AFL 2019 - AFL FINALS Week 1

[maskmcgee]

View attachment 740168

During Scott's nine-year reign as coach, Geelong has lurched to a pitiful 1-11 record after a week off.
This comprises nine straight losses following mid-season breaks and a 1-2 result after pre-finals byes.
Their lone win in this post-bye blooper reel was by two points over Hawthorn in their 2016 qualifying final – and that only materialised after Hawks star Isaac Smith missed a set shot after the siren.

Seems the QF winner didn't get a week off in 2011 or 2016.

 

[targett]

Seems the QF winner didn't get a week off in 2011 or 2016.

As quoted , Mid-Season Breaks and Pre-Finals .

Lets add another

Loss , 10pts , QF 2019 , Collingwood , MCG , Pre Finals , 1-12

 

[Mazza1234678]

Was a bit more worried about the very low unders last night when the rain didn’t hit

However we get the W, don’t mind the unders in the lions game

Gets very dewy at night games in brissy, think 160.5 is a bit of stretch here

 

[karaoke]

M Robinson AGS - $2.50 Unibet (12/22)

 

[happy punter]

Dogs open up as small favs and now as of morning of gameday the Giants are favs.

Hmm

 

[targett]

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Dogs open up as small favs and now as of morning of gameday the Giants are favs.

Hmm

And yet, the Premiership market doesn't reflect the favouritism switch...Dogs 15-1, GWS 30-1...

 

[Its not the coach]

And yet, the Premiership market doesn't reflect the favouritism switch...Dogs 15-1, GWS 30-1...

The reason being if GWS win this game they would have to play away for the rest of the finals, The Bulldogs however would be playing matches in their home town.

 

[GROTTO]

The reason being if GWS win this game they would have to play away for the rest of the finals, The Bulldogs however would be playing matches in their home town.

In much the same way that the Tigers odds wont drop dramatically if they lose tonight.

They will either way regardless of tonights result, play at home next week win that and its a home prelim, win that and its a home grand final.

(yes still salty after 2017).

 

[Its not the coach]

Was a bit more worried about the very low unders last night when the rain didn’t hit

However we get the W, don’t mind the unders in the lions game

Gets very dewy at night games in brissy, think 160.5 is a bit of stretch here

Just the usual low scoring scrap the two teams always play against each other. Spewing I never loaded up on pies for flag, Have liked them all year, truely resiliant and looking good.

 

[Mazza1234678]

Just the usual low scoring scrap the two teams always play against each other. Spewing I never loaded up on pies for flag, Have liked them all year, truely resiliant and looking good.

Yep kicking myself

Was ready to have a crack 3 or so weeks ago @ 10s

But never did

 

[demon_fanatic]

If you think Richmond employ similar tactics and don't go a tag on Neale,you can grab $9 for 40 disposal at palmerbet,what's his line anyway about 33?? Hopefully they lock in on zorko it's unlikely but $9 is value

 

[FrankGrimes]

Windy in Sydney today, favouring one end?

 

[NonPhixion]

Dogs open up as small favs and now as of morning of gameday the Giants are favs.

Hmm

I gave up on betting on the Giants games long ago but I think they are rightly favoured here. Dogs are playing good footy but are a little overhyped for my liking, there defence is very suspect and if the Giants can get enough inside 50’s there talls are going to do damage imo

 

[demon_fanatic]

Do you think Greene plays like 80 percent forward? Dont mind his under spread of 26 if so, hopper back in so that should help..

 

[JuniorWatch]

Windy in Sydney today, favouring one end?

yep, blowing a gale to the Hawkesbury End(name?) (eastern end).

 

[targett]

yep, blowing a gale to the Hawkesbury End(name?) (eastern end).

Are you at the ground

 

[JuniorWatch]

Are you at the ground

Nah, just read the weather and looked at the orientation of the ground.
Ground lies east-west and there is a 35kph easterly blowing in Sydney.

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Can't believe the Giants are shortening. Dogs easily for me.

De Boer to Bont. Macrae and Dunkley disposals over.

 

[targett]

Nah, just read the weather and looked at the orientation of the ground.
Ground lies east-west and there is a 35kph easterly blowing in Sydney.

Ill be getting on ts $2 line on the toss winner.Then cover at quarter time.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

With SB '12 up you win' promo is this one of the days where you chuck $50 on whoever wins the toss and kicks with the wind?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Can't believe the Giants are shortening. Dogs easily for me.

Why?

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

In case the wind is actually bad and is heavily favouring one side think I'll have some fun on the behind markets.

19+ 1st half behinds $81
19+ 2nd half behind $76
13+ GWS 1st half behinds $401
13+ GWS 2nd half behinds $201

 

[NonPhixion]

In case the wind is actually bad and is heavily favouring one side think I'll have some fun on the behind markets.

19+ 1st half behinds $81
19+ 2nd half behind $76
13+ GWS 1st half behinds $401
13+ GWS 2nd half behinds $201

Like it.
Worth a shot at least. I’ll break down 1u on these plays along with 16-18 and 11-12 markets respectively

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Why?

Outside of Richmond, Dogs the most in form team in the comp over the last month of the season. Bont, Macrae and Dunkley in unreal form. They're scoring at will. Won by 10 goals up there three weeks ago. Giants have some good ins but have durability questions over them all. They're just a better team right now.