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List Mgmt. 2019 List Management: Contracts, Trading, Drafting, Academy

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I'm guessing there's a chance we offer you some gambling $$$.
Not sure why the Jacobs trade is taking so long ....would have thought #59 was on the money

Unless something else is brewing
 
If there's another trade in the wind (with Adelaide for #4), I'd assume Jacobs would be thrown in. If we trade with Melbourne instead, then something like that will occur I'd guess.
Reid keeps saying in interviews, if we don't split #4 ....who knows ATM .....this trade pick swapping is getting very complicated

I can't see who we would trade #4 with
 

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Not sure why the Jacobs trade is taking so long ....would have thought #59 was on the money

Unless something else is brewing

I reckon Crows trying to trade for Hately, would be in their 22 straight away
 
I reckon Crows trying to trade for Hately, would be in their 22 straight away
Yes our board seems keen on any Sth Aust player .....mostly it's just a Sth Aust bias & players rarely return ....for good reason, if you've been to ADEL

Club though seems more set on getting draft picks, than trading for players ....particularly given we have no coach

But if Matthew Nicks gets appointd ....that may change
 
Yes our board seems keen on any Sth Aust player .....mostly it's just a Sth Aust bias & players rarely return ....for good reason, if you've been to ADEL

Club though seems more set on getting draft picks, than trading for players ....particularly given we have no coach

But if Matthew Nicks gets appointd ....that may change

You would think the announcement would be Monday for Nick's. They couldnt do 2 press conferences in 1 day yesterday....lol
Mind you the review should have been wrapped up prior to the trade period starting

We have the options to work something out with both Melbourne and Adelaide
Going to be a interesting 3 days of trade period, especially the last hr.........

Next years draft is a weird 1 alot of father son and academy picks (most ever), i can see us moving 1 of our futures on which we haven't done yet
 
You would think the announcement would be Monday for Nick's. They couldnt do 2 press conferences in 1 day yesterday....lol
Mind you the review should have been wrapped up prior to the trade period starting

We have the options to work something out with both Melbourne and Adelaide
Going to be a interesting 3 days of trade period, especially the last hr.........

Next years draft is a weird 1 alot of father son and academy picks (most ever), i can see us moving 1 of our futures on which we haven't done yet
Yes, they're saying this draft is not as good as last years ...but better than nxt years Draft, because it's so compromised

I'm gathering the Coaching announcement will be mid week, after trade period has finished

Not sure how you can advance your draft order ....unless it's #6 and a player ....you simply don't have the picks

What's the knock on Bonar ?
 
Yes, they're saying this draft is not as good as last years ...but better than nxt years Draft, because it's so compromised

I'm gathering the Coaching announcement will be mid week, after trade period has finished

Not sure how you can advance your draft order ....unless it's #6 and a player ....you simply don't have the picks

What's the knock on Bonar ?
Had a brilliant first year. Has all the attributes of side speed and power, just hasn’t been consistent enough

We drafted a bunch of young guys last year which put him under pressure and they jumped him

I think we all rate him... but I also think we all acknowledge he might go for more opportunity
 
Yes, they're saying this draft is not as good as last years ...but better than nxt years Draft, because it's so compromised

I'm gathering the Coaching announcement will be mid week, after trade period has finished

Not sure how you can advance your draft order ....unless it's #6 and a player ....you simply don't have the picks

What's the knock on Bonar ?

He showed flashes in year 1 and regressed this year.

To me he looks like he has some nice assets (hard head, strong body). Maybe in a different team he could do better but frankly I’m a bit disappointed in him that he didn’t perform more consistently this year in NEAFL. With all our injuries it’s a poor indictment on him his inability to get a spot in the team and to fall behind first year players.

He doesn’t get a lot of the ball, goes missing and seems to have very limited hurt factor. Maybe his best chance is as a 3rd tall but I haven’t seen evidence he kicks many goals?

Perhaps he was a man child that dominated when he was against kids but is now being exposed? I’m happy to cut losses here, he is so far back in the pack it’s not funny.
 
He showed flashes in year 1 and regressed this year.

To me he looks like he has some nice assets (hard head, strong body). Maybe in a different team he could do better but frankly I’m a bit disappointed in him that he didn’t perform more consistently this year in NEAFL. With all our injuries it’s a poor indictment on him his inability to get a spot in the team and to fall behind first year players.

He doesn’t get a lot of the ball, goes missing and seems to have very limited hurt factor. Maybe his best chance is as a 3rd tall but I haven’t seen evidence he kicks many goals?

Perhaps he was a man child that dominated when he was against kids but is now being exposed? I’m happy to cut losses here, he is so far back in the pack it’s not funny.
Bonar also had limited exposure at U18 level , due to injury .....but he has all the attributes physically ....we just don't know how mentally mature these kids are, or how motivated they are
 

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He showed flashes in year 1 and regressed this year.

