Furn2
Norm Smith Medallist
- Sep 27, 2012
- 9,475
- 15,514
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
I seems to me that when teams trade future picks to get back into the current draft they most often have to pay overs and the deals seem to favour the team with current pick.
I'm basing that on the future pick being worth the same as that team current pick which of course is rarely the case but its as good as any other way to measure a future pick.
Anyway, I think the reason for this are 1.
1. teams prefer tp have something now rather than later (like everybody)
2. Teams generally think are going to improve or stay around the top.
3. future picks are unknown and so a known pick has more perceived value.
So heres my idea to take advantage of that.
You trade all your picks for future picks to bottom half sides for 3 years and just pick from the end of the draft.
Then in the 4th year when you have to use 2 1st rounders you clean out your list and use all 4 years of picks in a GWS/GC style year. The advantage being you can keep your leaders and good players and you get a crop of draftees all the same age and with a bit of luck you should move up the draft order overall because current picks are valued over future picks.
I'm basing that on the future pick being worth the same as that team current pick which of course is rarely the case but its as good as any other way to measure a future pick.
Anyway, I think the reason for this are 1.
1. teams prefer tp have something now rather than later (like everybody)
2. Teams generally think are going to improve or stay around the top.
3. future picks are unknown and so a known pick has more perceived value.
So heres my idea to take advantage of that.
You trade all your picks for future picks to bottom half sides for 3 years and just pick from the end of the draft.
Then in the 4th year when you have to use 2 1st rounders you clean out your list and use all 4 years of picks in a GWS/GC style year. The advantage being you can keep your leaders and good players and you get a crop of draftees all the same age and with a bit of luck you should move up the draft order overall because current picks are valued over future picks.