AFL 2020 - AFL Round 14 (no aftertiming allowed)

[mookieb]

1u Port 1-39. Syd should bounce back after a poor loss to Freo. Had a 7 day break. Think scores will be low and Syd can keep it close. Can't see them winning so 1-39 looks the best option.

 

[benji21]

Most goals are generally a really poor market to bet into. If 2 or more players score the same number of 'most goals' your bet gets split via dead heat rules. This often applies to all legs in a SGM too, i.e. your entire payout gets halved, not just the one leg that was a dead heat. Much better sticking to 3+, 4+, 5+ for individual players.

Not necessarily as it can give you some sort of insurance, Last night for example Hawkins most goals was 3 dollars, 3 way tie gives you your money back. If you back 3 plus you would of lost your money.

 

[Snowboardingoz]

3u port first half -14.5 (1.88) topsport

If port are on they will cover this easily. Sydney will find it hard to score. Port will control the tempo early and will take advantage of Sydney young defence. No rampe so Dixon gray and co will lap it up. Port are flat track bullies at home I front of their feral supporters. Koshy says grand final or nothing. Load up boys

 

[Lindsay_Gilbee]

Gray 2+
ebert and rozzee atg
Amon 15+
Parker 25+
lloyd 30+

@ $73.75

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Not necessarily as it can give you some sort of insurance, Last night for example Hawkins most goals was 3 dollars, 3 way tie gives you your money back. If you back 3 plus you would of lost your money.

Assume most are taking that bet in a SGM, as most bets are, their total payout has been reduced by two-thirds.

If you're taking it as a single, in that example you're also only turning a profit if Hawkins scores exactly 3 or maybe 4 goals and nobody else does. Otherwise you're better taking the single goal kicker. Either way, it's a very low percentage play.

 

[gillon]

Anyone remember if Gray was gr1 or gr2 for disposals? Or if there's a way to check.

 

[NYRB]

Port Adelaide better at the contested footy. Just seem to be a bit more hungrier around stoppages. Deserved to be up by 5 goals at half time.

Can see them skipping away. Don't think Port puts the cue in the rack at half time here.

 

[Snowboardingoz]

Bank the half time win fellas. Staying away freo v giants. Hate watching both those teams and don’t have a read on the game. Back for the mighty dees

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Of course the one match where I don't bet on a s**t team to have goals kicked on them, or on a good full forward to kick goals, Dixon will kick six on the Swans.

Punting is s**t when I punt, and even shitter when I don't punt.

**** punting.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Sydney aren't playing slow can see port clearing the 92.5 live total Points,

 

[Bazza97]

Reid goal, need Hayward to kick one

 

[OhhDeledio]

Anyone remember if Gray was gr1 or gr2 for disposals? Or if there's a way to check.

was gr2

 

[NYRB]

surely we can't get another $1.01 Gubbing this round.

 

[NYRB]

Port Adelaide 61-75 points was paying pretty good odds at HT on Sportsbet . Odds of $8.50.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Sydney aren't playing slow can see port clearing the 92.5 live total Points,

Wow goal less haha

 

[NYRB]

Brad Ebert gone for the rest of the game, and think Zac Butters has played at about 65% capacity since injuring his ankle in the 1st qtr.

 

[Robo87]

Dixon more goals than Papley $1.95 (Lads)

$40 Dixon 3+/ Lloyd Most Disp Grp A @ 9.66 (LADS)

Yes, Both looking like good calls. Good tips guys!!

 

[BloodRet]

50
Dixon 2
Reid 2
Marshall ags
@9.75 sb

Dixon will body whoever plays on him with Rampe out. Taking Reid purely considering he's due for 2+ and is always prominent. Hasn't done much in the way of goals but I think he may enjoy a challenge in front of a bigger crowd at AO against a top side as he has done in the past. Marshall is one who should kick a goal if Port can kick 10+ as expected.

Marshall you ******* coward

 

[NYRB]

Marshall you ******* coward

He never looked like scoring today.

 

[NYRB]

He never looked like scoring today.

Think judging from this performance you can't play 3 tall timber up in the forward line for Port. You also have Ladhams to come back into this team.

Think you got to pick maximum of 3 players from: Ladhams, Charlie Dixon, Westhoff and Marshall.

 

[Bazza97]

Marshall you ******* coward

Yeah that's stiff, did well to include Reid for 2+ though

 

[Benjo_]

Time for the Brent Daniels Jake Riccardi show

 

[Bazza97]

Chucked a cheeky bet on Greene AGS, Walters AGS, Daniels AGS & Hill AGS $15.39 Lads boosted to $18.27.

 

[BloodRet]

$50 bonus Cameron 4+

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Okay I'm on board the Taberner Train, but this time, only for a short journey.

Kind of like the old zone three on Connex back in the days, say from Pakky to Dande.

The above bet because:

*These teams play boring trash footy (unders)

*GWS are cooked (Leon thrashed the gearbox on the Ferrari and kept riding the clutch)

*Greene can't be stopped, should snag at least one

*Taberner kicked 3.3 against this mob last time

Speaking of which, I'm also on Tabs for 3+/4+ in case I fall asleep on the train.

Toot toot!