Would not be surprised if we lose the next two and then win the following five.
Strategy The run home
- Thread starter eth-dog
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Did the ladder predictor and tried to be as honest with myself as possible, and by the last round we were 5th! I then gave us a loss to Collingwood and we finished 8th.
Essendon, Brisbane and the two teams from Adelaide are fighting for three spots. I am assuming with all games to go at the G Richmond is home. North are playing well, but it is too late. Similarly, Doggies and Freo are too far out. If two of the teams in this bunch completely choke then one of them are a possible.
This makes our games against Adelaide and Port extremely important. The Dogs form will shape the finish as they play three of us. So does north. Both teams have found some good form and could easily beat all us, so maybe they are still in the mix.
I went to enough trouble makeing the table. Can't be bothered filling in the predictions. ... you can!
| Team | Adelaide | Brisbane | Essendon | Port |
| Prior wins | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| the opponent for r 16 | Port | GWS (away) | Sydney (mcg) | Adel |
| 17 | Suns (away) | Port (away) | Norf (Docklands) | Brisbane (home) |
| 18 | Essendon (home) | North (home) | Adelaide (away) | Richmond (away) |
| 19 | Carlton (away) | Hawks (Tass) | Suns (away) | GWS (home) |
| 20 | St Kilda home | Dogs (home) | Port (home) | Essendon (away) |
| 21 | Eagles (away) | Suns (home) | Doggies (Docklands) | Sydney (home) |
| 22 | Collingwood (home) | Geelong (home) | Freo (away) | North (away) |
| 23 | Doggies (away) | Richmond (away) | Collingwood | Dockers (home) |
| Prediction total ... |
This makes our games against Adelaide and Port extremely important. The Dogs form will shape the finish as they play three of us. So does north. Both teams have found some good form and could easily beat all us, so maybe they are still in the mix.
I went to enough trouble makeing the table. Can't be bothered filling in the predictions. ... you can!
raskolnikov
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The Giants spot in the 8 just opened up to us. They have a nightmare run home.
The Bulldogs are a game behind us but they have three winnable games at Marvel next (Melbourne, St Kilda and Fremantle). If we drop this game vs North then lose to Adelaide, I see North and the Doggies going past us on the ladder in a few weeks.
Crows and Freo are gettable imo would not surprise me that we win both
- Jul 16, 2012
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We might end up with 13 wins and still not make it on %. Just need Port to lose as many as possible to Brisbane (Home), Richmond (Away), GWS (Home) and Essendon (Away). If they win 2 of those, their fixture does open up for their last three. Ideally, they win one of the next four.
8 point game lose and we are just about done for the season imo
JT_the_Man
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No way we lose to North.
Seriously, I can’t see it.
Seriously, I can’t see it.
- Apr 15, 2013
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Absolute ******* lottery, the whole thing. How easily could we have lost the last two weeks? Just hope they have taken some confidence false or otherwise
- Apr 15, 2013
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How quickly that can change to not being able to unsee it
JT_the_Man
Draft King
Yeah look I regretted that about 5 minutes later knowing what would probably happen.
- May 27, 2017
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If we win all of them... top 4!
Port game is critical
Means we can drop games to Freo, Adelaide and Collingwood and still be in with a chance.
Also need Port to lose to GWS & North.
Alternatively, we balls up North or Dogs game, and we're gone.
Port beat us too, we can drop as low as 14th by my count.
could be disastrous.
Shame we can't offer our 2nd rd picks to GWS for our 1st back now, then tank the **** out of the rest of the season
Means we can drop games to Freo, Adelaide and Collingwood and still be in with a chance.
Also need Port to lose to GWS & North.
Alternatively, we balls up North or Dogs game, and we're gone.
Port beat us too, we can drop as low as 14th by my count.
could be disastrous.
Shame we can't offer our 2nd rd picks to GWS for our 1st back now, then tank the **** out of the rest of the season
- May 27, 2017
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We need the pies to continue their slump for a game or 2.5th by my count
Host the Crows
just imagine knocking them out of the top 4 in rd 23
The Bulldogs game is critical imo always seem to struggle againts them.
Port we have their measure and it's at Marvel
The rest of the games North,Crows,Pies,Freo I'm confident we can win them all.
In that fantasy I had them dropping to 7th (play the tigers), and a top 4 of Geelong, west coast, gws and Brisbane
- Jun 26, 2017
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Really? They should win their last 4
Swans (home)
Hawkes (home)
Dogs (home)
Suns (away)
GREAT MINDS! Exactly what I was thinking. So much still has to go right for us to make it. Anyhoo....
vast
Hall of Famer
Really? We will most likely lose all 4 of those and against the dogs who have our measure.
Don't think we will lose all 4 but this is Esendon we are talking about and that possibility is real
JT_the_Man
Draft King
With Hawthorn currently smashing Freo, today becomes even more important. It’s a chance to potentially end the round 2 games clear of 10th (if the Dees can upset the Dogs) and really leave it up to how we play against Port/Adelaide.
JT_the_Man
Draft King
I shouldn’t have said anything, Freo coming back...
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