SB)

Was match high for CBAs last week

All over this. Something to consider is that Sier who has replaced Beams will play limited minutes. Can’t see him playing more than 65% TOG. He just doesn’t have the tank right now. So someone is going to have to rotate through the midfield. It could be De Goey again like last year, would not surprise me. That Crisp bet is pretty solid too, he could potentially get a run thru the midfield today. I like Sidebottom O26.5 @1.87 b365. He is building after a slow start to the year and with 2 of our centre bounce mids out I rekon he plays predominantly in the centre, rather than switching out onto the wing

 

[HTPunter]

Stephenson $3.90 on bet365 for 3+ goals for those going down that path

 

[SM]

Stephenson $3.90 on bet365 for 3+ goals for those going down that path

Tailed.

 

[jimboslice]

Cmon lads let’s find the SGM to make our days
Value i see Brayshaw o22.5 - he’s cleared that 7/11 this year and I feel he has a lot to prove today
Pendlebury o28.5 - based on recent form
Treloar o31.5 done this 7/11 times this year
Game total over 162.5 - gone over that 4 out of last 5 meetings. Only time it hasn’t was bang on 162
Think this game may be a shoot out $9.5/1 for o200
Thoughts lads?

 

[Robo87]

Really like Hunt, Hannan and WHE all anytime goalscorer most weeks they play.

Hunt - 8/11 this year, $1.50
WHE - 19/26 last year and 5/6 this year, $1.57
Hannan - 13/15 last year and 1/1 this year, $1.50

WHE was $1.72 and Hunt $1.57 when I got on but still like it. 3 bets that I do like to do most weeks and so far it's been profitable.

1u sgm - atgs Hunt, atgs Hannan, atgs WHE, atgs Degoey, atgs Stephenson @6.20 lads

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Cmon lads let’s find the SGM to make our days
Value i see Brayshaw o22.5 - he’s cleared that 7/11 this year and I feel he has a lot to prove today
Pendlebury o28.5 - based on recent form
Treloar o31.5 done this 7/11 times this year
Game total over 162.5 - gone over that 4 out of last 5 meetings. Only time it hasn’t was bang on 162
Think this game may be a shoot out $9.5/1 for o200
Thoughts lads?

I’m with you mate looking to jag a decent SGM today.

Brayshaw O23.5, Oliver U30.5, Sier 20+, Phillips O24.5, Crisp 25+, Pies -14.5 @ 30.25

Stephenson 3+, Sier 25+, Oliver U30.5, Brayshaw O23.5, Crisp O26.5 @ 88.50

Stephenson/WHE/Hunt/Hannan ags, Brayshaw O23.5, Oliver U30.5, Sier/Mayne/Phillips 20+, Sidebottom 25+ @ 121.00

 

[ahh_zombies]

SGM win, Lukosius needed a goal in the last, and hit a belter

 

[Mazza1234678]

SGM win, Lukosius needed a goal in the last, and hit a belter

Jesus what a win

 

[Ohh Ok]

5u Grundy Under 21.5 disposals $1.60 (BE)

 

[chrisdon16]

Collingwood -14.5 ($1.96 Topsport)

 

[iluvparis]

SGM win, Lukosius needed a goal in the last, and hit a belter

Slightly suss that account balance is equal to the multi win - old mate down to his last $75 and jams it on a 1000/1 SGM?

#seemslegit

 

[NonPhixion]

De Goey is going to play midfield today.
20+ top sport @1.80

 

[Browney2006]

Slightly suss that account balance is equal to the multi win - old mate down to his last $75 and jams it on a 1000/1 SGM?

#seemslegit

If he’s been banging $75 bets on $1000-1 shots, fair to say his account would be hitting $0 a fair amount

 

[jimboslice]

I’m with you mate looking to jag a decent SGM today.

Brayshaw O23.5, Oliver U30.5, Sier 20+, Phillips O24.5, Crisp 25+, Pies -14.5 @ 30.25

Stephenson 3+, Sier 25+, Oliver U30.5, Brayshaw O23.5, Crisp O26.5 @ 88.50

Stephenson/WHE/Hunt/Hannan ags, Brayshaw O23.5, Oliver U30.5, Sier/Mayne/Phillips 20+, Sidebottom 25+ @ 121.00

Nice one mate love them all if I didn’t blow too much money on the weekend I’d have a few more cracks but this is what I’m going with. Good luck everyone

 

[Robo87]

0.3u Hannan 2g+ @5 b365
0.2u Hannan 3g+ @21 b365
just for value (only @2.70 and 5 on sb)

 

[targett]

SGM win, Lukosius needed a goal in the last, and hit a belter

 

[Browney2006]

******* thanks Stephenson, had him for first goal FFS

 

[Browney2006]

Bang! 2nd times a charm