AFL 2020 - AFL Round 15 (no aftertiming allowed)

[Bazza97]

Last all 6 SGM multis tonight. 2 from my last 14 - none of which had odds >2.20 - what an absolute fill up for bookies these things are

7 of those 10 losses missed by 1 leg so just combining the 3 per game differently would have got to a result - absolutely disgusting league this is blow it all up

Yeah I'm noticing more of my AGS multis aren't getting up as frequently as I would like, even the ones between $2-$3 odds, having a lot more luck on my single bets for a player to kick a goal or 2+. Think I'll be putting on less multis and more single bets.

 

[GROTTO]

Last all 6 SGM multis tonight. 2 from my last 14 - none of which had odds >2.20 - what an absolute fill up for bookies these things are

7 of those 10 losses missed by 1 leg so just combining the 3 per game differently would have got to a result - absolutely disgusting league this is blow it all up

Some of the shots on goal by players its as if they were dropped on their head when they were a baby, such is the poor accuracy. I cant remember year where it "feels" like shooting for goal has been so abysmal.

SB should have a money back offer where if you think you can kick for goal better than these million dollar players, you get all your money back.

Its not even just missing either, some of these r3tard shots at goal directly in front, is going out of bounds on the full.

 

[NYRB]

No player in the AFL , should be less than $2.50 to score 2+ goals in night conditions. (bar possibly Josh Kennedy, Charlie Dixon and Tom Hawkins this season)

It's a fill up for the bookies if you put it in with any of your SGM.

 

[NYRB]

Own up, who hit the behinds button for Brisbane v Collingwood? Sportsbet suspended it

 

[GROTTO]

Case in point, here is a couple of "old men" shooting for goals, packed crowd, with $1000s riding on each goal.

Not sure if anyone has seen this, but glory be, forwards only need to look at the recent past in learning how to kick for goal in 2020.

 

[Robo87]

Own up, who hit the behinds button for Brisbane v Collingwood? Sportsbet suspended it

View attachment 952557

moving on from terrible thursday into fantastic friday...
imo this is better -
3u lions first half O4.5 behinds @2.34 sb (hit 12/13 times) or
1u lions 1st half behinds 5-6 @3.10 sb ( hit 8/13 this year)
1u lions 2nd half o4.5 behinds @2.13 (hit 9/13)

pies stats- over 3.5 behinds 1st half, hit 7/14 ytd (@2.02 )
pies over 3.5 behinds 2nd half , hit 9/14 (@1.99)

 

[NYRB]

Case in point, here is a couple of "old men" shooting for goals, packed crowd, with $1000s riding on each goal.

Not sure if anyone has seen this, but glory be, forwards only need to look at the recent past in learning how to kick for goal in 2020.

Miss the good old days of the 90's football. Carey, Dunstall, Ablett, Lockett, Sumich, Kernahan, Lloyd, etc those guys would nail most of their opportunities for anything inside 45 metres , not matter how difficult the angle.

 

[Bazza97]

Famous last words here but think this will be my only multi for tomorrow. Mihocek AGS, Stephenson AGS & Cox AGS $3.50 SB

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

I don’t know why you guys expect a better standard of footy when they are expected to play every 4 days.

Most of the guys must be out on their feet.

 

[Bazza97]

Single bets for next game
Rayner $1.75 b365
Rayner 2+ $4.50 SB
McStay $1.80 TAB
McStay 2+ $4.50 SB
Zorko AGS $2.20 NEDS
McCluggage $2.75 NEDS
Thomas $2.10 TAB
Thomas 2+ $7 SB
WHE $1.88 BE
WHE 2+ $5.50 SB
Daicos $2 BE
Elliott $1.95 b365

 

[demon_fanatic]

Yes it involves goals but bet deluxe has dixon 3 goals into port win $5 max bet $50, won't get much better $5 pop

 

[Atavistic]

Keidean Coleman AGS@2.63, 2+@11, 3+@56

and Coleman 4+ into Neale most disposals Group 1@1276.

I don't know how he's been tracking lately, but I know he kicked quite a few in the NEAFL last year, so taking a punt on him.

Anyone on the Josh Thomas train again? I'll get on Thomas 2-4.

 

[Robo87]

Elliott $1.95 b365

Im not convinvced enough for opportunities for Elliot, he seems to be playing more midfield (like last week), and hes let me down for a goal a few times this year so far. Also hes listed Center for tomorrow.
Daicos more likely for ags imo. ave 0.77g/game and ave 1 scoring shot/game.
I agree Thomas is still not bad value. He had 5 or 6 shots on goal last game. We could have been laughing if he'd just kicked straight.
Tipping Bris still win this tho with a bigger break.

