GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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I tried that, wasnt allowed. Its actually a solid bet.
AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
, is it likely to lead to more stoppages inside 50 and more chances for mids to get a 30m snap at goal? Any decent goal-sneaks 8n the markets? 
anyone like pointsbet's 2 specials? - seem ok value.
--'dahlhaus to kick 2 goals and Geelong win'. @50 - probably wont happen but @50's its not the worst.
--'Dusty to kick 1 goal and Rich win' @3.50 (sgm is 2.48 on sb) - If rich win this is likely to come off imo.
my final bets:
1u sgm- bolton ags, hawkins ags, dusty 15+ @3.30 sb boosted
1u bb sgm- dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Bolton 2g+ @9.25 sb
2u bb sgm dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Duncan 15+, guthrie 15+, houli 15+ @2.05 sb
1.5u wire to wire- any other, points under 132.5 @2.62 lads
--'dahlhaus to kick 2 goals and Geelong win'. @50 - probably wont happen but @50's its not the worst.
--'Dusty to kick 1 goal and Rich win' @3.50 (sgm is 2.48 on sb) - If rich win this is likely to come off imo.
my final bets:
1u sgm- bolton ags, hawkins ags, dusty 15+ @3.30 sb boosted
1u bb sgm- dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Bolton 2g+ @9.25 sb
2u bb sgm dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Duncan 15+, guthrie 15+, houli 15+ @2.05 sb
1.5u wire to wire- any other, points under 132.5 @2.62 lads
With weather set to clear, over 104.5 looks tasty now.
With all my unders bets at 117.5 early in the week, that sweet spot in between would be lovely
With all my unders bets at 117.5 early in the week, that sweet spot in between would be lovely
- Oct 6, 2011
- 32,992
- 9,983
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- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Few Dark horses I reckon have a chance to get into the Top 3 in the Norm Smith tally:
$26.00 Pickett- finished Top 3 in last years Norm Smith tally
$21.00 Gary Rohan - he kicked a bag in a game at the GABBA (on this same ground) against the Saints
$6.50 Bolton - polled 3 votes the last time these two teams played
Small play on the outrights on Bolton at around $19 to win it.
$26.00 Pickett- finished Top 3 in last years Norm Smith tally
$21.00 Gary Rohan - he kicked a bag in a game at the GABBA (on this same ground) against the Saints
$6.50 Bolton - polled 3 votes the last time these two teams played
Small play on the outrights on Bolton at around $19 to win it.
- Jun 4, 2006
- 4,534
- 1,232
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- Essendon
What’s everyone got for first goal?
SGM
Houli under 18.5
Parfitt under 16.5
Tuohy under 16.5
Goat over 14.5
@ 13.75
Normy
Prestia
Bolton
Lambert
Total score under 110.5
Hope both teams have a s**t one and i clean up.
Houli under 18.5
Parfitt under 16.5
Tuohy under 16.5
Goat over 14.5
@ 13.75
Normy
Prestia
Bolton
Lambert
Total score under 110.5
Hope both teams have a s**t one and i clean up.
Wouldn't be surprised to see under 90 tbh.
I would liken the grand final to a game 7 in the NBA.
both teams (especially geelong) being super conversative and taking time with each possession)
- Oct 6, 2011
- 32,992
- 9,983
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- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
SGM:
Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+
Paying odds of $67.00
In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+
Paying odds of $67.00
In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
- Jul 23, 2010
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three bet
playup promo gryan Myers FGS @ $17 (pays out if he kicks second goal)
zac tuohy AGS
dahlhaus <13.5 disposals
playup promo gryan Myers FGS @ $17 (pays out if he kicks second goal)
zac tuohy AGS
dahlhaus <13.5 disposals
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Martin 15+
Edwards 15+
Danger 15+
Stewart 15+
Short 15+
SGM
Edwards 15+
Danger 15+
Stewart 15+
Short 15+
SGM
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Backing Edwards and Cotchin Norm
Smith
Smith
Sportsbet/ Bronwyn offering either dusty or danger for norm Smith @$4, max $50 bet.
Good value
On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app
Good value
On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app
picking 4 goal scorers is a tough ask when there’s no guarantee of more than 10 goalsSGM:
- prestia, duncan, gola, Stewart, danger, selwood 15+,
selwood, ablett, martin, bolton AGS.
easy money(also did the one above but without selwood and bolton)
hate betting AGS on key forwards in wet weather
It's on tab anyway
- Jun 4, 2006
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Bolton first goal
yeah wtf wanted to put it on and wad already suspended
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Generous too probably less than 5 goal scorers
Nice SGM on Sportsbet.
Anyone ever noticed, on SB at least, that the odds of a disposals line (when it is 19.5 or 24.5) on a player is almost always greater than the odds of the corresponding disposal market (15/20)+?
Right now on SB, Dangerfield 20+ is $1.80 and but on over 19.5 he is $1.99.
Always worth checking both if you're betting on SB, not sure about other bookies
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
good luck everyone 
Yeah that is very true, it was a very small play on the 4 AGS.
I put more on the one without selwood and bolton.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 32,992
- 9,983
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Yep do notice this. Better to take the unders/overs on the player if you get the chance.
Another bet I like:
Richmond aren't a high disposal team, so feel like its between Guthrie, Danger and Menegola. If Danger plays forward, it will probably between a battle of 2.
- Jun 4, 2006
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Rip up your ablett bets
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