AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)

[NYRB]

Having said that, Leigh Matthews voted in 2008 and gave 0 votes for Ablett back then with a 34 possession game with 2 goals.

Im trying to find a bit more information about who Lauren Arnell is.

 

[toenail11]

Put a hundy on this before I knew the weather was wack but still like the look of it


Hawkins 2+
Ablett 2+
Riewoldt AGS
20.50 boosted sb

 

[Chism]

Just the 1 SGM tonight.

 

[Browney2006]

Everyone loading into the goal scorer markets. Be lucky if we see 10 goals total tonight

 

[PieBeast]

Guthrie and Cotchin for Normie

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Having said that, Leigh Matthews voted in 2008 and gave 0 votes for Ablett back then with a 34 possession game with 2 goals.

Im trying to find a bit more information about who Lauren Arnell is.

Good sleuthing.

Eade also gave no votes to Ablett that day.

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Maybe Matthews might try to balance the equations with a few votes for the Son of God today

 

[LIONS15v]

Norm Smith panel: Leigh Matthews (3AW, Chairperson), Lauren Arnell (ABC), Malcolm Blight (SEN SA), Damian Barrett (AFL.com.au) and Peter Ryan (The Age).

Any potential biases with this bunch?

Lol too many people who haven't touched a sherrin in their life.

Peter ryan? Barrett? *smh*

 

[GROTTO]

Nice one Gil

View attachment 993656

The board needs a meteorologist om here that punts.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Bolton has the cleanest hands of any player on the field in slippery conditions.

I remember he was prime-Ablett like in a slippery game earlier in the season, might have been against the Bombers.

2+ goals @ 7
3+ goals @ 26

Not a day for betting on goalkickers in general, but this guy might be made for these conditions.

I'd put a bet on him for the Norm as well but I'm already committed to the Ablett Plane.

 

[LIONS15v]

Last day on the punt with the Cox plate today

Norm Smith
Bolton @17
Menegola @26
Ablett top 3(fairytale...) @4.50

Multis
Ablett 2+
Riewoldt 2+
Miers AGS
Bolton AGS
@ 102

Dusty 2+
Ablett AGS
Bolton AGS
Guthrie 15+
Duncan 15+
Stewart 15+
Cotchin 15+
Prestia 15+
Houli 15+
@65

Have a feeling guthrie will tag / play more defensive

 

[GROTTO]

Norm Smith panel: Leigh Matthews (3AW, Chairperson), Lauren Arnell (ABC), Malcolm Blight (SEN SA), Damian Barrett (AFL.com.au) and Peter Ryan (The Age).

Any potential biases with this bunch?

Blighty never rated forwards when he coached the Crows. Doesnt rate goalkickers, make of that what you will.

When Modra went down, he didnt think much of Shane Ellen booting 5 goals in a GF.

Today, that would win you the NS.

 

[LIONS15v]

QLD, where as they say, if you don't like the weather, wait 15 minutes.

Lol cute, have you been to melbs?

 

[Chism]

Also taking my favorite bet mostly because you are alive all game and it salutes a heap of the time.

Scores level at the end of any Qtr at $8.50 for $25. The wet weather brings this bet into play massively IMO.

 

[GROTTO]

Also taking my favorite bet mostly because you are alive all game and it salutes a heap of the time.

Scores level at the end of any Qtr at $8.50 for $25. The wet weather brings this bet into play massively IMO.

which book?

 

[Chism]

which book?

Sportsbet.

 

[LIONS15v]

Nice one Gil

View attachment 993656

Not his fault qld government made the biggest play and wa premier just acted like a snob

 

[NYRB]

Boxplot of the range of scores at the GABBA in 2020:




Five number Summary:

Minimum 60
Q1=105
Median=122
Q3= 133
Maximum=168


The line for todays game is around 105.5 at Sportsbet.

 

[Chism]

 

[NYRB]

The 60 was a putrid show between Richmond and Sydney Swans. I happened to watch that game twice.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

How are people multi betting the norm smith medal?

I've tried to multi Ablett Norm into other things, cannot do it on SB.

EDIT: Don't worry, worked it out

 

[LIONS15v]

View attachment 993700

Not good for the cats

Not necessarily, i think it was luke hodge on SEN today saying he thinks it favours geelong more.

Granted, geelong play a possession style. However, not having the time and space as per normal will affect Richmond to a greater extent. Geelong are still a decent wet weather team IMO with elite ball users

 

[NYRB]

How are people multi betting the norm smith medal?

I've tried to multi Ablett Norm into other things, cannot do it on SB.

TAB are allowing Norm Smith Medal multi with Goals scored. eg Martin to win NS, and Martin to kick 3+ Goals

 

[GROTTO]

Everyone loading into the goal scorer markets. Be lucky if we see 10 goals total tonight

is there a market for this?

I wouldnt mind trolling the lack of goals tonight.

 

[Chism]

We will get more than 5 goals per team IMO or 10 total for the match.

Tigers will get 7+ easily and the wet will not bother them at all. Cats will need 10 goals if they want to win this GF.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Alright, my bets are all on.

Most centre around:

Bolton for goals
Draw at end of regular time (and also 'any other result')
Ablett for the Norm
Cats win
Total points unders (117.5 and 106.5 iirc)

Good luck to everybody