they gave him an extra haha
booya!!!
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they gave him an extra haha
Bet365's early AFL payout might be the worst promo i've ever seen.
Early payout when your team is up by 32 points.
How often is a team going to back from that far behind with 16min quarters? 1 in a 100?
Points line is 124.5 on sportsbet,Seemed pretty clear last night that scoring dried up once fatigue set in with strong defensive structures.
Given the nature of the teams I can see tonights game panning out very similar.
Highest scoring half 1st $1.94 - SB
I like it as a SGM leg because it multiplies well with everything
Last year a lot of the total match points line were around the 150-155 mark set by the bookies.
The average from 198 home and away matches in 2019 was 160.82 points during the season.
With the matches being reduced to 16 minute quarters, if we are basing it on averages (64/80) x 160.82 points= 128.65 points should be the line.
Freo will be lucky to score 50, Brissy could pile on 80 though, likely less, U128.5 definitely seems a decent betThe handicap for the Brisbane v Fremantle line is 128.5 points.
Freo had the 3rd weakest offence in 2019, if we are basing it on form, Unders should be the play. Nothing in the off season suggest to me the game plan will change this season under a new coach. If so, it will take time for the players to play with a pattern under Longmuir.
There's more to it than that, though.Last year a lot of the total match points line were around the 150-155 mark set by the bookies.
The average from 198 home and away matches in 2019 was 160.82 points during the season.
With the matches being reduced to 16 minute quarters, if we are basing it on averages (64/80) x 160.82 points= 128.65 points should be the line.
I've noticed the odds for a draw tonight are tighter than at this time yesterday.
I got @50 for the Coll/Rich draw, and then @55 for the Haw/Geel draw, both on betfair.
Today for Haw/Geel I see @40 for the draw.
Are people waking up to the fact that shorter quarters mean closer scorelines and a higher potential for draws?
Add in the catch-up mode the umpires seem to play when a team is behind and 2020 might be the season of draws.
Yeah my estimates were top end I reckon, 80 top for Brissy and 50 top for Freo, even if both reach max thats barely touching the line.Would of thought Richmond and Collingwood scored more than 36 last night too . Cant see Brisbane scoring 80 in the rain all be it against Freo
Well let's hope unders trend keeps going. I got on for Bris vs Freo and WC vs GC but that was due to forecasted rain. The tight game last night would indicate that scoring might be difficult. Also unders tonight - Clarko with plenty of time to prepare and two teams with better backlines than forward lines.Freo will be lucky to score 50, Brissy could pile on 80 though, likely less, U128.5 definitely seems a decent bet
I like Hawks in this one. Won 3 of last 4, finished last season off much better than Cats, better form in round 1, pretty similar matchups but think Hawks midfield might get on top and I rate Hawks a slightly better team. Obviously having the game at SS helps Geel though so might have a little on the win and a little on the line.Geelong H2H 2.5 units @ $1.73
Only took the Cats due to being in Geelong where it's very hard to win (maybe easier with no home crowd) and O'meara missing.I like Hawks in this one. Won 3 of last 4, finished last season off much better than Cats, better form in round 1, pretty similar matchups but think Hawks midfield might get on top and I rate Hawks a slightly better team. Obviously having the game at SS helps Geel though so might have a little on the win and a little on the line.
Almost forgot the kicker - does this game count as Geel coming off a bye? Hopefully they come out sluggish.
Only took the Cats due to being in Geelong where it's very hard to win (maybe easier with no home crowd) and O'meara missing.
We get it. You backed the draw last nightI've noticed the odds for a draw tonight are tighter than at this time yesterday.
I got @50 for the Coll/Rich draw, and then @55 for the Haw/Geel draw, both on betfair.
Today for Haw/Geel I see @40 for the draw.
Are people waking up to the fact that shorter quarters mean closer scorelines and a higher potential for draws?
Add in the catch-up mode the umpires seem to play when a team is behind and 2020 might be the season of draws.
Forgot about that.Almost forgot the kicker - does this game count as Geel coming off a bye? Hopefully they come out sluggish.