 

[Bazza97]

Keidean Coleman AGS@2.63, 2+@11, 3+@56

and Coleman 4+ into Neale most disposals Group 1@1276.

I don't know how he's been tracking lately, but I know he kicked quite a few in the NEAFL last year, so taking a punt on him.

Anyone on the Josh Thomas train again?

Yeah just punted on Coleman as well. Got on him for AGS $2.75 on NEDS and 2+ $11 SB. Kicked 8 goals in his past two ressies matches against St Kilda and Collingwood. Would be rude not to include him.

Im not convinvced enough for opportunities for Elliot, he seems to be playing more midfield (like last week), and hes let me down for a goal a few times this year so far. Also hes listed Center for tomorrow.
Daicos more likely for ags imo. ave 0.77g/game and ave 1 scoring shot/game.
I agree Thomas is still not bad value. He had 5 or 6 shots on goal last game. We could have been laughing if he'd just kicked straight.
Tipping Bris still win this tho with a bigger break.

Yeah that's fair, I do agree with you. Last round, Elliott was sighted at 19 centre bounces on-ball out of 21 in total. It's more of a gut feel bet I admit. I remember seeing him miss a gettable opportunity on the run in the last game against Carlton and he hasn't kicked a goal since round 12 which I don't mind because I like to punt on players who haven't hit the scoreboard in the last couple of rounds which is pretty much my thinking behind the bet. And yeah Daicos AGS is too good to ignore, so I got on him for the opportunity to double my money.

 

[Geeves Train]

Taylor Adams is $4.50 AGS and $26 2+ on Beteasy/Tab Touch. He’s gone 7/14 this year so whilst he is no moral he is definately better than a $4.50 chance!!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Keidean Coleman AGS@2.63, 2+@11, 3+@56

I'm on board.



And this could just about be it for me until finals. I know I've said similar in the past but I truly feel it this time.

One unit each on AGS, 2+ and 3+ for me.

Rich in for Witherden (defenders) and Coleman in for McCarthy (forward).

Collingwood off a four-day break, Brisbane off a bye.

Pies defense looks mediocre imho. Madgen and Noble have played less than 20 matches each.

I missed the Riccardo Train driven by Atavistic, but I'm on the K-Train with first class seats.

Toot toot!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Apparently he has kicked eight goals in his past two reserves matches.

The academy product has kicked eight goals in his past two reserves matches against St Kilda and Collingwood and coach Chris Fagan said he had no hesitation in unleashing the half-forward on the big stage.

You’ve got to be Keidean me

Coleman to make debut in Gabba Blockbuster

www.lions.com.au

Adding an extra unit each to AGS, 2+, 3+, 4+.

Also

.1u on K-Train 2 into Thomas 3 @ 474
.1u on K-Train 3 into Thomas 2 @ 413
.1u on K-Train 2 into Thomas 2 @ 101

All SB

 

[Robo87]

ok, bought my train ticket(s). Thomas train --> coleman station -->ending in party town.
1u Thomas ags @2.05 b365
1u bonus bet Thomas 2g+ @7 sb
0.4u Thomas 3g+ @31sb
0.1u Thomas 4g+ @101 sb
1u coleman ags @2.75 lads
1u coleman 2g+ @11 sb
0.5 coleman 3g+ @56 sb

1u sgm1- coleman, thomas ags, adams 20+ @7.10 SB boosted sgm special
0.5u sgm2 - coleman 2g, thomas 2g, zorko15+ @111 SB sgm special
(& bris behinds bets as mentioned for compensation incase bris pull a 'GWS ugly' on us.)

 

[dontlimitme]

on the coleman train. got him 4+ boosted to 700 on SB

 

[Mazza1234678]

Head says Brisbane wins this game but logic has had no place this season with afl

Pies as underdogs are usually a fill up. I’ll take the value and still think Brissy are overated

 

[NYRB]

Two contrasting styles of footy tonight

Collingwood highest average disposals by team (ranked 1st) v Brisbane 2nd lowest average disposals conceded

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

No fantasy markets up on SB at the moment?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Tickets for the K-Train no longer at a discount.

AGS was 2.60, now 1.72

2+ was 11, now 5

3+ was 51, now 20

4+ was 101, now 81

Still great value for a young fella who kicked eight goals in his past two practice matches.

It isn't too late to buy your tickets for the K-Train, folks.

Toot toot!

 

[Sausage Legs]

Backing hughy to get out of his goalkicking rut tonite. 2.75 anytime on lads

 

[Johanpetro]

on the coleman train. got him 4+ boosted to 700 on SB

excuse me?