2020 AFLW Season Betting Thread

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Oct 20, 2010
24,775
25,219
Perth
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Fremantle
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East Fremantle
Yeah sorry, I was experimenting how much I could get on but realised I ruined the odds on a few goalkickers. Won't touch the market now as B365 seem to think I am some kind of market mover lol
 
Oct 6, 2011
32,510
9,841
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
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Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
ROUND 3 AFLW

St.Kilda 5.60 v 1.17 Melbourne
Bulldogs 2.50 v 1.62 Carlton
Gold Coast 3.35 v 1.36 Brisbane
Fremantle 1.47 v 2.88 Collingwood
GWS 1.33 v 3.50 West Coast
Richmond 4.80 v 1.25 North Melbourne
Geelong 3.25 v 1.37 Adelaide

There is for value on 3 underdogs this week: Collingwood, West Coast and Geelong.

Earlier in the week I priced Freo around 1.60 favourites at Fremantle Oval but 1.47 is too short in my books. West Coast I feel is a 50 50 chance against GWS. Geelong haven't played too badly in their 2 losses and Adelaide took until the final quarter last week to turn things around against the lowly Saints.
 
Oct 6, 2011
32,510
9,841
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
The Current Handicap lines for this week:

St.Kilda +19.5 pts v -19.5pts Melbourne
Bulldogs +4.5 pts v -4.5 pts Carlton
Gold Coast +11.5 pts v -11.5 Pts Brisbane
Freo -8.5 pts v +8.5 pts Collingwood
GWS -12.5 pts v +12.5 pts West Coast
Richmond +17.5 pts v -17.5 pts North
Geelong +11.5 pts v -11.5 pts Adelaide
 
Oct 6, 2011
32,510
9,841
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Like the looking of St.Kilda +19.5 pts x West Coast +12.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts at around $7.00 or so.

or

St.Kilda +19.5 pts x Collingwood +8.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts at around $7.00 or so.

and for a giggle a 12/1 shot

St.Kilda +19.5 pts x Collingwood +8.5 pts x West Coast +12.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts

and a hail mary paying $154.69

St.Kilda Win x Collingwood Win x West Coast win x Geelong win
 
Dec 9, 2018
422
796
AFL Club
West Coast
Here we go again, surely it couldn't happen 2 weeks in a row...
Ruby Schleicher (Collingwood)
AGS $10.50
FGS $50 B365

She's back in the team this week and named starting at Full-Forward. Almost a carbon copy situation of Jordyn Allen, where a player previously playing as a defender is named at Full-Forward. I'm no magician but these odds are way off
You get on in time?
 
Dec 9, 2018
422
796
AFL Club
West Coast
I always get on before I post here ;)

Here's one more for the lads:
Kalinda Howarth
AGS $7.50 - B365
FGS $34 - SB

Same scenario, starting Full-Forward...
Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day :)

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
7,204
18,753
AFL Club
Collingwood
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Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day :)

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw
Reading my mind haha
 

benji21

Club Legend
Apr 2, 2016
1,312
943
Hong Kong
AFL Club
Fremantle
Tonights game a tough one, Looks like they've caught on to the totals. Still leaning over, thinking total will be 55 - 70 points.
Melb should win comfortably but saints have shown a bit and thats a big line!
 
Aug 3, 2014
4,150
8,997
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day :)

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw
wow yea, in comparison- Bodey ags is @1.75 on BE ...
Some of those same forwards might be worth a small nibble on 2g+ also, eg. bodey / horwarth / tester all 2g+ @29 b365
1u bodey ags @7.00
0.2u bodey 2g+@29
0.5u Horwarth ags @7.50
0.1u Horwarth 2g+ @29
 
Last edited:
Oct 6, 2011
32,510
9,841
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
LIVE 3RD QTR MARGIN

Bulldogs Women v Carlton Women

Bulldogs Women by 7 points + $6.50
Bulldogs Women by 1-6 points $4.25
Draw $11
Carlton Women by 1-6 points $3.10
Carlton Womens by 7 points + $2.50


Those are disgusting margins by the TAB! That's around a 20.26% margin for the bookies .


Should be around $1 more for those selections. I'd have those odds around:


Bulldogs Women by 7 points + $7.50
Bulldogs Women by 1-6 points $5.25
Draw $12
Carlton Women by 1-6 points $4.10
Carlton Womens by 7 points + $2.80
 
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