- Jun 22, 2008
- 24,580
- 21,275
- AFL Club
- Geelong
I'm sure it's a contributing factor.
There is a viscous cycle at work.
Small clubs get worse time slots
Worse time slots mean less sponsors/crowds.
Less sponsors/crowds mean clubs get/stay smaller.
Smaller clubs getting less from sponsors and crowds get higher equalisation payments...
A few years 'down' wouldn't matter so much (e.g. a rebuild) but when it goes for a decade or so, it would start having noteworthy effects.
Short term, it makes sense doing it the way they do...big clubs in premium time slots make the league more money than it 'costs' in equalisation payments in a given year. (or at least, you'd assume they do...)
Long term, it's more debatable.
But AFL executive annual bonuses don't depend on how the game will look in 20 years, do they?
Of course, the counter argument is that over the past 50-odd years, only one club (from the old VFL) has significantly grown it's support (Hawthorn) and only one has shrunk in a big way (Melbourne). While Hawthorn's success accounts for it's growth, Melbourne's decline is a bit more debatable...sure, they're been bad, but really not THAT bad compared to others...certainly not the kind of outlier that Hawthorn represents the other way.
Melbourne have had, that I can remember, 2 really low periods, the late 70s / early 80s, when Barassi was brought in with his 5 year plan and then from 07 to 14. I would say they only club worse than them in that time has probably been St Kilda. Even Fitzroy only had 2 really bad years immediately prior to them being terminated. Sydney were just as bad as Fitzroy for a couple of year period in the early 90s.
Maybe Melbourne's sustained down times have just been at the wrong times for whatever reasons.