AFL 2020 - AFL Round 4

[mookieb]

QUOTE="Ohh Ok, post: 65583521, member: 190734"]
2u Josh Kelly AGS @ $3.50 (neds/lads)
2u Stephen Coniglio AGS @ $3.25 (neds/lads)


Kitchen sink type game tonight, lose and the giants go 1-3 which is quite grim considering it’s a shortened season. GWS mid rotations starting to get busy, Kelly even named in the forward line. These guys will be throwing everything at tonight’s game. We’re even looking at a clear night with no rain/wind.
Kelly 10/18 in 2019, hit the scoreboard 13/19. Hit the scoreboard 12/16 in 2018. Hot scoreboard 2/2 this year but failed to kick a goal.
Coniglio 7/14 in 2019, hit the scoreboard 9/14 and every game this year. 2018 he hit the scoreboard 21/23.

Next best was $2.75 on TAB and BetEasy for Kelly, and $2.25 on Bet365 for Coniglio, so we got a great price here.
[/QUOTE]
Yes agree kitchen sink game for GWS - back at home with 3 guns back in should get the job done here.

 

[Ohh Ok]

QUOTE="Ohh Ok, post: 65583521, member: 190734"]
2u Josh Kelly AGS @ $3.50 (neds/lads)
2u Stephen Coniglio AGS @ $3.25 (neds/lads)


Kitchen sink type game tonight, lose and the giants go 1-3 which is quite grim considering it’s a shortened season. GWS mid rotations starting to get busy, Kelly even named in the forward line. These guys will be throwing everything at tonight’s game. We’re even looking at a clear night with no rain/wind.
Kelly 10/18 in 2019, hit the scoreboard 13/19. Hit the scoreboard 12/16 in 2018. Hot scoreboard 2/2 this year but failed to kick a goal.
Coniglio 7/14 in 2019, hit the scoreboard 9/14 and every game this year. 2018 he hit the scoreboard 21/23.

Next best was $2.75 on TAB and BetEasy for Kelly, and $2.25 on Bet365 for Coniglio, so we got a great price here.

Yes agree kitchen sink game for GWS - back at home with 3 guns back in should get the job done here.
[/QUOTE]
Actually still lean the Pies tbh, no bet game for me.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Noticed a bit of a trend with players performing poorly after a concussion if they don't get the week off.
Small go to test out the theory on
Whitfield u20 $2.15 b365

On SM-A205YN using BigFooty.com mobile app

Interesting theory JW.
10 possessions in the first quarter.

 

[burge13]

Few of us sweating a C Brown goal or 2.

Stevo 2+ gets it done.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I had small nibbles on 2g+, 3g+ and 4g+ for Greene.

If he doesn't kick another in the fourth quarter I will be spewing about that handball to Cameron all weekend.

4g+ was $23.

Come on, Toby. Make amends.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Getting pretty into some lions GS markets.
Think it'll be a bloodbath
Berry (b365) Has 5.5 from 5 games in 2020 (inc. pre-season). 3.2 last week against a better side.
AGS $3.25
2+ $9.50
3+ $51

McStay (b365)
AGS $1.80 (3/3 this year and should get McAsey who is getting ritually flogged by everyone)
2+ $3.20
3+ $9.50

McCarthy (TAB)
AGS $2.10

Edit:
Neale (b365)
AGS $2.90 (5.2 from 3 games in 2020)

 

[NonPhixion]

Few of us sweating a C Brown goal or 2.

Stevo 2+ gets it done.

Brown fails to make the distance 30M out...

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

 

[Johanpetro]

Getting pretty into some lions GS markets.
Think it'll be a bloodbath
Berry (b365) Has 5.5 from 5 games in 2020 (inc. pre-season). 3.2 last week against a better side.
AGS $3.25
2+ $9.50
3+ $51

Good value on Berry, he’s is $1.57 on SportsBet for AGS, I wish Bet365 had same game multis, then always seem to have a few ags anomalies

 

[Sausage Legs]

Getting pretty into some lions GS markets.
Think it'll be a bloodbath
Berry (b365) Has 5.5 from 5 games in 2020 (inc. pre-season). 3.2 last week against a better side.
AGS $3.25
2+ $9.50
3+ $51

McStay (b365)
AGS $1.80 (3/3 this year and should get McAsey who is getting ritually flogged by everyone)
2+ $3.20
3+ $9.50

McCarthy (TAB)
AGS $2.10

Edit:
Neale (b365)
AGS $2.90 (5.2 from 3 games in 2020)

Like em all, and I think nearly everyone could hit the scoreboard v crows but McCarthy has kicked 1 goal in his last 11 games so from a historical stat/value basis could be unders

 

[Ah12]

Ollie wines (SB) 20+ $1.62 25+ $3.20
Had 25 in his first game back, 35 last time he played the eagles.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Like em all, and I think nearly everyone could hit the scoreboard v crows but McCarthy has kicked 1 goal in his last 11 games so from a historical stat/value basis could be unders

Yeah truetrue. You'll notice i didn't mention any of his stats
More of a 'he's probably due'/feel based bet that one.

