AFL 2020 - AFL Round 9

[NYRB]

Jonas gets Melbournes best forward : Hannah, Weidemann or Melksham. Without Marshall I sense it could free up the other two. This is a kind of game where I fancy Byrne Jones to get a lot of the ball running out of the back defence as I feel there is a good chance the ball will be in the Dees forward 50 a fair bit.

 

[Islanda22]

Jonas gets Melbournes best forward : Hannah, Weidemann or Melksham. Without Marshall I sense it could free up the other two. This is a kind of game where I fancy Byrne Jones to get a lot of the ball running out of the back defence as I feel there is a good chance the ball will be in the Dees forward 50 a fair bit.

Might be worth having sneaky bets on Fritsch 3 or more

 

[ShaunWDT]

Did Lads stuff up the Westhoff market or are they just a way fairer bookie? Been 1.71 since market opened on BetEasy and Sportsbet put him up at 1.57.

 

[AP3XS]

Did Lads stuff up the Westhoff market or are they just a way fairer bookie? Been 1.71 since market opened on BetEasy and Sportsbet put him up at 1.57.

Ladbrokes opened yesterday with him at $3.00 AGS, now in to $2.25

 

[the_big_sav]

dixon 2+
gray 2+
fritsch 2+
melksham 2+

@ 38.25 at sb

 

[Johanpetro]

What’s the theory on Westhoff AGS?

 

[Sausage Legs]

What’s the theory on Westhoff AGS?

Just known to kick goals, floats fwd and back. 3s is overs.

 

[Atavistic]

Sensible multi using SB promo:

Fritsch AGS, Georgiades AGS, Petracca 15+ disposals@2.10

Hail mary multi using new SGM system (literally picked names out of a hat):

Dixon 3+ goals, Rozee 2+ goals, Melksham 2+ goals, SPP AGS, Hannan AGS, Ebert AGS@296.

 

[Sausage Legs]

2 legger on Sportsbet.
With McStay out, reckon BIG O goes fwd, and does some relief rucking to a newcomer. Is 2.70 a snag.
Into Nick Larkey 2 goals v crows 2.88. Second string fwd v a weak team in good weather.
Multi to 7.88

 

[AP3XS]

SGM: 1u @ $4.40 (BetEasy - 1 leg loses bonus bet back)
- Sam Weideman AGS
- Zak Butters AGS
- Ed Langdon 15+ disposals

SGM: 0.4u @ $8.27 (Ladbrokes)
- Port Win 1-39
- Justin Westhoff AGS
- Robbie Gray AGS

SGM: 0.6u @ $11.25 (SB - 1 leg loses bonus bet back)
- Port Win 1-39
- Jake Melksham AGS
- Robbie Gray 2+

 

[tangolikelama]

Might be worth having sneaky bets on Fritsch 3 or more

Like this

 

[Atavistic]

2 legger on Sportsbet.
With McStay out, reckon BIG O goes fwd, and does some relief rucking to a newcomer. Is 2.70 a snag.
Into Nick Larkey 2 goals v crows 2.88. Second string fwd v a weak team in good weather.
Multi to 7.88

Who do Brisbane have to ruck besides Smith (injured), Martin (injured) and Big O? Is it Skinner?

I like the Larkey bet.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Who do Brisbane have to ruck besides Smith (injured), Martin (injured) and Big O? Is it Skinner?

I like the Larkey bet.

Connor Ballenden will play fwd/ruck. OMac ruck/fwd.
Skinner might play but as a fwd

 

[ShaunWDT]

Who do Brisbane have to ruck besides Smith (injured), Martin (injured) and Big O? Is it Skinner?

I like the Larkey bet.

Ballenden and Skinner, neither are recognised Ruckman though pinch hit candidates at best.

 

[ShaunWDT]

Dixon is 2.25 for goal in first half on Lads 50 Max, usually hate those specials but that one should get up.

 

[Islanda22]

Connor Ballenden will play fwd/ruck. OMac ruck/fwd.
Skinner might play but as a fwd

Ballenden and Skinner, neither are recognised Ruckman though pinch hit candidates at best.

Brisbane Mids roved the guts out of Gawn last week

Them having a baby ruckman wont have any impact on them

 

[tangolikelama]

Chucked a few on Gray 4+ due to Rockliff, Boak, Wines - think he'll plant himself in the forward 50. Was $51 and dropped to $36

 

[Sausage Legs]

Almost tempted to use the M word for this one.
Pointsbet. Larkey into Sexton any time goal. 2.72

 

[JuniorWatch]

Almost tempted to use the M word for this one.
Pointsbet. Larkey into Sexton any time goal. 2.72

Yeah PB are putting out some decent early value.
Larkey AGS I like as well vs. Crows (15/18 2019/20) $1.60
J. Martin AGS vs. Hawks (5/8 in 2020. Kicked 9.10 in 8 games) $1.72. High total points game. Hawks terrible at defending small fwds.

 

[Johanpetro]

Chucked a few on Gray 4+ due to Rockliff, Boak, Wines - think he'll plant himself in the forward 50. Was $51 and dropped to $36

I’m surprised to see Gray hasn’t kicked multiple goals once this season...

Edit: He’s still $51 for 4+ on SportsBet

 

[Johanpetro]

Have Bet365 stopped doing multi goal scorers?

 

[NonPhixion]

Have Bet365 stopped doing multi goal scorers?

Maybe. Or they may be in the middle of adjusting their algorithms.
To me it didn’t look like they adjusted for the shorter quarters, some of the odds on multi goal scorers were horrible unless it was for a defender swinging forward.

 

[burge13]

Danger/Kennedy to both kick a goal $3 at PB
Greene/Rankine both to kick a goal $2 at PB

Both stand out as their good promos for the week

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u Ebert AGS @ $1.87 (365)

Hitting the scoreboard every week. Been inaccurate of late. Should be forward most of night.

 

[chennef]

SGM SB promo

Port 1-39
Oliver Most Disposals Grp 1
Byrne-Jones 15+
$7.25