AFLW 2021

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
7,205
18,769
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
SGM for this game - Lambert 15+, Kearney 20+ & Molloy AGS $3.25

Will be more if you can get a boost on SB
 

Gibbsy

Cakewalk
Oct 12, 2009
23,613
27,536
Geetroit
AFL Club
Collingwood
SGM for this game - Lambert 15+, Kearney 20+ & Molloy AGS $3.25

Will be more if you can get a boost on SB

I missed getting on “Georgie’s Featured BYO” this week after our great fill-up (totally just forgot to suss it out) but re-posting here just in case anyone got on. Pretty reasonable value and looking even better now with the Pies’ hot start:

Collingwood +9.5
Molloy AGS
Kearney AGS
Kearney 15+ disp

$7.50 (it may have started longer like last week’s one did?)
 
Aug 3, 2014
4,153
9,004
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Crows team named
In: C.Randall, H.Munyard, R.Forth
Out: C.Biddell (Omitted), R.Martin (Injured), C.Gould (Omitted)
Also: "Brisbane has suffered a loss to its backline, with in-form rebounder Nat Grider out with illness."

1u Bodey ags @2 Sb
1u Scheer ags @2.50 Sb
1u Ponter ags @2.60 Sb
All quite capable of kicking a goal.
Edit: Adding 0.7u SGM- Bodey, Scheer, ponter all ags @17.25 sb boosted

Backing Randall to go back and play mostly defense all game to shutdown the taller Brisbane forwards. Phillips listed HF to get supply into Adelaide fwd line.

Mithen listed FF for Dees game.
1u Mithen ags @2.50 sb
 
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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
7,205
18,769
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Crows team named
In: C.Randall, H.Munyard, R.Forth
Out: C.Biddell (Omitted), R.Martin (Injured), C.Gould (Omitted)
Also: "Brisbane has suffered a loss to its backline, with in-form rebounder Nat Grider out with illness."

1u Bodey ags @2 Sb
1u Scheer ags @2.50 Sb
1u Ponter ags @2.60 Sb
All quite capable of kicking a goal.
Edit: Adding 0.7u SGM- Bodey, Scheer, ponter all ags @17.25 sb boosted

Backing Randall to go back and play mostly defense all game to shutdown the taller Brisbane forwards. Phillips listed HF to get supply into Adelaide fwd line.

Mithen listed FF for Dees game.
1u Mithen ags @2.50 sb

i have tailed Scheer & Ponter. Think these are great odds on SB.

Multi for today:
Scheer AGS, Hodder AGS, Grant AGS & Privitelli AGS $21.57 on SB
All playing deep forward.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
2,456
2,796
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Alright well let's see how I go with my own power rankings.

1. Freo - clear top after dismantling Ade
2. NM - should be top 2, but a few concerning stats in the first 3 rounds
3. Bris - hard to judge having only played poor teams
4. Ade -
5. Melb - might have underestimated them prior to last week
6. Coll - 3 wins, but not been entirely convincing
7. Carl -
8. GWS - terrible preseason should start to claw their way back
9. WB -
10. StK - hardly scored the last 2 weeks
11. Geel -
12. GC -
13. Rich - showing a few promising signs
14. WC - clearly bottom for me

Bumper round last week, but lines have blown out with the better teams against the bottom teams this week.

2u NM -9.5. If they are indeed top 2 they should bounce back hard after a bad loss. They'll dominate the ruck and contested possessions.

2u GWS -10.5. Terrible prep, but we are into round 4 and they've been back at home for 2 games in a row and got a confidence boosting win last week. WC are terrible and struggling to be competitive. Also WC back to back travel on a 6 day break.

Tailing NP on Freo.
Changing to 1.5u GWS -10.5 and 1u GWS 3rd qtr line. Expect WC to fade. Expected rain isn't near as heavy so line moved out. I have WC ranked below GC, Geel and Rich (who aren't looking to bad now) and the 1st two are struggling to be competitive.

Any reason why the Melbourne line isn't bigger? I'm a bit worried some of these teams (ie Freo + Carl) come out strong then fade. I think i'll wait and hope WB are competitive then fade so potentially bet live.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
2,456
2,796
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Changing to 1.5u GWS -10.5 and 1u GWS 3rd qtr line. Expect WC to fade. Expected rain isn't near as heavy so line moved out. I have WC ranked below GC, Geel and Rich (who aren't looking to bad now) and the 1st two are struggling to be competitive.

Any reason why the Melbourne line isn't bigger? I'm a bit worried some of these teams (ie Freo + Carl) come out strong then fade. I think i'll wait and hope WB are competitive then fade so potentially bet live.
Melb 10 to 1 inside 50's. Looking good, but not converting. 1u Melb -11.5 live.

Also 5 scoring shots vs 1.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
2,456
2,796
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Melb 10 to 1 inside 50's. Looking good, but not converting. 1u Melb -11.5 live.

Also 5 scoring shots vs 1.
Doubled up with another unit at -5.5. Kicking with the wind this quarter but 3rd qtr lines wasn't that attractive.

21 to 4 inside 50's. Dominating possession, but will need to find a way to actually kick goals.

Wouldn't be surprised to see one of the weaker teams fold again in the 2nd half.
 
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