2019/20 NBA Season

[NYRB]

NBA season kicks off in two weeks and decided to post early odds for a bit of discussion.

To win the League 2019/20 NBA Season (Odds courtesy of Pinnacle Sports):
Clippers 5.21
Lakers 5.35
Houston 7.47
Milwaukee 7.48
Philadelphia 8.64
Golden State 12.98
Utah 19.56
Denver 21.80
Brooklyn 28.30
Boston 29.38
Portland 37.41
Toronto 44.65
Indiana 44.81
Miami 50.11
Spurs 86.03
New Orleans 93.61
Dallas 104.51
Orlando 191.57
Detroit 213.35
Sacramento 218.81
Atlanta 246.01
Chicago 327.65
Minnesota 327.65
OKC 354.85
Washington 382.04
Memphis 412.65
Charlotte 545.34
Phoenix 566.99
New York 654.20

 

[NYRB]

NBA Rookie of the Year (Courtesy of Pinnacle Sports)
Zion 1.636
Ja Morant 4.87
RJ Barrett 6.90
Field 16.23
Tyler Herro 21.30
Garland 24.85
Coby White 32.45
DeAndre Hunter 32.45
Culver 32.45
Michael Porter Jr 33.98
Hachimura 33.98
Reddish 46.65
Kevin Porter 51.73
Brandon Clarke 77.08
Carsen Edwards 77.08
Nickeil Alexander Walker 77.08
Jaxson Haynes 82.15
Grant Williams 102.44
PJ Washington 102.44
Cameron Johnson 153.15
Nassir Little 153.15
Kyle Guy 153.15
Jordan Poole 203.86
Doumbouya 203.86
Bitadze 203.86
Bol Bol 203.86
Ty Jerome 203.86

id imagine the only way Zion doesn't win it, is if he gets injured based on pre-season form.

 

[NYRB]

NBA Most Valuable Player
Giannis 3.74
Curry 6
Harden 8.78
Anthony Davis 9.14
LeBron James 11.55
Leonard 12.73
Embiid 15.44
Jokic 17.38
Lillard 24.98
Paul George 26.37
Westbrook 35.53
Field 35.53
Doncic 36.81
Kemba Walker 37.73
Irving 44.73
Karl-Anthony Towns 49.59
Ben Simmons 57
Gobert 67.26
Donovan Mitchell 69.08
Jimmy Butler 92.84
Pascal Siakam 115.74
Trae Young 115.74
Zion Williamson 115.74
Oladipo 115.74
Griffin 144.35
De'Aaron Fox 173.03
Devon Booker 173.03
Jamal Murray 173.03
Porzingis 173.03
Lou Williams 173.03
Tatum, Middleton, Ja Morant, D'Angelo Russell, Aaron Gordon, Bradley Beal, CJ McCollum, Draymond Green 230.34
DeMar DeRozan 258.96
Aldridge 287.63
Mike Conley 344.91
Chris Paul 459.54
Lonzo , RJ Barrett, Jrue Holiday 574.13

 

[burge13]

MVP traditionally comes from a top 2 seed so don't get too tricky with that. It's also rare someone comes from nowhere to win (I think only Nash in recent history has won it without polling a vote the year prior). For me the contenders are

Greek, Harden, Embiid and AD. Not that Harden/rockets should finish top 2 in the west but he's huge statistically. Don't think GSW do enough to keep Steph relevant here and think Kawhi, LBJ and AD rest/injuries prevent them winning.

Steer clear of Simmons. Embiid is the king there

RJ Barrett a decent ROTY get. Zion an obvious favourite but too short there.

Phili my pick to win it all but no use betting now. Odds will be similar come May provided they don't have a 65 win season

 

[NYRB]

MVP traditionally comes from a top 2 seed so don't get too tricky with that. It's also rare someone comes from nowhere to win (I think only Nash in recent history has won it without polling a vote the year prior). For me the contenders are

2016/17 Westbrook won MVP but OKC were nowhere near contenders. Do still feel you have a chance if your in a team with 1 major star in it but like you said it most likely has to be a contender deep in the playoffs.

 

[AFDogs]

Can someone please explain to me how GSW are paying $12?

I understand no Durant but they're still elite and have chemistry with one another.

 

[NYRB]

Can someone please explain to me how GSW are paying $12?

I understand no Durant but they're still elite and have chemistry with one another.