 

[NYRB]

Big thank you to the bookmakers, who have gone less greedier after probably reading this thread. The margin is down to around 14.6% with the combined 5 bookmakers: Unibet, Sportsbet, Palmerbet, TAB and Topsport. One word of notice- Unibet , you need to lift your game!!! Cant be offering odds of a runner at $91.00, whilst your competitors are offering $501.00!! Topsport are offering better odds if you can nail the lower score, sportsbet/Palmerbet offering better odds if you reckon it will be a high scoring match.

 

[targett]

Tim Kelly o20 disp 1.87 b365
o19.5 1.75 b365 is terrific value.Super talent just needs his mojo back.Happy to take them odds

 

[NonPhixion]

I think there is some value in Rozee here today
2+ $5
3+ $17
4+ $76
SB

 

[burge13]

Farrell is the forward to get on imo. Hes a good kick, greedy and should get a couple shots.

Im on AGS 1.70 and farrell/ryan ags multi at 2.70

 

[JuniorWatch]

Like me some Marshall again in this one. (5.4 in 3 games in 2020)
2+ $4.20 (2/3)
3+ $13 (0/3)

SGM: Marshall 2+, Ryan 2+ @ $16.25
SB

 

[dontlimitme]

$100 gaff most disposals/neale most disposals multi @ 6.72 (SB)
$20 gaff most disposals/kennedy most goals/neale most disposals/cameron most goals @ 54 (SB)

 

[Prince Barry]

I like Port at the line and North at the line and to win.
Gold Coast will win and could well be by over 15.5 points.

 

[squeaky1000]

Gresham 20+ $2.10, 22 and 25 in his last two and is finally playing that midfield role that has been promised for so long
Parish 15+ $1.91, role has been iffy so far but had a huge last quarter playing through the middle last time we saw him, surely has to be rewarded on the back of that. If he gets midfield minutes he covers this with ease.
Saad 20+ $2.05, covered this both games so far and they'll be trying to get it in his hands as usual
Already been mentioned but love Gawn 15+ at $2 tomorrow, probably my favourite of the lot

 

[squeaky1000]

Few others for today
Wines over 20.5 - was impressive on return last week and slotted straight back into midfield and centre bounce rotations
Rockliff under 22.5/78.5 fantasy - No doubt Wines has a negative impact on him, junked it up late to make his stat line respectable last week but no where near the impact he'd had pre Wines return
SGM Boak, Gaff 20+, Wines, Kelly 15+ $2

Prestia under 80.5 fantasy - hasn't been able to recapture his form of last year yet, has looked a little slow covering the ground for mine and would've been a sore boy after the corky last week
SGM Gresham, Jones, Cotchin, Hill 15+ $2.25

 

[Atavistic]

Ollie wines (SB) 20+ $1.62 25+ $3.20
Had 25 in his first game back, 35 last time he played the eagles.

I'm taking wines O21.5 disposals @2 on BetEasy.

 

[Atavistic]

I think there is some value in Rozee here today
2+ $5
3+ $17
4+ $76
SB

Tailing 2+ and 3+.

Also on AGS for Rozee $1.76 at BE.

 

[Atavistic]

Few others for today
Wines over 20.5 - was impressive on return last week and slotted straight back into midfield and centre bounce rotations
Rockliff under 22.5/78.5 fantasy - No doubt Wines has a negative impact on him, junked it up late to make his stat line respectable last week but no where near the impact he'd had pre Wines return
SGM Boak, Gaff 20+, Wines, Kelly 15+ $2

Prestia under 80.5 fantasy - hasn't been able to recapture his form of last year yet, has looked a little slow covering the ground for mine and would've been a sore boy after the corky last week
SGM Gresham, Jones, Cotchin, Hill 15+ $2.25

Who has the 15+ disposal markets? Oh, SB. Nvm.