Prediction 2020 Ladder Predictions

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Home ground advantage is pretty meaningless for VIC teams coming in to finals, but the win last puts the Tigers some chance for Top 4 if we win our remaining 3. We may not even need to beat the Cats and could even get there with expected wins against the Dockers and Crows, but we'd need a heap of unlikely other results.

Eagles have Bombers, Dogs and Saints in the next 3 at QLD, before the Roos. We really need a favour from one of the first 3 to knock them off, but I wouldn't say it's out of the question.

Alternatively if the Dogs can knock off the Cats tonight then I think our game against them (Tigs v Cats) decides which one of us make the top 4. Cats win, and then even if we win all 3 we are still potentially going to be overtaken by the Eagles winning all 4.

I reckon tonight's match almost decides if Tigers finish top 4, unless the Eagles s**t the bed and lose 2 more which is unlikely.
 

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Home ground advantage is pretty meaningless for VIC teams coming in to finals, but the win last puts the Tigers some chance for Top 4 if we win our remaining 3. We may not even need to beat the Cats and could even get there with expected wins against the Dockers and Crows, but we'd need a heap of unlikely other results.

Eagles have Bombers, Dogs and Saints in the next 3 at QLD, before the Roos. We really need a favour from one of the first 3 to knock them off, but I wouldn't say it's out of the question.

Alternatively if the Dogs can knock off the Cats tonight then I think our game against them (Tigs v Cats) decides which one of us make the top 4. Cats win, and then even if we win all 3 we are still potentially going to be overtaken by the Eagles winning all 4.

I reckon tonight's match almost decides if Tigers finish top 4, unless the Eagles sh*t the bed and lose 2 more which is unlikely.

Isn't it just if we beat the cats and win our other two which we should then they can't get ahead of us. Tonight's game would also be helpful but ultimately our fate is in our own hands.
 
Isn't it just if we beat the cats and win our other two which we should then they can't get ahead of us. Tonight's game would also be helpful but ultimately our fate is in our own hands.
Looking at the fixture, didn't realise they had a bye as well. If my shady maths is correct I think you are right, if we win our next 3 which includes beating the Cats then we finish top 4. Still the Dogs winning tonight would be a helpful boost as insurance.
 
WLD%
1.Brisbane Lions1430120.0%
2.Geelong1340134.3%
3.Port Adelaide1340125.8%
4.West Coast1340116.7%
5.Richmond1151118.2%
6.Melbourne1160115.9%
7.St Kilda1070111.4%
8.Carlton1070103.9%
9.Collingwood881101.6%
10.GWS89098.8%
11.Essendon79189.2%
12.Western Bulldogs710095.1%
13.Fremantle710093.7%
14.Gold Coast610196.0%
15.Hawthorn611088.0%
16.Sydney413078.0%
17.North Melbourne314080.8%
18.Adelaide017061.8%
 
W L D
1. Brisbane Lions 14 3 0 122.5%
2. Port Adelaide 13 4 0 123.1%
3. West Coast 13 4 0 116.2%
4. Richmond 12 4 1 124.1%
5. Geelong 12 5 0 133.7%
6. GWS 11 6 0 107.6%
7. Collingwood 9 7 1 104.9%
8. Melbourne 9 8 0 111.1%
9. St Kilda 9 8 0 110.6%
10. Western Bulldogs 9 8 0 105.3%
11. Carlton 9 8 0 101.6%
12. Essendon 7 9 1 89.4%
13. Hawthorn 6 11 0 85.9%
14. Fremantle 6 11 0 84.8%
15. Gold Coast 4 12 1 89.3%
16. North Melbourne 4 13 0 82.7%
17. Sydney 4 13 0 77.6%
18. Adelaide 0 17 0 60.6%
 
8th is an absolute lottery. Could be any of 6 or 7 teams
And likely to face a fierce Richmond/Geelong/WCE smarting at not squeezing in the four. Good luck.
 

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