To me he looks like he has some nice assets (hard head, strong body). Maybe in a different team he could do better but frankly I’m a bit disappointed in him that he didn’t perform more consistently this year in NEAFL. With all our injuries it’s a poor indictment on him his inability to get a spot in the team and to fall behind first year players.

He doesn’t get a lot of the ball, goes missing and seems to have very limited hurt factor. Maybe his best chance is as a 3rd tall but I haven’t seen evidence he kicks many goals?

Perhaps he was a man child that dominated when he was against kids but is now being exposed? I’m happy to cut losses here, he is so far back in the pack it’s not funny.
I’d like us to give him one more year with a good preseason.
 
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Shaw, Heath
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33yr 10mth27 Nov 1985
183cm​
86kg​
Northern KnightsDefender
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Mumford, Shane R
192​
33yr 3mth5 Jul 1986
197cm​
105kg​
GeelongRuck
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Deledio, Brett
275​
32yr 5mth18 Apr 1987
188cm​
88kg​
Murray BushrangersMidfield
Forward
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Simpson, Dawson
48​
30yr 7mth17 Feb 1989
210cm​
109kg​
Murray BushrangersRuck
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Reid, Samuel R
90​
29yr 11mth7 Nov 1989
188cm​
85kg​
Uws GiantsDefender
Forward
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De Boer, Matthew
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29yr 7mth10 Mar 1990
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ClaremontForward
8​
Ward, Callan
217​
29yr 6mth10 Apr 1990
187cm​
84kg​
Western JetsMidfield
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Keeffe, Lachlan
58​
29yr 5mth14 Apr 1990
204cm​
102kg​
Queensland Under 18sDefender
1​
Davis, Phil
166​
29yr 1mth30 Aug 1990
197cm​
96kg​
North AdelaideDefender
38​
Lloyd, Daniel
39​
27yr 7mth18 Feb 1992
187cm​
86kg​
Killarney ValeForward
19​
Haynes, Nick
128​
27yr 4mth18 May 1992
193cm​
89kg​
Dandenong StingraysDefender
40​
Kennedy, Adam
115​
27yr 2mth12 Jul 1992
182cm​
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Western JetsDefender
43​
Buckley, Dylan R
41​
26yr 6mth16 Mar 1993
179cm​
75kg​
Northern KnightsForward
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Cameron, Jeremy
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26yr 6mth1 Apr 1993
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DartmoreForward
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Patton, Jonathon
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26yr 4mth20 May 1993
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Eastern RangesForward
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Tomlinson, Adam
140​
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Greene, Toby
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26yr25 Sep 1993
182cm​
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Buntine, Matthew
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25yr 11mth19 Oct 1993
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Sheridan, Thomas
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25yr 11mth28 Oct 1993
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Coniglio, Stephen
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Whitfield, Lachie
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Kelly, Joshua
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24yr 7mth12 Feb 1995
184cm​
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23yr 10mth13 Nov 1995
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Finlayson, Jeremy
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23yr 8mth9 Feb 1996
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22yr13 Sep 1997
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Buckley, Jack R
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21yr 9mth17 Dec 1997
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20yr 3mth25 Jun 1999
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20yr6 Oct 1999
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Hill, Ian
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19yr 8mth9 Feb 2000
175cm​
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19yr 3mth11 Jul 2000
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Idun, Connor
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19yr 2mth29 Jul 2000
190cm​
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19yr 1mth15 Aug 2000
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19yr28 Sep 2000
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Hately, Jackson
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18yr 11mth21 Oct 2000
190cm​
82kg​
Central DistrictMidfield

 
OK, so in my view, pick 6 is in no-man's-land for us. If a bid for Tom Green comes in at #3, 4 or 5 then we either match with #6 or don't match and lose him. If we'd kept 12 & 18, matching a bid at #3 would have pushed our second pick back to #38, and if it came at #5 the second bid would have been #26 - so we're worse off in terms of our second pick after moving up. Of course, with our original selections, with 11 other picks before ours there was a large (I'd say 100%!) chance that someone would bid on Green, so we are better off in that we've increased our chances of getting both he and someone else - but still as it currently stands there's a significant risk of having to match for Green and our second pick is sure to be #40 (below any likely result if we'd held #12 & #18).

So, I conclude that it's one of about 3 things:

1. Our team is stupid and can't work this out. Unlikely. 1a. Accepting risk & chancing our arm. Possible.

2. We're not going to bid on Green. Let's face it, he's not exactly what we need this year, so it could be a giant bluff to get a club ahead to take Green. With Rowell and Anderson certain to go at 1 & 2, taking Green (if we don't think he's a list match for us) simply frees up someone we do want, to still be there at #6. The converse is, if Green proves to be what he's described as - another Cripps or Josh P Kennedy - then we'll have egg on our face for having him in our grasp and not selecting him. Possible.

