squeaky1000
Team Captain
- Apr 30, 2018
- 368
- 873
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Wouldn't be surprised if he tried to play a nullifying role on WhitfieldDon't mind some Geary named in the fwd pocket
2.80, 12, 81 sb
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Wouldn't be surprised if he tried to play a nullifying role on WhitfieldDon't mind some Geary named in the fwd pocket
2.80, 12, 81 sb
For games after 7pm in QLD, its low scoring at both grounds for the QLD grounds. Just quickly looked at some data:Not sure if there's any stats, gonna have a look today but think Gabba seems to average a little higher for night games than metricon?
For games after 7pm in QLD, its low scoring at both grounds for the QLD grounds. Just quickly looked at some data:
View attachment 964426
The GABBA has been the lower scoring ground at night surprisingly. Both grounds drop off in scoring in the 2nd halves this season- that isn't surprising with more dew, and teams playing slower to protect their leads. The total settors have got this game about right, with the line at 118.5 points.
The deeper the games go in September, the more unsure about what we will get in terms of conditions. But the general consensus is , its more dewier- which could lead to a crappy low scoring Finals series- something the AFL won't love.
if there is roughly 118 points scored in the game, you have to think about who will score the 18 goals if betting on goalscorers. A game like this which is 50:50, Team A will get roughly 9 goals, Team B will get roughly 9 goals.Oh that's interesting, so almost gotta bet on weather, some cloud cover and wind tonight, might be less dewy.
if there is roughly 118 points scored in the game, you have to think about who will score the 18 goals if betting on goalscorers. A game like this which is 50:50, Team A will get roughly 9 goals, Team B will get roughly 9 goals.
That's why I don't like betting on SGM with goalscorers in these games.....you have to have balls of steel to see who will get the 9 or so goals.
Then from that 9 goals, you probably get 2 smokies/rank outsiders that will score the goals. All up you could be betting on 7 goals shared between 4-5 main goalscorers. For GWS eg J Cameron, Riccardi, Toby Greene, Finlayson, Brent Daniels. For the Saints possibly the 7 goals shared between: Max King, Geary, Membrey, Butler and Rowan Marshall.
I don’t get this. You’re locking up your money that could be better spent elsewhereSportsbet 3 x 'one leg fail free bet' promo
View attachment 964409
Seems like a free hit. I know draws are usually low value but look at these two teams' results lately.
Melbourne's last four matches: -15, +14, -3, -2
GWS: -5, -12, +9, +38
Plus it has been one of those seasons...
Also like Paddy Ryder AGS @ 2.40 on TAB. Has kicked goals in his last three matches.
I'm a degenerate, gambling addict, alcoholic, living all alone in a foreign country because I got stranded here due to muh pandemics.I don’t get this. You’re locking up your money that could be better spent elsewhere
I'm a degenerate, gambling addict, alcoholic, living all alone in a foreign country because I got stranded here due to muh pandemics.
When the Coll / Rich and Suns / Bombers draws got up, I can't tell you how happy it made me feel.
It was like all my problems disappeared for a few hours.
As a mug punter, that's all I'm chasing. The highs.
Ten dollars well spent if you ask me. And if the two players both hit 20+ I'll get it back as a free bet anyway.
Which I will then proceed to put on some team in the EPL tonight.
After checking both teams' forums and determining which of their supporter base is more pessimistic about their chances of winning.
Welcome to my life. I didn't think it would be this way. But here we are.
Raining in Brisbane for past half an hour, mostly cleared up now. Could be a low scoring match.
Tailed Toby 2+/3+/4+
Coniglio Hopper Billings Taranto 15+
Butler King Cameron AGS 5.85 @ Lads
I’m new to this let’s go
Raining in Brisbane for past half an hour, mostly cleared up now. Could be a low scoring match.
Tailed Toby 2+/3+/4+
Coniglio Hopper Billings Taranto 15+
Butler King Cameron AGS 5.85 @ Lads
I’m new to this
de boer is a late out