I reckon we win this by about 3 goals.
The key will not be letting them jump us at the start and get their tails up.
If we start hot and kick the first 4+ look out, Geelong are the type of side who will fold like a deck of cards.
Currently the weather forecast for rain is holding, with some model conjecture on the timing of the cool change and associated rain. (Whether it is pre, during or post game. Will know more in the coming days).
We have too much experience this year having good wins in the wet for this not to be a factor in my eyes.
Meanwhile, this is me hoping for rain.
Also, I don't want to look too far ahead, but if we win this, I have a sneaky feeling we will be playing GWS in the GF. Here is why.
Collingwood, while quite good in the QF against a poor Handbaggers, have an overrated formline. With De-Goey out this also hurts their chances.
Since round 19, (Collingwood's last loss, to us) they have won every game, but look at this;
- Rnd 20: Def Gold Coast by 69 points. - Who didn't belt the Suns this year?
- Rnd 21: Def Melbourne by 17 points. - Another win against a bottom side.
- Rnd 22: Def Adelaide in Adelaide by 66 - This is a very good win interstate, so can't fault this too much. Although Adelaide had a very ordinary end to the year.
- Rnd 23: Def Essendon by 11 - Don's rested heaps of their best players and almost got them. Unconvincing.
- QF: Def Geelong by 10 points. - Tick here, cos any win in finals is a tick, but were kept scoreless in the last quarter and I believe if the game went another 5-10 mins would have been over run by the 1 man Dangerfield show.
In summary, the Pies should win at the MCG with 90k+ Pies ferrals, but GWS look like men on a mission to make the big dance after missing out so many years, and their experience in the 2017 PF with similar crowd conditions should hold them in good stead.
The key will not be letting them jump us at the start and get their tails up.
If we start hot and kick the first 4+ look out, Geelong are the type of side who will fold like a deck of cards.
Currently the weather forecast for rain is holding, with some model conjecture on the timing of the cool change and associated rain. (Whether it is pre, during or post game. Will know more in the coming days).
We have too much experience this year having good wins in the wet for this not to be a factor in my eyes.
Meanwhile, this is me hoping for rain.
Also, I don't want to look too far ahead, but if we win this, I have a sneaky feeling we will be playing GWS in the GF. Here is why.
Collingwood, while quite good in the QF against a poor Handbaggers, have an overrated formline. With De-Goey out this also hurts their chances.
Since round 19, (Collingwood's last loss, to us) they have won every game, but look at this;
- Rnd 20: Def Gold Coast by 69 points. - Who didn't belt the Suns this year?
- Rnd 21: Def Melbourne by 17 points. - Another win against a bottom side.
- Rnd 22: Def Adelaide in Adelaide by 66 - This is a very good win interstate, so can't fault this too much. Although Adelaide had a very ordinary end to the year.
- Rnd 23: Def Essendon by 11 - Don's rested heaps of their best players and almost got them. Unconvincing.
- QF: Def Geelong by 10 points. - Tick here, cos any win in finals is a tick, but were kept scoreless in the last quarter and I believe if the game went another 5-10 mins would have been over run by the 1 man Dangerfield show.
In summary, the Pies should win at the MCG with 90k+ Pies ferrals, but GWS look like men on a mission to make the big dance after missing out so many years, and their experience in the 2017 PF with similar crowd conditions should hold them in good stead.
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