3. We are still planning to move up to #3 or 4, where I think we need to be to get ahead of a bid. Melbourne may not want Green, because also for them he's a terrible list fit, but that doesn't stop them blackmailing us by threatening to bid unless we pay them a bounty (which is what I don't like about this system) or more likely they sell it to another club (such as Geelong, for mutiple first round picks) who would select Green. While I think Adelaide would be also more suited to a running midfielder, I think they'd bid for Green because he's probably what they'd want in the next 1 to 2 years anyway, and they have a history of bidding early on GWS Academy kids.

Our current later picks (#40, 59, 60) are not enough points to pay for a Green if we do get ahead of a bid; nor even if we get Patton for Hawk's #42 (which I'm sure they don't want to give because they need to pay for Finn Maginniss), so I'd also conclude that GWS are going to put either next year's first round pick or a player on the table. I can't see Bonar being enough - we've mentioned wanting him for around/inside #30, but I'm not sure any club will pay that (and in which case we also have the problem of more picks than list spots available so we can't use them all anyway). He could be used to enable a move earlier from #6 - but that means Melbourne or Adelaide would have to want him, and he wouldn't get full value. So, while it's possible, I think we might end up with someone else on the table.

I hate to say it but someone like Caldwell to Melbourne or Hately to Adelaide seem like possibilities in my mid. Or next year's first rounder as I previously mentioned. Example trades would be:

GWS #6 + Bonar for Melbourne #3 + #50 (2507 points, rates Bonar at 756 points or pick #25). Gives GWS #6, #40, #50, #59, #60 plus the pick for Patton (#42 or #61). Even with the Hawks' pick #42 we are 226 points low on matching Green - which would come off our first round pick next year. We also have the issue of not enough free list spots to carry all of those picks, so we may try to consolidate in that case. All-in-all, not a great scenario for us.

GWS #6 & 2020 1st Round for Melbourne #3 and 2020 2nd round (but may need GWS 1st and third round, or only 3rd round back given the potential finishing places in 2020). The potential that we get screwed is large, because Melbourne will play the view that GWS will finish high and Melbourne low as per this year, but in all likelihood we'll be lower and them higher than in 2019.

GWS #6, #59, #60 & Jackson Hately (total 2055 points) for Adelaide #4, #23 & Sam Jacobs (total 2849 points, values Hately roughly as pick 19 so a bargain for Crows). That would leave GWS with #4 (and hoping that Melbourne or if someone buys #3 they don't bid on Green), #23, #40 and the Patton trade (#42 or #61). #42 from Hawks would leave us with pick #61 for a third selection, while getting #61 from Hawks instead would leaves us in deficit for 2020. (We may also play off the last pick to Hawks rather than Crows to ensure we get #42.) The benefit of this is that Crows would get a player with 12 months and several AFL games to help replace their losses, plus a couple of draft picks given they need to go to the draft big time. We lose some later draft picks and consolidate in fewer picks early, meaning our few open spots aren't an issue. (If we take Jacobs in this scenario but lose a player, we stay on 35 list spots used and therefore 5 picks available. We could even then upgrade a rookie and still take 3 draftees for 39 list spots.)

I'm not proposing this, just noting some of the possibilities that I see.

Thoughts, comments?
 
I think Melbourne love Hayden Young and want to take him. I feel for us to trade up we either do that very late on Wednesday when all the possible machinations are known or on draft night again when it’s known which players are going where. Melbourne won’t bid on Green but Adelaide and Sydney will. If we want this player we will have to accept losing on the deal....initially.
 

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Yes, I did mean to mention that I suspect we'll aim to hold off as long as possible and see which way the wind is blowing on other trades. Probably having discussions with each of Melbourne and Adelaide to see what they would want and take. Getting Patton's trade done as well would clarify. We are probably looking at how best to trade for Jacobs - is a separate trade better or include him in the job lot? Obviously, if we wait until the pick only trading period to do any swapping around, we've gone past the time limit to include Jacobs - so I think there's a lot of balancing options and machinations for us.

If Melbourne are keen on Young (and I would be if I was them!) then Lachie Ash seems likely for us - again, no issues with that.
 
I think Melbourne love Hayden Young and want to take him. I feel for us to trade up we either do that very late on Wednesday when all the possible machinations are known or on draft night again when it’s known which players are going where. Melbourne won’t bid on Green but Adelaide and Sydney will. If we want this player we will have to accept losing on the deal....initially.
We’ll be fine. Our team know exactly what they are doing.
 
Trade Radio: Hold up on Patton is haggling over 3rd or 4th round pick

We need the points but also need his salary ($700k) off the books
 
Trade Radio: Hold up on Patton is haggling over 3rd or 4th round pick

We need the points but also need his salary ($700k) off the books
But they wont be absorbing that money... my understanding is that he is forgoing the last year of his contract to sign a new contract at less money.

We should push to get the 3rd rounder
 
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