The competition is a bit more even this year. It seems like the contenders have at least 2 stars on their team. Lakers, Clippers, Warriors, Houston, 76ers, Milwaukee (if you class Middleton as a star), Utah (Gobert/Mitchell/Conley Jr), Brooklyn (KD if fit/Irving), Dallas (Doncic/Porzingis), Denver, Portland, Pelicans (Zo/Zion/Holiday)

Western Conference will be tighter than ever.

 

[burge13]

Can someone please explain to me how GSW are paying $12?

I understand no Durant but they're still elite and have chemistry with one another.

No bench at all, KD gone. Lost Iggy who was a great defender as well.

They need to stay healthy, get Klay back at 100% and starters play 45 mins all through playoffs. Or if they get Klay 100% fit, trade D-Lo for some depth players...

I can't see it. I think they'll slip outside the top 4 of the west tbh, maybe lower.

 

[NYRB]

The question is can Klay Curry Green and D-Lo work together as well?

 

[burge13]

The question is can Klay Curry Green and D-Lo work together as well?

Even if they work really well, D-Lo is a huge downgrade on KD on top of all the depth they've lost...

 

[NYRB]

my West predictions in terms of rank

Lakers, Clippers, Warriors, Utah, Houston, Denver, Portland, Dallas


New Orleans, Spurs, Suns, Kings, Memphis, OKC, Timberwolves



New Orleans and Spurs are not bad sides to have outside the playoffs but Spurs will miss the playoffs this season in my opinion under Pop. Spurs have the missed for only 2 of the past 31 seasons but feel this team has no star players and they are a team on the way down.

An 82 game season will eventually get to Zion but wouldn't be surprised if they snuck in the playoffs as they have the depth.

 

[NYRB]

NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE 2018/19 WINNER (Odds courtesy of Pinnacle)

Clippers 3.22
Lakers 3.87
Houston 4.52
Warriors 7.54
Utah 9.83
Denver 12.01
Portland 22.12
Spurs 36.19
Dallas 44.24
Pelicans 49.67
Kings 101.55
OKC 114.87
Minnesota 121.65
Memphis 176.95
Suns 202.09

 

[NYRB]

Zion Williamson shortened from 115.74 into 41.16 to win NBA MVP

 

[burge13]

Zion Williamson shortened from 115.74 into 41.16 to win NBA MVP

Mental. Absolutely mental anyone would bet that at less than $100

More chance of seeing the queens ****

 

[NYRB]

Ben Simmons Season Special 2019-2020 (odds from Sportsbet)
Total 3 Pt FG's made by Ben Simmons
0-10 = 1.83
11-20= 3.00
21-30= 6.00
31+ =10.00

Game 1 Props Ben Simmons v Boston
To make 1+ 3pt FG = 4.50
To make 2+ 3pt FG= 26.00
To attempt a 3pt FG= 1.80
To get a triple double = 5.00

 

[NYRB]

surely Ben has an attempt at least 1 3pt in first game?

 

[NYRB]

TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS (NEDS):

I looked at the bottom ranked 17 teams
Miami, Spurs 1.50
Orlando 1.70
Detroit 2.05
Atlanta 3.25
Dallas 3.40
Sacramento 3.60
Pelicans 4
Chicago 4.25
Timberwolves, OKC 5
New York, Wizards 9
Memphis , Phoenix 15
Charlotte 19
Cleveland 21


Value I see there is with Pelicans and Dallas. Does anyone here have either of those 2 sides making the playoffs this season?

 

[NonPhixion]

Williamson injuried, may open the door for someone else?

 

[tombomb]

raptors 46.5 wins, there is maybe better in other places. jeez that seems way short of what they should be.

 

[NYRB]

Opening round odds:
Toronto 1.36 v 3.70 New Orleans
Clippers 2.50 v 1.65 Lakers

 

[NYRB]

First upset of the season Clippers do the job over the Lakers

 

[burge13]

Trae Young to make all star game paying $2.70 is/was absolute gold. Barring injury he makes it with Kemba and Kyrie from the East.

 

[NYRB]

Memphis with the buzzer beater win 134 -133 over Brooklyn. Wonder what odds Memphis would have been before that shot?

 

[NYRB]

Ja Morant with 30 pts, 4 assists, 9 rebounds against Brooklyn. Whoever mentioned he was a chance for ROY, not a bad shout.

 

[burge13]

Ja Morant with 30 pts, 4 assists, 9 rebounds against Brooklyn. Whoever mentioned he was a chance for ROY, not a bad shout.

He and Barrett are going to get the most usage of the rookies. Zion misses any more than the 8 weeks he's scheduled to and I think it goes to one of those 2

If he gets back and plays 50 odd games, he'll get the media hype/votes.